AMAT
AMAT · US
I'm noticing some inconsistencies in the moving average data-the precomputed labels claim MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60, but the actual values show MA5 at 581.90 and MA10 at 627.29, which contradicts that ordering. Let me verify the correct relationships before generating the report.
There's also a significant disconnect between the current price of 516.89 and the fair value estimates, which suggests I should present this with lower confidence and flag the large divergence. I'll need to separate the relevant news from noise and note that the earnings date appears to be August 13.
Now I'm calculating the position within the 30-session range and the distances to support and resistance levels. I should also note the ticker is AMAT and compile the valuation matrix with all supplied rows while treating the StockKit scenario rows as internal data. Given the thin sentiment data, the valuation gaps, and the moving average alignment conflict, I'll need to flag this analysis as having lower confidence overall.# AMAT Research Preview
| Field | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 516.89 |
| Daily move | -3.61% |
| Overall score | 48/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 52.25 / 45.93 (neutral) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | 27.31 / 40.47 / -13.15 (bearish config) |
| Support (est.) | 501.14 (+3.05% below price) |
| Resistance (est.) | 705.74 (+36.54% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +26.10% (range 438.22-739.67) |
| Data confidence | Medium |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 581.90 / 627.29 / 603.44 / 486.31 | Price 516.89 sits below MA5, MA10, MA20 and above MA60; -14.34% vs MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 52.25 / 45.93 | Neutral momentum, no extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 27.31 / 40.47 / -13.15 | Bearish: line below signal, negative histogram, though still above zero line |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 27.98 / 37.78 / 8.38 | Soft / still repairing in lower region |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 705.74 / 603.44 / 501.14 | Near lower band (8% of band) |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 54.85 / +9.32% | Elevated volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 186,573,110 / +23.66% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | -4.93 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: Neutral RSI (52.25), a bearish MACD configuration (histogram -13.15, line below signal), proximity to the lower Bollinger band (501.14), and improving OBV accumulation (+23.66% slope) all corroborate a consolidation-with-downward-pressure picture. Volume vs 20-session average is +8.66%, consistent with the strategy engine's price-volume note (70/100, Buy).
Conflicted: The precomputed label states "Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60)," but the raw values order as MA10 (627.29) > MA20 (603.44) > MA5 (581.90) > MA60 (486.31). The MA-cross sub-score (30/100, Sell, "MA5<MA20 death cross") aligns with the raw values, so I treat the raw MA ordering as the operative read and flag the alignment label as lower confidence. MACD is bearish while OBV accumulation is improving and price-volume scores Buy, another unresolved tension.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here. KDJ and CCI both point to a soft/neutral state rather than a clear directional signal.
Rows marked StockKit scenario model are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. Dividend yield and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 59.68 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 17.47 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 14.72 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 47.84 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 25.29 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Fair value range | Bear $96.92 / Base $126.06 / Bull $162.33 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -75.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -3.64% / Base +2.36% / Bull +8.36% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $28.37B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $7.00B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $417.65B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $40.29B / Equity $23.91B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Note the large divergence between the current price (516.89) and the StockKit DCF base fair value (126.06), producing a -75.6% base gap. This is a model output driven by the supplied 5Y growth assumptions (Base +2.36%) and reported fundamentals, not a consensus target. Given the size of that gap and the Low-confidence EV/EBITDA input, treat the fair-value section as lower confidence and directional rather than precise.
| Date | Headline | Source | Relevance |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Applied Materials Rose 15% on Thursday and Is Still More Than 30% Below Its High. It Reports on Aug. 13 | Biztoc.com | Directly AMAT: notes a sharp single-day gain and a distance below prior highs; references an Aug. 13 report date |
| 2026-08-01 | Applied Materials surges 15% but remains 30% below highs as AI chip demand fuels semiconductor rally | Crypto Briefing | Directly AMAT: ties the move to broader semiconductor/AI demand |
| 2026-07-31 | S&P 500 ends with its first July decline since 2014 | MarketWatch | Macro context for the broad tape, not AMAT-specific |
Why they matter: The two AMAT-specific headlines both describe a large one-day advance while the stock sits well below prior highs, which is consistent with the wide 30-session range (438.22-739.67) and elevated ATR (+9.32%). The MarketWatch item frames a weak July for the broad index, relevant as backdrop.
