金沙中国有限公司
01928 · HK
01928 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Price | HKD 13.89 | Medium |
| Daily move | -3.07% | Medium |
| Day high / low | 14.13 / 13.71 | Medium |
| Volume | 37,019,087 | Medium |
| Strategy score | 50/100 (Hold) | Low |
| Trend | Consolidation | Low |
| RSI | N/A | - |
| MACD | N/A | - |
| Support | N/A | - |
| Resistance | N/A | - |
| 30-session range position | N/A | - |
| Data confidence (overall) | Low (technicals) / Medium (fundamentals) | - |
| Indicator | Supplied reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | N/A / N/A / N/A / N/A | Insufficient moving-average data |
| RSI (14/6) | N/A / N/A | RSI14 unavailable |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | N/A / N/A / N/A | MACD unavailable |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | N/A / N/A / N/A | KDJ unavailable |
| Bollinger (upper/mid/lower) | N/A / N/A / N/A | Bollinger position unavailable |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | N/A / N/A | Volatility read unavailable |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | N/A / N/A | OBV unavailable |
| CCI20 | N/A | CCI unavailable |
Confirmed: Nothing. No technical indicator carries a usable value in the supplied dataset.
Conflicted: Nothing can be conflicted because no indicator pair is populated. The strategy engine returns a uniform 50/100 Hold across MA交叉, MACD背离, RSI极值, 布林带, and 量价关系, each tagged "数据不足", which reflects absence of input rather than a balanced or mixed signal.
Missing: All eight indicator families above, plus estimated support/resistance and 30-session range. No custom indicators were supplied. As a result, this section is low confidence and should not be used to infer trend, momentum, overbought/oversold conditions, or volume support.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.85 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PB | 11.42 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear HKD 7.15 / Base HKD 8.57 / Bull HKD 11.15 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed forecast, not analyst consensus) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -38.3% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Operating income | HKD 52.32B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Holder profit | HKD 6.30B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| EPS TTM | 0.78 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Book value per share | 1.22 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Gross margin | +98.52% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Net margin | +12.04% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
Reading: The current HKD 13.89 price sits well above even the StockKit bull fair value of HKD 11.15, and -38.3% above the base case of HKD 8.57. The StockKit 5Y growth forecast is negative in both bear (-8.00%) and base (-4.00%) cases, turning only marginally positive in the bull case (+2.00%). PB of 11.42 against book value per share of 1.22, and PE of 17.85 against EPS TTM of 0.78, are the observable multiples; the high gross margin (+98.52%) paired with a thinner net margin (+12.04%) shows margin compression between the gross and net lines. PEG proxy, EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. The fair-value rows are StockKit scenario outputs, not consensus targets. (AkShare HK report period: 2025-12-31.)
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed headlines means no event-driven catalyst can be cited; the valuation gap in Section 4 has no headline context to explain it |
| Catalyst calendar (earnings dates, corporate actions) | Not supplied | Cannot be fabricated; treat near-term catalyst timing as unknown |
Confirmed news: None. Missing data: All headline and catalyst inputs. This section is low confidence by absence. No facts beyond the supplied financial indicators should be inferred.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are presented because no such source is marked connected. Sentiment confidence is Low and the radar is effectively blank.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Consolidation persists near HKD 13.89 with the 50/100 Hold read intact | Price holds the recent 13.71-14.13 zone while StockKit base growth stays around -4.00% and the -38.3% fair-value gap is unresolved | A decisive break out of the daily range with populated trend indicators turning directional |
| Upside | Fundamentals improve toward the bull path (+2.00% 5Y growth) and price defends the session range | Price stabilizes above the 14.13 day high with margin/operating-income improvement narrowing the gap to the HKD 11.15 bull fair value | Failure to hold above 14.13, or growth forecasts staying negative; valuation gap widening |
| Downside | Mean reversion toward StockKit fair value, supported by the -38.3% base gap and negative base/bear growth (-4.00% / -8.00%) | Sustained move below the 13.71 day low with momentum indicators (once available) confirming weakness | Price reclaiming and holding the upper session range with positive fundamental revisions |
All scenarios are framed around watch levels (13.71 / 14.13 / fair-value band HKD 7.15-11.15), not instructions.
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation downside | Price HKD 13.89 vs base fair value HKD 8.57; -38.3% base fair-value gap; price above bull case HKD 11.15 | New financials confirming weak growth; gap fails to narrow | Track operating income (HKD 52.32B) and holder profit (HKD 6.30B) on next report |
| Negative growth trajectory | StockKit 5Y growth: bear -8.00% / base -4.00% / bull +2.00% | Forward data trending toward bear path | Watch revenue/profit prints vs the scenario band |
| Technical blind spot | All indicators (MA, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger, ATR, OBV, CCI) N/A | Range break with no confirming signal | Wait for indicator backfill before acting on trend reads |
| Information vacuum | No news, no catalyst calendar, no sentiment series | A surprise headline moving price against a flat indicator base | Monitor the configured news/sentiment sources for reconnection |
| Margin compression | Gross margin +98.52% vs net margin +12.04% | Net margin deteriorating in next filing | Compare net margin across report periods as data arrives |
1. Watch whether price holds the 13.71-14.13 daily range; a clean break either side is the first observable trend cue. 2. Track the -38.3% gap between HKD 13.89 and the HKD 8.57 base fair value for any narrowing or widening. 3. Watch for the technical indicator panel (MA/RSI/MACD/KDJ/Bollinger/ATR/OBV/CCI) to backfill; reassess trend once values populate. 4. Monitor the configured news source for the first confirmed headline or catalyst date. 5. Monitor whether the social sentiment source moves from "Not connected" to connected before drawing any sentiment conclusion. 6. Watch volume against the day's 37,019,087 baseline for any abnormal expansion that the missing OBV/volume context cannot yet explain. 7. Watch for updated financials versus the 2025-12-31 AkShare period, focusing on operating income, holder profit, EPS, and net margin against the negative StockKit growth band.
This brief is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. The technical, news, and sentiment inputs are largely unavailable, so trend, momentum, and catalyst conclusions are Low confidence; only the fundamental/valuation block carries Medium confidence. StockKit fair-value and growth figures are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and no return is promised.
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Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.