StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
MDT · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-21 07:03 UTC
Medtronic plc
MDT · US
$79.34
+1.54%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
53 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
Medium
Research view
MDT Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- Current setup: MDT is consolidating at 79.34 (+1.54% on the day), holding above its short- and medium-term moving averages (MA5 77.70 / MA10 77.37 / MA20 77.66) but well below MA60 (84.10), with the strategy engine scoring the name 53/100 and flagging a Hold/consolidation regime.
- Confidence: Moderate on technicals and fundamentals; low on news and sentiment, since no headlines or social series were returned from the configured sources.
- Most important level to monitor: the 80.58 resistance band (Bollinger upper and estimated resistance), which sits just +1.56% above spot; a sustained move through it, or a loss of the 74.74 support, would resolve the current range.
02Key data snapshot
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 79.34 |
| Daily move | +1.54% (range 78.45-79.51) |
| Strategy score | 53/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 36.39 / 33.21 (soft) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.68 / -2.06 / +0.37 |
| Support (est.) | 74.74 (+5.80% below price) |
| Resistance (est.) | 80.58 (+1.56% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +36.58% (range 74.40-87.91) |
| Data confidence | Technicals/fundamentals: medium; news/sentiment: low |
03Technical indicator panel
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA5/10/20/60 | 77.70 / 77.37 / 77.66 / 84.10 | Price above the short/medium cluster (+2.16% vs MA20) but below MA60; mixed alignment |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 36.39 / 33.21 | Soft, not washed out; below the 50 midline |
| MACD | -1.68 / -2.06 / +0.37 | Line above signal (positive histogram) but both below zero; momentum repairing, not yet expansionary |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 47.83 / 59.13 / 25.25 | K below D and a low J; soft / still repairing |
| Bollinger | 80.58 / 77.66 / 74.74 | Mid-band zone, ~79% of band width; no edge tag |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 1.68 / +2.22% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-session slope | -199,380,238.90 / -29.33% | Distribution pressure visible; volume flow trending down |
| CCI20 | -64.22 | Inside a neutral band, mildly negative |
Confirmed: the short-term MA cluster supports price (MA5 > MA10 > MA20) and the MACD histogram is positive (+0.37), consistent with a near-term repair attempt. Conflicted: MACD sits below the zero axis while OBV slope (-29.33%) signals distribution, so the upside impulse lacks volume confirmation; RSI (36.39) and KDJ (J 25.25) remain soft against a positive daily candle. Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set above, so nothing additional is folded in here.
04Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.29 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.07 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 2.81 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 13.28 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.50 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $54.59 / Base $70.28 / Bull $89.60 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -11.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +2.51% / Base +8.51% / Bull +14.51% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $36.36B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.80B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $102.20B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $93.03B / Equity $49.46B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The PEG proxy (2.50), fair-value range, base fair-value gap (-11.4%), and 5Y growth bands are StockKit internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets. On those internal figures, spot (79.34) trades above the Base case ($70.28) and below the Bull case ($89.60). EV/EBITDA carries Low confidence and should be weighted accordingly.
05News and catalyst timeline
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | No fresh catalysts are available to corroborate or challenge the technical setup; the read here rests on price/volume and fundamentals only |
No earnings dates, ratings, or events are asserted because none were supplied. This section is low confidence until a news source is connected.
06Sentiment radar
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are provided because no such source is marked connected. Sentiment is therefore non-informative for this brief.
07Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What confirms it | What invalidates it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price holds the 74.74-80.58 band; score steady near 53/100 | Continued mid-band drift, RSI14 stabilizing near 36-45, flat-to-mild OBV | Decisive close outside the band in either direction |
| Upside | Close above 80.58 (Bollinger upper / resistance) | MACD histogram expands and line approaches zero axis, OBV slope turning up from -29.33% | Failure to hold above 80.58; OBV continues lower |
| Downside | Loss of 74.74 support (-5.80% below spot) | RSI6 (33.21) breaking lower, distribution accelerating in OBV, MA60 (84.10) acting as overhead cap | Reclaim of 77.66 (MA20) with positive volume |
08Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution / weak volume flow | OBV -199.4M, 20-session slope -29.33% | OBV makes new lows on up days | Watch OBV slope alongside daily volume vs 20-session avg (10.07M) |
| Momentum below zero axis | MACD line -1.68, both line and signal sub-zero | Histogram rolls back negative | Track MACD line toward/away from zero |
| Valuation above Base case | Base fair value $70.28; gap -11.4%; spot 79.34 | Price extends with no fundamental update | Compare spot vs Base/Bull bands |
| Overhead MA60 resistance | MA60 84.10 vs price 79.34 | Rejection on rallies toward MA60 | Watch reaction near 84.10 |
| Volume-price sell signal | Strategy 量价关系 35/100 (Sell) | Price drops on rising volume | Confirm with intraday volume and OBV |
| Information gaps | No news, no sentiment series | New catalyst emerges unmodeled | Re-check news/sentiment connectors |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
1. Resistance test at 80.58 (Bollinger upper / estimated resistance) - close above or rejection.
2. Support integrity at 74.74 - any intraday break and recovery.
3. MA20 (77.66) hold - price staying above keeps the short-term cluster intact.
4. MACD histogram (+0.37) - expansion toward the zero axis vs fade back negative.
5. OBV 20-session slope (-29.33%) - sign of distribution easing or intensifying.
6. RSI14/RSI6 (36.39 / 33.21) - stabilization vs further softening.
7. News/sentiment connectors - first available headline to fill the current data gap.
Information-use note
This brief is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice, and contains no return promises. Technical and SEC-sourced fundamental inputs carry medium confidence; news and sentiment carry low confidence because no headlines or social series were returned from the configured sources. PEG proxy, fair-value range, base gap, and 5Y growth bands are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus. All price levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
70
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD背离Neutral
50
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI极值Constructive
60
RSI14=36偏低
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Weak
35
价跌放量(1.0x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.