StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
02331 · HK · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 02:34 UTC

李宁

02331 · HK

HK$16.26
-1.87%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
50 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
Low
Research view

02331 Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: 李宁 (02331.HK) is trading at HKD 16.26, down -1.87% on the session within a 15.97-16.43 intraday range, and StockKit's strategy engine classifies the regime as consolidation with an overall score of 50/100 (Hold). Valuation context is the only well-supported dimension today: PE 14.32 and PB 1.52 against a Base StockKit fair value of HKD 12.51, implying a -23.1% Base fair-value gap. - Confidence: Low overall on the technical side. The entire technical indicator set (MA, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger, ATR, OBV, CCI, support/resistance, 30-session range) is unavailable, so trend, momentum, and volatility conclusions cannot be confirmed. Valuation confidence is Medium; news and sentiment confidence is Low (no coverage returned). - Most important condition to monitor: the gap between price (HKD 16.26) and the StockKit Base fair value (HKD 12.51). Price sits above Bull (HKD 16.28) almost exactly and well above Base, so watch whether price holds near the HKD 16.28 Bull level or reverts toward the HKD 12.51 Base estimate.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
PriceHKD 16.26
Daily move-1.87%
Day high / low16.43 / 15.97
Volume24,555,464
Strategy score50/100 (Hold)
TrendConsolidation
RSI14N/A
MACDN/A
SupportN/A
ResistanceN/A
30-session range positionN/A
Data confidenceTechnicals: Low; Valuation: Medium; News/Sentiment: Low
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingState
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60N/AInsufficient moving-average data
RSI14 / RSI6N/ARSI14 unavailable
MACD line / signal / histogramN/AMACD unavailable
KDJ K / D / JN/AKDJ unavailable
Bollinger upper / middle / lowerN/ABollinger position unavailable
ATR14 / ATR14%N/AATR unavailable
OBV / OBV 20-session slopeN/AOBV unavailable
CCI20N/ACCI unavailable

What is confirmed: nothing on the technical side can be confirmed. Every indicator above is returned as N/A by the configured source.

What is conflicted: no genuine conflict exists, because no indicator carries a reading. The strategy sub-scores (MA交叉, MACD背离, RSI极值, 布林带, 量价关系) all sit at a neutral 50/100 with the note 数据不足 (insufficient data), which is consistent with the missing inputs rather than with opposing signals.

What is missing: the full panel - moving-average structure, momentum (RSI/MACD/KDJ/CCI), volatility (Bollinger/ATR), volume confirmation (OBV), and estimated support/resistance plus 30-session range position. No custom indicators were supplied. Treat all technical conclusions in this brief as low confidence until these series populate.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE14.32AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium
PB1.52AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium
StockKit fair value rangeBear HKD 10.43 / Base HKD 12.51 / Bull HKD 16.28StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap-23.1%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Operating incomeHKD 29.60BAkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium
Holder profitHKD 2.94BAkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium
EPS TTM1.14AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium
Book value per share10.69AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium
Gross margin+48.95%AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium
Net margin+9.92%AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicatorsMedium

Reading the matrix: at HKD 16.26 the stock trades above the StockKit Base fair value (HKD 12.51) and essentially at the Bull case (HKD 16.28), producing a -23.1% Base fair-value gap - that is, price is roughly 23% above the internally modeled Base value. The growth backdrop in the scenario model is muted to negative (Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% over 5Y), which is what holds the Base value below the current price. Profitability is solid on the supplied fundamentals: gross margin +48.95% and net margin +9.92%, with EPS TTM of 1.14 and book value per share of 10.69 (consistent with the PB of 1.52). The PEG proxy was N/A and is omitted. Note: the fair-value range and growth forecast are StockKit scenario outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. Report period used: 2025-12-31.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatusWhy it matters
Configured news sourceNo current news items availableNo confirmed headlines to interpret; no catalyst can be dated or weighted today

Confirmed news: none returned from the configured source. Missing data: the entire news feed. Because no headlines are available, no catalyst timeline can be constructed and no event-driven view is supported. This section is low confidence by absence of data, not by conflicting signals.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. NewsAPI returned no headlines, and the social sentiment source is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is available or inferred. Sentiment is uninformative for this brief.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BasePrice holds in a consolidation regime around current levels; strategy score remains near 50/100 (Hold)Continued range-bound action with no decisive break; gradual reversion toward StockKit Base fair value HKD 12.51 (-23.1% gap)Sustained directional break with technical indicators populating and confirming a trend
UpsidePrice sustains near or above the Bull watch level HKD 16.28Momentum indicators (once available) turning constructive while price holds above HKD 16.28; valuation re-rating beyond the +2.00% Bull growth assumptionFailure to hold HKD 16.28 and rejection back into the range; deterioration toward the Base/Bear values
DownsidePrice reverts toward StockKit Base/Bear fair values (HKD 12.51 / HKD 10.43)Weakness extending the -1.87% daily move into a series of lower closes; the -4.00% to -8.00% growth scenarios gaining supportPrice stabilizing above Base fair value and reclaiming the HKD 16.28 Bull level
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Valuation gapPrice HKD 16.26 vs Base fair value HKD 12.51, Base gap -23.1%Price persists well above Base while growth stays negative (Base -4.00%)Track price relative to the HKD 12.51 Base and HKD 16.28 Bull watch levels
Weak growth outlook5Y growth forecast Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00%Confirmation of contracting growth in future fundamentalsWatch successive fundamental updates against these scenario assumptions
Technical blind spotFull indicator panel N/A; strategy sub-scores all 50/100, 数据不足Indicators remain unavailable, leaving trend/momentum unverifiableRe-check once MA/RSI/MACD/KDJ/Bollinger/ATR/OBV/CCI series populate
Information vacuumNo news headlines; sentiment not connected / no headlinesA material headline emerges with no prior signalMonitor the news and sentiment feeds for reconnection and first coverage
Near-term softnessDaily move -1.87%, intraday low 15.97Follow-through selling below recent intraday lowsWatch whether HKD 15.97 area holds on subsequent sessions
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. Watch price against the HKD 16.28 Bull watch level - whether it holds or rejects. 2. Watch price against the HKD 12.51 Base fair value for any reversion of the -23.1% gap. 3. Watch the intraday low zone near HKD 15.97 for support behavior after the -1.87% session. 4. Watch for the technical indicator panel (MA, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger, ATR, OBV, CCI) to populate; treat trend calls as unconfirmed until it does. 5. Watch the strategy score for any move off the neutral 50/100 (Hold) / consolidation reading. 6. Watch the news feed for the first confirmed headline, given the current no-coverage state. 7. Watch for sentiment-source reconnection (NewsAPI / social) before assigning any sentiment weight.

Information-use note

This brief is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. Conclusions rest only on the supplied dataset: valuation inputs carry Medium confidence, while technicals, news, and sentiment carry Low confidence due to missing data. StockKit fair-value and growth figures are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. All price levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and no return is promised or implied.

Strategy factors
MA交叉Neutral
50

数据不足

MACD背离Neutral
50

数据不足

RSI极值Neutral
50

数据不足

布林带Neutral
50

数据不足

量价关系Neutral
50

数据不足

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.