李宁
02331 · HK
02331 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | HKD 16.26 |
| Daily move | -1.87% |
| Day high / low | 16.43 / 15.97 |
| Volume | 24,555,464 |
| Strategy score | 50/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 | N/A |
| MACD | N/A |
| Support | N/A |
| Resistance | N/A |
| 30-session range position | N/A |
| Data confidence | Technicals: Low; Valuation: Medium; News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | N/A | Insufficient moving-average data |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | N/A | RSI14 unavailable |
| MACD line / signal / histogram | N/A | MACD unavailable |
| KDJ K / D / J | N/A | KDJ unavailable |
| Bollinger upper / middle / lower | N/A | Bollinger position unavailable |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | N/A | ATR unavailable |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | N/A | OBV unavailable |
| CCI20 | N/A | CCI unavailable |
What is confirmed: nothing on the technical side can be confirmed. Every indicator above is returned as N/A by the configured source.
What is conflicted: no genuine conflict exists, because no indicator carries a reading. The strategy sub-scores (MA交叉, MACD背离, RSI极值, 布林带, 量价关系) all sit at a neutral 50/100 with the note 数据不足 (insufficient data), which is consistent with the missing inputs rather than with opposing signals.
What is missing: the full panel - moving-average structure, momentum (RSI/MACD/KDJ/CCI), volatility (Bollinger/ATR), volume confirmation (OBV), and estimated support/resistance plus 30-session range position. No custom indicators were supplied. Treat all technical conclusions in this brief as low confidence until these series populate.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.32 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PB | 1.52 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear HKD 10.43 / Base HKD 12.51 / Bull HKD 16.28 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -23.1% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Operating income | HKD 29.60B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Holder profit | HKD 2.94B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| EPS TTM | 1.14 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Book value per share | 10.69 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Gross margin | +48.95% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Net margin | +9.92% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
Reading the matrix: at HKD 16.26 the stock trades above the StockKit Base fair value (HKD 12.51) and essentially at the Bull case (HKD 16.28), producing a -23.1% Base fair-value gap - that is, price is roughly 23% above the internally modeled Base value. The growth backdrop in the scenario model is muted to negative (Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% over 5Y), which is what holds the Base value below the current price. Profitability is solid on the supplied fundamentals: gross margin +48.95% and net margin +9.92%, with EPS TTM of 1.14 and book value per share of 10.69 (consistent with the PB of 1.52). The PEG proxy was N/A and is omitted. Note: the fair-value range and growth forecast are StockKit scenario outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. Report period used: 2025-12-31.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed headlines to interpret; no catalyst can be dated or weighted today |
Confirmed news: none returned from the configured source. Missing data: the entire news feed. Because no headlines are available, no catalyst timeline can be constructed and no event-driven view is supported. This section is low confidence by absence of data, not by conflicting signals.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. NewsAPI returned no headlines, and the social sentiment source is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is available or inferred. Sentiment is uninformative for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds in a consolidation regime around current levels; strategy score remains near 50/100 (Hold) | Continued range-bound action with no decisive break; gradual reversion toward StockKit Base fair value HKD 12.51 (-23.1% gap) | Sustained directional break with technical indicators populating and confirming a trend |
| Upside | Price sustains near or above the Bull watch level HKD 16.28 | Momentum indicators (once available) turning constructive while price holds above HKD 16.28; valuation re-rating beyond the +2.00% Bull growth assumption | Failure to hold HKD 16.28 and rejection back into the range; deterioration toward the Base/Bear values |
| Downside | Price reverts toward StockKit Base/Bear fair values (HKD 12.51 / HKD 10.43) | Weakness extending the -1.87% daily move into a series of lower closes; the -4.00% to -8.00% growth scenarios gaining support | Price stabilizing above Base fair value and reclaiming the HKD 16.28 Bull level |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation gap | Price HKD 16.26 vs Base fair value HKD 12.51, Base gap -23.1% | Price persists well above Base while growth stays negative (Base -4.00%) | Track price relative to the HKD 12.51 Base and HKD 16.28 Bull watch levels |
| Weak growth outlook | 5Y growth forecast Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | Confirmation of contracting growth in future fundamentals | Watch successive fundamental updates against these scenario assumptions |
| Technical blind spot | Full indicator panel N/A; strategy sub-scores all 50/100, 数据不足 | Indicators remain unavailable, leaving trend/momentum unverifiable | Re-check once MA/RSI/MACD/KDJ/Bollinger/ATR/OBV/CCI series populate |
| Information vacuum | No news headlines; sentiment not connected / no headlines | A material headline emerges with no prior signal | Monitor the news and sentiment feeds for reconnection and first coverage |
| Near-term softness | Daily move -1.87%, intraday low 15.97 | Follow-through selling below recent intraday lows | Watch whether HKD 15.97 area holds on subsequent sessions |
1. Watch price against the HKD 16.28 Bull watch level - whether it holds or rejects. 2. Watch price against the HKD 12.51 Base fair value for any reversion of the -23.1% gap. 3. Watch the intraday low zone near HKD 15.97 for support behavior after the -1.87% session. 4. Watch for the technical indicator panel (MA, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger, ATR, OBV, CCI) to populate; treat trend calls as unconfirmed until it does. 5. Watch the strategy score for any move off the neutral 50/100 (Hold) / consolidation reading. 6. Watch the news feed for the first confirmed headline, given the current no-coverage state. 7. Watch for sentiment-source reconnection (NewsAPI / social) before assigning any sentiment weight.
This brief is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. Conclusions rest only on the supplied dataset: valuation inputs carry Medium confidence, while technicals, news, and sentiment carry Low confidence due to missing data. StockKit fair-value and growth figures are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. All price levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and no return is promised or implied.
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Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.