百济神州
06160 · HK
06160 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Price | HKD 163.70 | High |
| Daily move | +4.00% | High |
| Day high / low | 165.20 / 157.00 | High |
| Volume | 6,129,278 | High |
| Strategy score | 50/100 (Hold) | Medium |
| Trend | Consolidation | Low |
| RSI (14 / 6) | N/A | - |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | N/A | - |
| Support | N/A | - |
| Resistance | N/A | - |
| 30-session range position | N/A | - |
| Data confidence (technical) | Low | - |
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | N/A | Insufficient moving-average data |
| RSI (14 / 6) | N/A | RSI14 unavailable |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | N/A | MACD unavailable |
| KDJ (K / D / J) | N/A | KDJ unavailable |
| Bollinger (upper / mid / lower) | N/A | Bollinger position unavailable |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | N/A | ATR as % of price unavailable |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | N/A | OBV unavailable |
| CCI20 | N/A | CCI unavailable |
Confirmed: nothing on the technical side is confirmed. The only validated observations are the live price action items in Section 2 (price HKD 163.70, +4.00%, intraday range 157.00-165.20, volume 6,129,278).
Conflicted: no genuine conflict exists, because no two indicators are populated to disagree. The Hold signal and consolidation trend are a product of every sub-score defaulting to 50/100 on "数据不足", not of opposing momentum and trend reads.
Missing: the entire panel. Moving averages, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger Bands, ATR, OBV, and CCI are all N/A. Estimated support/resistance and the 30-session range are also absent, so distance-to-level, range-position, and volume-vs-average context cannot be computed. No custom indicators were supplied. Treat any technical read in this brief as low confidence until these series populate.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 125.05 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PB | 8.23 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 6.95 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear HKD 26.24 / Base HKD 36.09 / Bull HKD 45.35 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -78.0% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Operating income | HKD 37.56B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Holder profit | HKD 2.02B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| EPS TTM | 1.31 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Book value per share | 19.89 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Gross margin | +87.49% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Net margin | +5.37% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
The reported fundamentals describe a high-gross-margin business (gross margin +87.49%) that is only modestly profitable at the bottom line (net margin +5.37%, holder profit HKD 2.02B on operating income HKD 37.56B). At HKD 163.70 against EPS TTM of 1.31 and book value per share of 19.89, the trailing PE of 125.05 and PB of 8.23 sit at premium levels, and the PEG proxy of 6.95 indicates price is running well ahead of the modeled growth pace. The StockKit DCF scenario band (Bear 26.24 / Base 36.09 / Bull 45.35) implies a base fair-value gap of -78.0% versus the live price. These three fair-value figures, the PEG proxy, and the 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history; they are forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. Reporting period used: 2025-12-31. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline news | No current news items were available from the configured source |
No confirmed news is available for 06160 from the configured provider, so no catalyst timeline can be constructed from supplied data. There are no headlines to interpret, and no earnings dates, ratings actions, or corporate events have been provided. The only forward-looking dated item in the dataset is the AkShare HK reporting period used for fundamentals (2025-12-31); this is a financial-statement reference point, not a scheduled catalyst. This section is fully data-limited.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Headline coverage shows no headlines, and the social sentiment feed is not connected, so no social conclusion is drawn. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are available because no such source is marked connected. The sentiment picture is unobservable from supplied data.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price continues to consolidate near current levels; strategy stays Hold at 50/100 on consolidation trend | Return of technical series (MA/RSI/MACD) printing neutral, range-bound reads consistent with the consolidation tag | A decisive, indicator-confirmed move once data repopulates, or a fundamental shift away from current PE 125.05 / PEG proxy 6.95 profile |
| Upside | Momentum and trend data return constructive once available; valuation re-rates toward the StockKit bull case (HKD 45.35) | Populated MAs aligning upward and RSI/MACD confirming, plus growth tracking the bull 5Y forecast (+24.00%) | Price failing to hold the HKD 157.00 intraday low watch level; technical series returning weak; growth undershooting the base +18.00% path |
| Downside | Valuation gravity toward the StockKit base fair value (HKD 36.09, -78.0% gap) reasserts; growth tracks the bear path | Returning indicators printing negative trend/momentum and net margin (+5.37%) deteriorating toward the bear 5Y forecast (+10.00%) | A sustained hold above current levels with improving fundamentals, or technical data confirming an uptrend rather than weakness |
All fair-value and growth figures referenced above are StockKit scenario model outputs, not analyst consensus. Levels cited are watch levels, not instructions.
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical blind spot | All indicators (MA/RSI/MACD/KDJ/Bollinger/ATR/OBV/CCI) and support/resistance are N/A; sub-scores default to 50/100 "数据不足" | Strategy outputs remain neutral solely from missing data | Re-run once technical series populate; do not infer trend from the Hold tag alone |
| Stretched valuation | PE 125.05, PB 8.23, PEG proxy 6.95; base fair-value gap -78.0% vs HKD 163.70 | Price disconnect from earnings power (EPS TTM 1.31) persists or widens | Track EPS and growth versus the base +18.00% forecast; watch the model base value HKD 36.09 |
| Thin profitability | Net margin +5.37% against gross margin +87.49%; holder profit HKD 2.02B | Bottom-line margin compresses further | Watch operating income (HKD 37.56B) and holder-profit trend at next reporting period |
| Information vacuum | No news headlines and sentiment not connected | Material news breaks with no monitored feed to surface it | Reconnect news/sentiment sources; check external filings around the 2025-12-31 reporting period |
| Intraday volatility | Daily move +4.00% with a 157.00-165.20 range | Range expands without indicator context | Watch the HKD 157.00 low and HKD 165.20 high as session boundaries |
1. Watch whether technical series (MA5/10/20/60, RSI14, MACD) repopulate; the Hold signal is data-limited, not directional, until they do. 2. Monitor the HKD 157.00 intraday low and HKD 165.20 high as near-term watch levels in the absence of estimated support/resistance. 3. Track the price gap to the StockKit base fair value (HKD 36.09, -78.0%) for any narrowing or widening. 4. Watch volume relative to a 20-session average once that average becomes available; today's 6,129,278 has no baseline yet. 5. Check for any return of news headlines from the configured source; the catalyst timeline is currently empty. 6. Watch for social/news sentiment connection status to change from "Not connected". 7. Reassess valuation signals (PE 125.05, PEG proxy 6.95) against the base +18.00% growth forecast as any new fundamental data arrives.
This brief was produced solely from the supplied dataset. The technical panel is fully unavailable and rated low confidence; valuation inputs are Medium confidence; news and sentiment feeds returned no data. PEG, fair-value range, and growth figures are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus, and all levels are framed as watch levels rather than instructions. This is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice, and it makes no promise of returns.
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Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.