StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
CME · US · Cached
Generated 2026-08-03 01:14 UTC
CME
CME · US
$255.36
+0.02%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
53 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
High
Research view
CME Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- CME (CME) is trading at 255.36, with a current daily move of +0.02%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 53/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 211.71 and resistance at 273.55; price is +17.10% from support and +7.12% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 255.36 | Daily move +0.02% |
| Strategy score | 53/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 43.85 | Soft but not washed out |
| MACD | 2.29 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 211.71 / 273.55 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 218.31 / 281.75 | Price sits at +58.40% of the range |
| Volume check | -19.34% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +3.29% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 2.29, while MACD line / signal are -8.56 / -10.85.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 67.35 / 51.37 / 99.33; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (71% of band); upper / middle / lower are 273.55 / 242.63 / 211.71.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 7.88 (+3.29% of price), OBV slope is -989.93%, and CCI20 is -25.32.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 211.71 / 273.55; recent 30-session range is 218.31 / 281.75.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.59 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 3.47 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 14.11 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.72 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 1.53 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $215.74 / Base $274.92 / Bull $347.08 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +7.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +8.80% / Base +14.80% / Bull +20.80% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $6.52B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.07B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $92.01B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $194.68B / Equity $26.52B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0001156375; company: CME GROUP INC.. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Yealimi Noh seizes on Ryu’s late collapse to build 3-shot lead in Women’s British Open - NBCSports.com
2. How thin weekend Bitcoin liquidity turns minor geopolitical news into massive Monday price gaps for ETF holders - CryptoSlate
3. Middle East turmoil leaves gas prices exposed - TheStreet
4. J.P. Morgan anticipa subida de tasas en diciembre por ambigüedad de Warsh - Diariobitcoin.com
6. Sentiment radar
Ticker news sentiment is Neutral (0.167) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 18 positive / 32 neutral / 0 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | NBCSports.com x1, CryptoSlate x1, TheStreet x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Notes: - Alpha Vantage sentiment covers news/feed sentiment, not full social-channel coverage.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 211.71 and 273.55 | Strategy score stays near 53/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 273.55 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 211.71 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 211.71 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Soft but not washed out; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +3.29% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 211.71 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 273.55 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 40/100 | Hold | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=44中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Neutral
40
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD背离Constructive
65
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=44中性
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
缩量回调，可能企稳
News & catalyst inputs
Yealimi Noh seizes on Ryu’s late collapse to build 3-shot lead in Women’s British Open
NBCSports.com · 2026-08-01
How thin weekend Bitcoin liquidity turns minor geopolitical news into massive Monday price gaps for ETF holders
CryptoSlate · 2026-08-01
Middle East turmoil leaves gas prices exposed
TheStreet · 2026-08-01
J.P. Morgan anticipa subida de tasas en diciembre por ambigüedad de Warsh
Diariobitcoin.com · 2026-08-01
Analysts Anticipate Massive XRP Rally as CLARITY Act and Institutional Adoption Build Momentum
ZyCrypto · 2026-08-01
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.