AMAT Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- AMAT (AMAT) is trading at 516.89, with a current daily move of -3.61%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 49/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 466.31 and resistance at 582.27; price is +9.79% from support and +12.65% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 516.89 | Daily move -3.61% |
| Strategy score | 49/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 44.94 | Soft but not washed out |
| MACD | 1.48 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 466.31 / 582.27 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 436.33 / 629.98 | Price sits at +41.60% of the range |
| Volume check | +70.11% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +6.70% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 1.48, while MACD line / signal are -7.51 / -8.99.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 52.04 / 63.94 / 28.25; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (44% of band); upper / middle / lower are 582.27 / 524.29 / 466.31.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 33.98 (+6.70% of price), OBV slope is -22.40%, and CCI20 is -56.29.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 466.31 / 582.27; recent 30-session range is 436.33 / 629.98.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 59.68 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 16.3 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 14.72 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 47.76 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 25.29 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $96.92 / Base $126.06 / Bull $162.33 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -75.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -3.64% / Base +2.36% / Bull +8.36% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $28.37B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $7.00B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $417.65B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $43.52B / Equity $25.63B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000006951; company: APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE.
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-10-26.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Elda sigue sin creérselo: "Messi nos puede llevar a otra dimensión" - Elperiodico.com
2. The ventral hippocampus: computations, circuits and functions - Nature.com
3. Stocks Settle Lower as Surging Crude Prices Boost Fed Rate Hike Chances - Barchart.com
4. Por qué compra y qué piensa hacer Messi con el Eldense: la cronología del salto del argentino a la gestión de un club profesional - El Mundo
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Barchart.com x2, Elperiodico.com x1, Nature.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes:
- No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 466.31 and 582.27 | Strategy score stays near 49/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 582.27 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 466.31 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 466.31 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Soft but not washed out; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +6.70% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 466.31 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 582.27 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 60/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 50/100 | Hold | MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=45中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.