StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
MELI · US · Fresh
Generated 2026-09-12 14:32 UTC
MELI
MELI · US
$1,819.74
+1.02%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
52 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
High
Research view
MELI Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- MELI (MELI) is trading at 1819.74, with a current daily move of +1.02%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 52/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 1769.42 and resistance at 1929.55; price is +2.77% from support and +6.03% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 1819.74 | Daily move +1.02% |
| Strategy score | 52/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 51.61 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | -8.77 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 1769.42 / 1929.55 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 1756.33 / 1946.00 | Price sits at +33.43% of the range |
| Volume check | -38.62% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +3.66% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -8.77, while MACD line / signal are 19.28 / 28.05.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 46.02 / 51.41 / 35.23; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (31% of band); upper / middle / lower are 1929.55 / 1849.48 / 1769.42.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 67.52 (+3.66% of price), OBV slope is +6.59%, and CCI20 is 3.07.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 1769.42 / 1929.55; recent 30-session range is 1756.33 / 1946.00.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.2 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 11.78 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.54 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.69 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.57 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $789.75 / Base $1,086.07 / Bull $1,364.59 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -40.3% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $20.34B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.00B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $92.26B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $51.36B / Equity $7.83B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0001099590; company: MERCADOLIBRE INC. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Maloney football scores in final 20 seconds to stun Glastonbury in season opener - Ctinsider.com
2. Mercado Libre Experience 2026: IA y tecnología redefinen el comercio digital en México - El Financiero
3. El ecosistema de Mercado Libre ya representa el 1% del PBI argentino - La Nacion
4. Tempo di vendemmia (e non solo), tempo di Bressanone - Il Sole 24 Ore
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Ctinsider.com x1, El Financiero x1, La Nacion x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes: - No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 1769.42 and 1929.55 | Strategy score stays near 52/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 1929.55 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 1769.42 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 1769.42 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +3.66% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 1769.42 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 1929.55 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 60/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 40/100 | Hold | MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=52中性 |
| 布林带 | 55/100 | Hold | 在通道中部，带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
60
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD背离Neutral
40
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=52中性
布林带Neutral
55
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
量价关系Neutral
55
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
News & catalyst inputs
Maloney football scores in final 20 seconds to stun Glastonbury in season opener
Ctinsider.com · 2026-09-11
Mercado Libre Experience 2026: IA y tecnología redefinen el comercio digital en México
El Financiero · 2026-09-10
El ecosistema de Mercado Libre ya representa el 1% del PBI argentino
La Nacion · 2026-09-10
Tempo di vendemmia (e non solo), tempo di Bressanone
Il Sole 24 Ore · 2026-09-10
Almendro Home: decoración accesible con una identidad cercana y familiar
Perfil.com · 2026-09-10
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.