舜宇光学科技
02382 · HK
02382 Research Preview
| Metric | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Price | HKD 80.15 | High |
| Daily move | +0.75% | High |
| Strategy score | 50/100 (Hold) | Medium |
| Trend | Consolidation | Low |
| RSI | N/A | - |
| MACD | N/A | - |
| Support (estimated) | N/A | - |
| Resistance (estimated) | N/A | - |
| 30-session range position | N/A | - |
| Data confidence (technical) | Low | - |
The day range of 77.00-80.95 is supplied directly from the quote; support and resistance proxies are not, so the snapshot leans on the intraday range rather than computed levels.
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | N/A | Insufficient moving-average data |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | N/A | RSI14 unavailable |
| MACD line / signal / histogram | N/A | MACD unavailable |
| KDJ K / D / J | N/A | KDJ unavailable |
| Bollinger upper / middle / lower | N/A | Bollinger position unavailable |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | N/A | ATR unavailable |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | N/A | OBV unavailable |
| CCI20 | N/A | CCI unavailable |
What is confirmed: Nothing on the indicator layer is confirmed. Price level (80.15), daily change (+0.75%), the intraday band (77.00-80.95), and session volume (23.07M) are the only verified market observations.
What is conflicted: No genuine conflict can be assessed, because there are no opposing indicator signals to weigh. The five strategy sub-scores (MA交叉, MACD背离, RSI极值, 布林带, 量价关系) each return 50/100 Hold with the note 数据不足 (insufficient data), so they are placeholders rather than directional reads.
What is missing: Effectively the entire indicator set. Trend structure, momentum, volatility (ATR), volume confirmation (OBV, volume-vs-average), and mean-reversion context (Bollinger, CCI) are all absent. No custom indicators were supplied. Until this data repopulates, treat any trend or momentum characterization as low confidence.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.91 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PB | 2.97 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 1.05 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear HKD 84.96 / Base HKD 116.83 / Bull HKD 146.79 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +45.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Operating income | HKD 43.23B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Holder profit | HKD 4.64B | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| EPS TTM | 4.24 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Book value per share | 27.02 | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Gross margin | +19.70% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
| Net margin | +11.12% | AkShare Eastmoney HK financial indicators | Medium |
The PEG proxy of 1.05 and the fair-value range (Bear 84.96 / Base 116.83 / Bull 146.79) are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from public financial history, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair-value gap of +45.8% implies the model sees room above spot under its base growth assumption of +18.00% over five years; that gap is a function of the model's inputs and should be read alongside its Medium confidence. PE of 18.91 against EPS TTM of 4.24, and PB of 2.97 against book value per share of 27.02, are drawn from the 2025-12-31 AkShare HK report period. EV/EBITDA, dividend yield, market cap, and the 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
No confirmed news is available, so no headline-driven catalyst can be assessed. There is no supplied earnings date, corporate action, or company announcement to anchor a timeline. Because the rules bar inventing catalysts, this section is intentionally empty of forward events; the absence of news is itself a low-information condition rather than a bullish or bearish signal.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for 02382. Social sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is effectively a blank panel and should not be used to support any directional view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the recent 77.00-80.95 area while indicators remain unavailable | Strategy score stays near 50/100 with continued consolidation; price oscillates inside the intraday band | A decisive break of either band edge once volume and trend data repopulate |
| Upside | Price sustains above the StockKit bear watch level of HKD 84.96 | Move toward the Base fair-value reference of HKD 116.83 with the +45.8% model gap intact; rising volume vs a (currently unavailable) 20-session average | Failure to hold above 84.96, or downward revision of the +18.00% base growth assumption |
| Downside | Price loses the 77.00 intraday low on expanding volume | Sustained trade below the day's low with no indicator support to lean on | Recovery back into the 77.00-80.95 band and reclaim of the bear fair-value watch level |
All levels are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions. Scenario confidence is constrained by the missing technical layer; the framework leans on the supplied day range and the StockKit fair-value figures.
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical blind spot | Every indicator (MA, RSI, MACD, KDJ, Bollinger, ATR, OBV, CCI) reads N/A | Continued absence of indicator data | Re-run the indicator feed; avoid trend conclusions until it repopulates |
| Model-vs-market gap | Base fair-value gap of +45.8% on a Medium-confidence DCF | Spot fails to converge toward HKD 116.83 over time | Treat the gap as a scenario output, not a target; reassess if growth assumptions change |
| News vacuum | No headlines from the configured source | A material announcement arrives unmodeled | Watch for the news feed to reconnect; do not assume calm equals stability |
| Sentiment vacuum | Social sentiment not connected; no NewsAPI distribution | Sentiment source reconnects with a strong skew | Connect or refresh sentiment sources before weighting positioning |
| Volume context missing | No 20-session average volume supplied | A volume spike cannot be benchmarked | Restore the volume baseline to validate any breakout or breakdown |
数据不足
数据不足
数据不足
数据不足
数据不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.