StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
LMT · US · Cached
Generated 2026-08-05 04:56 UTC
LMT
LMT · US
$582.17
+0.37%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
55 / 100
Trend
bull
Data confidence
Medium
Research view
LMT Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- Current setup: LMT trades at 582.17 (+0.37% on the day) with a Hold signal (overall score 55/100) inside a bull-labeled trend. The moving-average stack is constructive (MA5 525.10 > MA10 524.28 > MA20 519.70), but price sits far above that structure (+12.02% vs MA20) and above both the estimated resistance at 551.01 and the top of the 30-session range (490.05 / 550.99), so the tape is stretched relative to its own indicators.
- Confidence: Medium-to-low overall. Several supplied fields conflict internally: price (582.17) is above the Bollinger upper band (551.01), above estimated resistance (551.01), and above the 30-session high (550.99), yet the range-position and distance-to-resistance readings imply price still sits below resistance. Valuation is anchored to a 2019 income-statement period, which lowers confidence on fundamental conclusions.
- Most important level to monitor: 551.01, the shared Bollinger upper band and estimated resistance. Holding above it keeps the extended-but-firm read intact; a close back below it would realign price with the 30-session range and the MA structure.
02Key data snapshot
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 582.17 |
| Daily move | +0.37% |
| Overall score | 55/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bull (mixed MA alignment) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 48.92 / 47.22 (neutral) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.21 / -1.60 / +1.40 (golden cross, below zero) |
| Support (est.) | 488.39 |
| Resistance (est.) | 551.01 |
| 30-session range | 490.05 / 550.99 |
| Range position | +151.17% (above stated range) |
| Data confidence | Medium-to-low (internal level conflicts; stale fundamentals) |
03Technical indicator panel
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 525.10 / 524.28 / 519.70 / 525.59 | Short-term stack rising (MA5>MA10>MA20); MA60 above MA20 keeps alignment mixed. Price is +12.02% above MA20, i.e. extended from the mean. |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 48.92 / 47.22 | Neutral momentum; no overbought/oversold trigger despite the price extension. |
| MACD | -0.21 / -1.60 / +1.40 | Golden cross with a positive histogram, but the MACD line is still below the zero axis - improving momentum, not yet confirmed strength. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 53.02 / 57.55 / 43.97 | Soft / still repairing; K below D, J trailing. No decisive turn. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 551.01 / 519.70 / 488.39 | Price (582.17) is above the upper band; context flags "near upper band (150% of band)." This is the clearest sign of a stretched tape. |
| ATR14 | 13.44 (+2.58% of price) | Moderate volatility; a ~2.6% average daily range frames stop and watch-level spacing. |
| OBV | -28,417,949.10; 20-session slope -18.98% | Distribution pressure visible - volume flow is negative while price is elevated. This is the main divergence in the panel. |
| CCI20 | 6.94 | Inside the neutral band; no extreme reading. |
Confirmed: the near-term moving-average slope is up (MA5>MA10>MA20), volatility is contained (ATR 2.58%), and MACD shows an early momentum improvement (positive histogram).
Conflicted: price is above the Bollinger upper band and above resistance while RSI, KDJ, and CCI all read neutral, and OBV shows distribution (-18.98% slope). Elevated price plus negative volume flow plus neutral oscillators is an unresolved tension. Volume is also -47.02% vs the 20-session average (1,348,932), so the move up is happening on light participation.
Missing: no custom/proprietary indicators were supplied beyond the panel above, so none are folded in here.
04Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.1 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 15.5 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 2.27 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.21 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair-value range | Bear $197.38 / Base $236.61 / Bull $307.93 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed, not consensus) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -59.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Revenue | $59.81B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.02B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $135.94B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $62.45B / Equity $8.77B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit fair-value range ($197.38 / $236.61 / $307.93) and the -59.4% base gap are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst targets, and the negative 5Y growth assumptions (-8% to +2%) drive them. Note that the fundamentals reference the 2019-12-31 income-statement period, so the multiples and the model output carry lower confidence as a read on the current business; the gap between the model's fair value and the 582.17 price should be interpreted with that staleness in mind. Dividend yield, PEG proxy, and a 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
05News and catalyst timeline
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | With no headline flow, price and volume are the only observable inputs; the technical picture cannot be cross-checked against a catalyst. |
| Earnings / guidance dates | Not supplied | No confirmed reporting date to anchor a catalyst window; do not infer one. |
| Analyst actions | Not supplied | No ratings or target changes are available; none are assumed. |
Confirmed news: none. All catalyst-timeline entries above are missing-data flags rather than events. No headlines were invented.
06Sentiment radar
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local-forum readings are not available because no such source is marked connected, so none are reported.
07Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 519.70 (MA20) to 551.01 (resistance/Bollinger upper) zone with RSI14 near 49 and CCI neutral | Score stays around 55/100 Hold; MACD histogram stays positive; volume stabilizes near the 1,348,932 average | Close below 519.70 (MA20) or OBV slope deteriorating further from -18.98% |
| Upside | Sustained hold above 551.01 with expanding volume (recovery from the -47.02% below-average reading) | MACD line crossing above the zero axis (from -0.21) and RSI6 turning up from 47.22; OBV slope turning less negative | Price falling back inside the 30-session range (below 550.99) with OBV still declining |
| Downside | Loss of 519.70 (MA20) on rising volume | KDJ staying soft (K 53 < D 57) and MACD histogram rolling back negative; approach toward 488.39 support/Bollinger lower | Reclaim of 551.01 with positive OBV slope |
08Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overextension from the mean | Price +12.02% above MA20; above Bollinger upper (551.01) and 30-session high (550.99) | A snap-back toward MA20 (519.70) | Watch daily closes relative to 551.01 and 519.70 |
| Distribution / weak flow | OBV -28.4M with a -18.98% 20-session slope | OBV slope steepening while price stalls | Track OBV direction against each new price high |
| Light-volume advance | Current volume -47.02% vs 20-session average (1,348,932) | Continued advances on below-average volume | Compare daily volume to the 1.35M average |
| Momentum not yet confirmed | MACD line still below zero (-0.21); RSI14 neutral (48.92); KDJ soft | MACD failing to clear the zero axis | Watch for a MACD zero-axis cross and RSI6 turn |
| Stale / model-based valuation | Fundamentals from 2019-12-31; StockKit base gap -59.4% is model output | New fundamentals materially changing the multiples | Treat fair-value range as scenario context, not a target |
| Information vacuum | No news and no sentiment source connected | Any confirmed headline or catalyst | Re-run once the news/sentiment feeds return data |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
1. 551.01 - daily closes above or below this shared resistance / Bollinger upper level (top priority).
2. 519.70 (MA20) - the first structural support if price mean-reverts.
3. Daily volume vs the 1,348,932 20-session average - is the advance gaining participation or staying light (-47.02% currently)?
4. OBV 20-session slope - improvement from -18.98% or further deterioration.
5. MACD line relative to the zero axis (currently -0.21) and histogram (currently +1.40).
6. RSI6 (47.22) and RSI14 (48.92) - any move toward overbought/oversold from neutral.
7. Return of the configured news and sentiment feeds - both are currently empty, and any confirmed item should reset the technical read against a catalyst.
Information-use note
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit from the supplied dataset only; it is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. All levels are watch levels, not instructions. Fundamental figures reference SEC EDGAR companyfacts with a 2019-12-31 income-statement period, which lowers confidence on valuation conclusions. The StockKit fair-value range, base gap, PEG, and 5Y growth figures are internally computed scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment sources returned no data, and no social sentiment source is connected, so those sections reflect missing data rather than measured readings. Several supplied level fields conflict internally (price above the Bollinger upper band, estimated resistance, and 30-session high while range-position and distance-to-resistance readings imply otherwise); those conflicts are flagged rather than resolved.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
70
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD背离Neutral
50
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=49中性
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.