ETN
ETN · US
ETN Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $421.77 |
| Daily move | +2.96% |
| Strategy score | 44/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 47.43 / 48.39 (neutral) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -3.59 / 0.77 / -4.36 (bearish) |
| Estimated support | $372.05 (+11.79% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | $437.53 (+3.74% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +79.85% of $367.64 / $435.43 |
| Data confidence | Medium (technical complete; news/sentiment Low) |
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | 381.26 / 394.13 / 404.79 / 384.85 | Mixed alignment; price +4.19% over MA20 |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 47.43 / 48.39 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -3.59 / 0.77 / -4.36 | Bearish; line below signal and below zero |
| KDJ (K / D / J) | 32.21 / 29.30 / 38.03 | Constructive crossover from a low base |
| Bollinger (upper / mid / lower) | 437.53 / 404.79 / 372.05 | Mid-band zone, 76% of band, width expanding |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 16.40 / +4.19% | Elevated daily range relative to price |
| OBV / OBV 20-session slope | 33,432,760 / -25.08% | Distribution pressure visible |
| CCI20 | -82.75 | Inside neutral band |
What is confirmed: the trend is classified bear, and that is supported by the MACD configuration (line below signal, below zero, histogram -4.36) and by OBV's -25.08% 20-session slope, which points to accumulated distribution pressure. Bollinger width is expanding while price holds the mid-band (76%), consistent with rising volatility into a directional test.
What is conflicted: short-term momentum and tape strength disagree with the trend label. The KDJ shows a constructive crossover off a low base (K 32.21 over D 29.30), RSI sits neutral at 47.43, and price closed +2.96% at +79.85% of its 30-session range. So a strong session and a turning oscillator are pushing against a still-bearish MACD and a negative OBV slope. The +2.96% advance also came on volume -20.31% below the 20-session average (3,715,596 vs 2,954,804), which the strategy engine flags as price up / volume down, i.e. limited conviction behind the move.
What is missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so there is nothing additional to fold in here. CCI20 at -82.75 is inside the neutral band and adds no directional edge.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.37 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 8.37 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 6.01 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 37.38 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.24 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $209.46 / Base $288.05 / Bull $361.92 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -31.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $27.45B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.09B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $165.00B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $55.09B / Equity $19.72B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Reported fundamentals carry High confidence on revenue ($27.45B), net income ($4.09B), and balance sheet (assets $55.09B / equity $19.72B). The multiples (PE 40.37, PB 8.37, P/S 6.01) are full-cycle premium readings; EV/EBITDA 37.38 is flagged Low confidence and should be treated as indicative only. The StockKit DCF scenario rows are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus: the Base fair value of $288.05 sits -31.7% below the current $421.77, while the Bull case ($361.92) still lands below market price. That gap is the central valuation tension here - the model's own scenario set does not reach today's price even in its Bull path, so the premium is dependent on growth running at or above the +18% to +24% Base/Bull forecast. The PEG proxy of 2.24 is consistent with a premium-multiple, mid-teens-growth profile.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | Missing - no current news items from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
No confirmed news was returned, so no headline-driven view can be formed and no catalyst dates are available. Because nothing was supplied, this section makes no claims about earnings timing, corporate actions, or guidance. Confidence on the news dimension is Low purely on absence of data, not on any negative signal.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Headline coverage came back empty and the social channel is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum reading is inferred. The sentiment dimension is therefore uninformative for this brief and should not be weighted in the setup.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the $404.79 mid-band and chops between MA20 and resistance | RSI staying near 47-50, MACD histogram narrowing from -4.36 toward zero, range position easing back from +79.85% | Sustained close below MA20 ($404.79) with OBV slope worsening |
| Upside | Confirmed break above $437.53 resistance / Bollinger upper | Breakout backed by volume above the 20-session average (currently -20.31%) and a MACD line crossing back above signal | Failure at $437.53 on light volume, or a reversal back into the mid-band |
| Downside | Loss of MA20 ($404.79) on rising volume | KDJ rolling back below its signal, MACD histogram re-widening, move toward support at $372.05 (+11.79% below) | Reclaim of MA20 and a higher low, with OBV slope turning up |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bearish trend persistence | Strategy trend = bear; MACD -3.59 line below signal 0.77, below zero | Failure to clear $437.53; MACD histogram staying near -4.36 | Track MACD line vs signal daily |
| Thin-volume rally | +2.96% on volume -20.31% vs 20-session average | Continued advances on below-average volume | Compare daily volume to 2,954,804 baseline |
| Distribution pressure | OBV 20-session slope -25.08% | OBV slope deepening while price flat or up | Watch OBV slope direction for divergence |
| Valuation premium | Base fair value $288.05 is -31.7% below price; PE 40.37, EV/EBITDA 37.38 | Growth tracking below the +18% Base forecast | Reassess against any reported fundamentals |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 at +4.19% of price | Range widening with directionless price | Size expectations to ATR-scale daily swings |
| Information gaps | No news and no sentiment feeds returned | Late-arriving headlines that reset the setup | Re-check the news/sentiment sources before acting |
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强
RSI14=47中性
在通道中部,带宽扩张中
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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