StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
CME · US · Cached
Generated 2026-09-06 08:32 UTC
CME
CME · US
$255.36
+0.02%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
57 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
High
Research view
CME Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- CME (CME) is trading at 255.36, with a current daily move of +0.02%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 57/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 237.25 and resistance at 274.99; price is +7.09% from support and +7.69% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 255.36 | Daily move +0.02% |
| Strategy score | 57/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 60.07 | Constructive but not extreme |
| MACD | 0.93 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 237.25 / 274.99 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 218.31 / 270.00 | Price sits at +71.68% of the range |
| Volume check | -34.64% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.62% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 0.93, while MACD line / signal are 4.70 / 3.77.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 59.69 / 71.08 / 36.92; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (48% of band); upper / middle / lower are 274.99 / 256.12 / 237.25.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 6.90 (+2.62% of price), OBV slope is +28.40%, and CCI20 is 70.56.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 237.25 / 274.99; recent 30-session range is 218.31 / 270.00.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.59 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 3.47 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 14.11 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.72 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 1.53 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $215.74 / Base $274.92 / Bull $347.08 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +7.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +8.80% / Base +14.80% / Bull +20.80% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $6.52B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.07B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $92.01B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $194.68B / Equity $26.52B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0001156375; company: CME GROUP INC.. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. 트럼프 “연준 금리인하 안하면 미국이 적자 보는 나라와는 무역 중단” - Khan.co.kr
2. cloudmesh-ai-llm added to PyPI - Pypi.org
3. cloudmesh-ai-llm 7.1.6 - Pypi.org
4. Chainlink reporta USD $340.000 millones en activos del mundo real en cadena - Diariobitcoin.com
6. Sentiment radar
Ticker news sentiment is Neutral (0.149) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 18 positive / 30 neutral / 2 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Pypi.org x2, Khan.co.kr x1, Diariobitcoin.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Notes: - Alpha Vantage sentiment covers news/feed sentiment, not full social-channel coverage.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 237.25 and 274.99 | Strategy score stays near 57/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 274.99 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 237.25 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 237.25 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Constructive but not extreme; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.62% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 237.25 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 274.99 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 60/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 70/100 | Buy | MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 45/100 | Hold | RSI14=60偏高 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
60
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD背离Constructive
70
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI极值Neutral
45
RSI14=60偏高
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
缩量回调，可能企稳
News & catalyst inputs
트럼프 “연준 금리인하 안하면 미국이 적자 보는 나라와는 무역 중단”
Khan.co.kr · 2026-09-05
cloudmesh-ai-llm added to PyPI
Pypi.org · 2026-09-05
cloudmesh-ai-llm 7.1.6
Pypi.org · 2026-09-05
Chainlink reporta USD $340.000 millones en activos del mundo real en cadena
Diariobitcoin.com · 2026-09-04
Wall Street: Τα στοιχεία για την αγορά εργασίας «έριξαν» τους βασικούς δείκτες
Newsit.gr · 2026-09-04
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.