Missing / unusable data: The Aug. 13 report date appears only inside a news headline; it is not confirmed by company filings in the supplied dataset, so treat it as reported-by-headline rather than a verified catalyst date. Two supplied headlines are not about AMAT (a Malay-language fertilizer article from Fazlisyam.com and an Amazon-focused Yahoo Entertainment piece) and are excluded from the AMAT read. No confirmed earnings figures, guidance, or ratings were supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Biztoc.com x1, Crypto Briefing x1, Fazlisyam.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider-level sentiment score was supplied and no social feed (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) is marked connected, so no social sentiment reading is inferred. Headline coverage exists but is thin and partly off-topic (see Section 5), keeping this section at lower confidence.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base - consolidation continues | Price holds the 501.14 support / lower Bollinger band; RSI14 stays near 52; CCI in neutral band (-4.93) | Range-bound action between ~501 support and MA20 at 603.44, with OBV slope staying positive (+23.66%) | Decisive close below 501.14 or a clean reclaim of MA20 (603.44) |
| Upside - recovery toward mid-band | Reclaim of MA20 at 603.44 on above-average volume (current +8.66% vs 20-session avg) | MACD histogram turning up from -13.15 and MACD line crossing back above signal (40.47); KDJ lifting from soft readings | Failure at MA5 (581.90) / MA10 (627.29) and rollover back under 501.14 |
| Downside - support break | Close below estimated support 501.14 (lower Bollinger band) | Move toward the 30-session low at 438.22; ATR staying elevated (+9.32%) amplifying moves | Quick recovery back above 501.14 and stabilization inside the band |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish momentum persists | MACD histogram -13.15, line below signal; MA5583.90-ordering shows death cross (MA-cross sub-score 30/100) | MACD line falling further below signal (40.47); price staying under MA20 (603.44) | Watch daily MACD histogram and MA20 distance (currently -14.34%) |
| Support failure | Price only +3.05% above 501.14; near lower Bollinger band (8% of band) | Close below 501.14 | Track closes vs 501.14; escalate attention toward 438.22 30-session low |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 +9.32% of price; wide 30-session range (438.22-739.67) | Daily ranges expanding beyond ATR | Size positions to ATR; avoid reading single-day moves as trend |
| Valuation gap | StockKit DCF base fair value 126.06 vs price 516.89 (-75.6% gap); PE 59.68, EV/EBITDA 47.84 (Low confidence) | Any confirmed growth deceleration vs Base +2.36% assumption | Treat fair-value gap as model-driven; watch reported fundamentals against assumptions |
| Thin sentiment / event uncertainty | No connected social feed; only 2 of 5 headlines are AMAT-specific; Aug. 13 report date is headline-sourced only | New AMAT-specific news or a filing-confirmed report date | Verify report date via filings before treating it as a catalyst |
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱
RSI14=52中性
在通道中部
价涨量增(1.1x),走势确认
Applied Materials Rose 15% on Thursday and Is Still More Than 30% Below Its High. It Reports on Aug. 13
Biztoc.com · 2026-08-01
Applied Materials surges 15% but remains 30% below highs as AI chip demand fuels semiconductor rally
Crypto Briefing · 2026-08-01
Bila Masa Terbaik Membaja: Musim Kering atau Musim Hujan?
Fazlisyam.com · 2026-08-01
亞馬遜強噴15%!美股收紅、台積電ADR小漲0.23% 台指期夜盤下滑1077點
Yahoo Entertainment · 2026-07-31
S&P 500 ends with its first July decline since 2014. Here are the stocks that led the selloff.
MarketWatch · 2026-07-31
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