CME
CME · US
CME Research Preview
| Field | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 246.38 |
| Daily move | -2.44% |
| Strategy score | 61/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | bull |
| RSI (RSI14 / RSI6) | 48.33 / 45.43 (neutral) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 0.20 / -0.49 / +0.69 |
| Estimated support | 277.19 |
| Estimated resistance | 303.29 |
| 30-session range position | -84.47% (below the range) |
| Data confidence | Mixed - fundamentals Medium/High; technical conflicted; news/sentiment Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 295.63 / 294.01 / 290.24 / 299.12 | MA5>MA10>MA20 stacked bullish, but price 246.38 sits ~15.11% below MA20 and below all MAs |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 48.33 / 45.43 | Neutral momentum, no extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.20 / -0.49 / +0.69 | Golden cross, line above zero; histogram positive but momentum described as weakening |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 47.39 / 58.65 / 24.86 | Soft / still repairing; J line depressed |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 303.29 / 290.24 / 277.19 | Price near/below lower band (-118% of band), band expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 6.32 / +2.17% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV (value / 20-sess slope) | 10,984,419.44 / +793.07% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 11.09 | Inside neutral band |
What is confirmed: MACD shows a bullish configuration with the line above the zero axis (0.20) and a positive histogram (+0.69). OBV accumulation is improving sharply (slope +793.07%). RSI (48.33) and CCI (11.09) sit cleanly in neutral territory.
What is conflicted: The moving-average alignment (MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60-ish) and the bull trend tag describe an uptrend, yet the live price at 246.38 has dropped below all four moving averages, beneath the lower Bollinger band, and below the entire 30-session range (-84.47% position). This strongly suggests the MA/Bollinger/trend readings were computed on a higher price base than the current quote, so the "Buy / bull" signal is not yet corroborated by price action. Treat the bullish structure with lower confidence until price re-engages the 274-277 zone.
What is missing: No news feed and no sentiment series were available, so catalyst and positioning context cannot inform the technical read.
No additional custom indicators were supplied.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.8 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 3.34 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 13.61 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 19.92 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 1.47 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $215.74 / Base $274.92 / Bull $347.08 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +11.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +8.80% / Base +14.80% / Bull +20.80% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $6.52B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.07B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $88.77B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $201.99B / Equity $26.62B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The PEG proxy (1.47), fair-value range, base fair-value gap (+11.6%), and 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals - they are internally modeled forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. At 246.38, price sits below the StockKit Base fair value of $274.92, consistent with the modeled +11.6% base gap and above the Bear case of $215.74.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline news | No current news items were available from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
No headlines were returned, so there is no confirmed catalyst to interpret. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of activity - confidence on the news layer is Low. No earnings dates, ratings, or events have been supplied, and none are inferred.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are drawn. The sentiment layer carries no informational weight in this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price stabilizes and reclaims the 30-session floor near 274.60 and lower band 277.19; OBV slope (+793.07%) holds | Daily closes back inside the 30-session range and above the lower Bollinger band, aligning price with the bull trend tag and StockKit Base FV $274.92 | Repeated closes below 245.61 day-low with rising ATR (currently 6.32 / +2.17%) |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20 (290.24) with MACD histogram staying positive (+0.69) | Move toward resistance 303.29 / upper band, progress toward StockKit Bull FV $347.08 | Failure to hold above MA20 after a reclaim; MACD histogram rolling negative |
| Downside | Continued rejection below the 30-session range (position -84.47%) and below support 277.19 (-12.51% away) | Acceptance below the Bear FV $215.74 with neutral-to-weak RSI (48.33) failing to find a momentum floor | Quick recovery above 274.60 with volume expansion above the 20-session average (2,234,974) |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator-vs-price conflict | Bull trend / MA5>MA10>MA20 stack while price is -15.11% vs MA20 and below the 30-session range | Bullish signals persist without price reclaiming 274-277 | Watch for price to validate or reject the bull tag at the 30-session floor |
| Weak participation on strength | "价涨量缩" - current volume -35.68% vs 20-session average (2,234,974) | Up moves continue on declining volume | Track volume against the 2.23M average on any bounce |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 6.32 (+2.17%), Bollinger band widening | ATR% rises further while price stays below the lower band | Size and watch-level discipline as ATR expands |
| Momentum stall | MACD momentum described as weakening; KDJ soft (J=24.86) | Histogram (+0.69) compresses toward zero | Watch MACD histogram and KDJ J-line for further deterioration |
| Information blackout | No news and no sentiment from configured sources | Move occurs with no visible catalyst context | Re-check feeds; treat unexplained moves with added caution |
1. Watch level 274.60 (30-session floor) and 277.19 (lower Bollinger band / estimated support) - reclaim or rejection is the primary tell. 2. Confirm whether price closes back inside the 30-session range (current position -84.47%). 3. Track volume against the 20-session average (2,234,974); current reading is -35.68% below it. 4. Monitor MACD histogram (+0.69) and signal-line spread (line 0.20 vs signal -0.49) for momentum follow-through or fade. 5. Watch RSI14 (48.33) for a decisive break out of the 45-55 neutral band. 6. Reassess MA20 at 290.24 as the upside watch level if the 274-277 zone holds. 7. Re-check the news and sentiment feeds - both returned no data this cycle and could re-add context.
The technical, trend, and valuation-scenario layers in this brief carry internal data conflicts (most notably between the bullish trend/MA structure and a price trading below the full 30-session range) and should be read as lower-confidence. News and sentiment sources returned no data. This brief is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice; all levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and no return is promised.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=48中性
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.