PYPL
PYPL · US
PYPL Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 42.51 |
| Daily move | +1.02% |
| Day high / low | 42.82 / 41.65 |
| Strategy score | 45/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 36.18 / 28.58 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -1.04 / -0.73 / -0.31 |
| Estimated support | 41.64 |
| Estimated resistance | 51.55 |
| 30-session range | 42.93-52.30 |
| Position in 30-session range | -4.48% |
| Data confidence | Medium-low (no news/sentiment; fundamentals dated) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 44.22 / 44.63 / 46.60 / 46.53 | Price below all MAs; MA5<MA20 death-cross flagged (MA cross 30/100, Sell). Precomputed note labels structure "mixed alignment". |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 36.18 / 28.58 | Soft but not washed out; RSI extreme model scores 60/100 Buy on RSI14=36 being low. |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.04 / -0.73 / -0.31 | Bearish configuration below zero with momentum building to the downside (MACD model 35/100, Sell). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 33.75 / 23.39 / 54.47 | Constructive crossover noted (K above D), a tentative positive against the broader bear read. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 51.55 / 46.60 / 41.64 | Near lower band, ~9% of band width; band model 50/100 Hold. |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 1.42 / +3.22% | Moderate volatility; about 3.22% of price per ATR unit. |
| OBV (level / 20-sess slope) | -272,339,935 / -174.45% | Distribution pressure visible; the most clearly negative breadth input. |
| CCI20 | -71.66 | Inside a neutral band, not yet at an oversold extreme. |
Confirmed: The bearish bias is corroborated across MA structure, MACD, and OBV - price is below all moving averages, MACD momentum is deepening below zero, and OBV slope is sharply negative.
Conflicted: Momentum oscillators disagree with trend. RSI14 (36) and the KDJ crossover lean toward a stabilization/bounce setup, and the volume-price model reads the pullback as low-volume (possible base), while MA cross, MACD, and OBV remain firmly negative. CCI sits neutral, not confirming either side.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the panel above, so none are folded in here. No intraday momentum or longer-horizon trend confirmation was provided.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.86 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.06 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 2.32 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.20 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 0.44 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $108.39 / Base $149.05 / Bull $187.28 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +250.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $17.77B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.23B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $41.15B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $80.55B / Equity $20.02B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit fair value range and base fair-value gap (+250.6%) are internally computed DCF scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets. A meaningful caveat: the latest annual income-statement period used is 2019-12-31, so the fundamental ratios and the scenario model built on them reflect a dated reporting base. That gap between an old fundamental snapshot and the live price is the most likely driver of the very large modeled fair-value gap, and it warrants lower confidence in the scenario rows than the High-confidence balance-sheet and revenue lines.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source. |
No confirmed news or scheduled catalysts were supplied, so none are presented. With the news feed empty, the report cannot weight any event-driven thesis, and no earnings date, rating change, or company-specific headline can be cited. This is a data gap, not evidence of absence of activity. Treat the technical and (dated) fundamental inputs as the only supported basis for any view until the news source returns coverage.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not marked connected, so no readings are inferred from them. Sentiment is effectively unobserved here and should not be used as a confirming or contradicting input.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 41.64 support / lower-band zone on continued below-average volume (currently -28.88% vs 20-session avg) | Stabilization near support with the KDJ crossover holding and RSI14 lifting off 36; volume-price model "缩量企稳" read persists | Decisive close below 41.64, or OBV slope deepening from its current -174.45% |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA5/MA10 cluster (44.22 / 44.63) and progress toward MA20 at 46.60 | MACD histogram narrowing toward zero from -0.31, RSI6 recovering from 28.58, KDJ crossover sustaining | Failure at the MA5 cluster with renewed MACD weakening below the -1.04 line |
| Downside | Break of 41.64 support; price already sits -4.48% within the 30-session range (42.93-52.30) | Lower-band breakdown with expanding ATR (now 1.42 / 3.22%) and OBV distribution accelerating | Reclaim of 41.64 and a push back above MA5 (44.22) |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend remains bearish | Price below all MAs; MA5<MA20 death cross (30/100 Sell); trend tagged "bear" | Continued lower closes beneath MA5 (44.22) | Watch MA5/MA20 gap and any daily close back above MA5 |
| Momentum deteriorating | MACD -1.04 below zero, histogram -0.31, momentum "增强" to downside | MACD histogram widening further negative | Track histogram direction and signal-line cross |
| Distribution pressure | OBV at -272.3M with 20-session slope -174.45% | OBV slope steepening alongside price weakness | Monitor OBV slope vs price for divergence/confirmation |
| Support failure | Price only +2.04% above 41.64; near lower band (9% of band) | Close below 41.64 | Set 41.64 as primary watch level |
| Valuation inputs dated | Income-statement period 2019-12-31; large modeled fair-value gap (+250.6%) | New fundamentals revising ratios materially | Re-evaluate valuation rows when current-period financials are available |
| Information gaps | No news, no sentiment feed returned | Any incoming headline or catalyst | Re-check news and sentiment sources before acting on the thesis |
1. The 41.64 support / lower-Bollinger zone - primary level; watch for hold vs. decisive break. 2. MACD histogram (-0.31) for narrowing toward zero, signaling momentum easing. 3. RSI14 (36.18) and RSI6 (28.58) for a lift confirming the "soft but not washed out" read. 4. KDJ crossover durability - whether K continues to lead D after the constructive cross. 5. Volume vs the 20-session average (currently -28.88%) for confirmation of low-volume stabilization vs. a volume-led breakdown. 6. OBV 20-session slope (-174.45%) for any flattening that would ease distribution concern. 7. News and sentiment sources for any returning coverage, since both feeds are currently empty and would change the confidence picture.
This brief uses only the supplied dataset. News and sentiment feeds returned no data, and the fundamental inputs reference a 2019-12-31 income-statement period, which lowers confidence in the valuation and scenario-model sections. Levels are framed as watch levels for observation, not as instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强
RSI14=36偏低
在通道中部
缩量回调,可能企稳
Research boundary
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