MELI
MELI · US
MELI Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 1819.74 |
| Daily move | +1.02% |
| Strategy score | 62/100 (Signal: Buy) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 70.00 / 86.66 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 49.41 / 27.79 / 21.62 |
| Support (est.) | 1526.77 (+16.10% away) |
| Resistance (est.) | 1887.84 (+3.74% away) |
| 30-session range position | +77.93% (range 1546.00-1897.26) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technicals complete; news/sentiment missing) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 1830.07 / 1784.21 / 1707.31 / 1709.46 | Bull alignment; price +6.59% above MA20; MA5>MA20 golden cross |
| RSI (14/6) | 70.00 / 86.66 | Constructive but stretched; RSI6 signals short-term extreme |
| MACD | 49.41 / 27.79 / +21.62 | Bullish, above zero line; supplied context notes momentum weakening |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 87.22 / 85.29 / 91.09 | Constructive crossover but in high/overbought territory |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 1887.84 / 1707.31 / 1526.77 | Near upper band (81% of band); band width expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 59.43 / +3.18% | Moderate volatility; ~3.2% average true range per session |
| OBV / 20-session slope | -4,574,644.80 / +39.94% | Absolute OBV negative, but slope improving (accumulation building) |
| CCI20 | 144.47 | Above +100; strong upside momentum |
Confirmed: The trend-following signals agree. MA alignment, MACD above zero, CCI above +100, and an improving OBV slope all point in the same bullish direction, and this is reinforced by volume 7.57% above the 20-session average.
Conflicted: Momentum oscillators diverge from the trend signals on timing. RSI6 at 86.66, RSI14 at 70.00, and KDJ J at 91.09 all sit in overbought zones, and the supplied MACD context flags weakening momentum even while the configuration stays bullish. Price near the upper Bollinger band with expanding width can extend a move but also raises pullback risk.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here. Note the OBV absolute value is negative while its slope is positive; the supplied data does not resolve why the base level is negative, so treat OBV as a directional (slope) signal only.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.2 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 12.67 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.54 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.51 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.57 | StockKit scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $789.75 / Base $1,086.07 / Bull $1,364.59 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -40.3% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model (internal) | Medium |
| Revenue | $20.34B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.00B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $92.26B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $46.93B / Equity $7.28B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The valuation profile is elevated on reported multiples (PE 46.2, PB 12.67, P/S 4.54), consistent with a high-growth expectation embedded in the price. The StockKit DCF scenario model, which is an internally computed forecast and not analyst consensus, places base fair value at $1,086.07, roughly 40.3% below the current 1819.74. That gap sits above even the model's Bull case of $1,364.59, meaning the current price is running ahead of all three internal scenario outputs. This is a notable tension: the technical trend is bullish while the internal valuation model reads the price as extended. EV/EBITDA is flagged Low confidence, so weight it lightly. No 52-week range or dividend yield row was supplied, so both are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current items available | No confirmed headlines to interpret; catalyst read is low confidence |
Confirmed news: None. The configured source returned no current items, so no company-specific events, earnings dates, or announcements can be cited.
Missing data: The entire news and catalyst layer is absent. Because of this, the report cannot attribute the current price action to any specific event, and any near-term catalyst assessment is low confidence. Watch for the news feed to repopulate, since an unexplained move at the top of the range is more informative once a driver is confirmed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Headline coverage returned no data and the social sentiment source is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are drawn. The sentiment layer is effectively empty and should be treated as unavailable rather than neutral.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 30-session range and consolidates near the upper band | Continued closes between MA5 (1830.07) and resistance 1887.84 with RSI6 cooling off the 86.66 extreme while volume stays near the 20-session average | Sustained break below MA20 (1707.31), erasing the +6.59% cushion |
| Upside | Clean break and hold above resistance / upper band 1887.84 | Daily close above 1887.84 and the 30-session high 1897.26 on above-average volume, with MACD histogram (currently +21.62) staying positive | Rejection at the band with RSI6 rolling over from overbought and MACD histogram contracting |
| Downside | Overbought unwind from RSI6 86.66 / KDJ J 91.09 | Break below MA5 1830.07 then MA10 1784.21, with OBV slope (+39.94%) flattening or turning down | Reclaim of the upper band and a fresh high above 1897.26 |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overbought reversal | RSI6 86.66, RSI14 70.00, KDJ J 91.09 | Bearish daily close back below MA5 1830.07 | Track RSI6 reset and whether MA5 holds as support |
| Extension above fair value | Price 1819.74 vs StockKit base fair value $1,086.07 (-40.3% gap), PE 46.2 | Any momentum stall while price sits above the Bull case $1,364.59 | Watch for MACD histogram contraction against the elevated multiples |
| Upper-band rejection | Near upper Bollinger band (81%), resistance 1887.84 only +3.74% away | Failure to close above 1887.84 / 1897.26 | Watch band interaction and volume on each test |
| Volatility gap | ATR14 at +3.18% of price | A single-session move exceeding ~59 points | Size watch levels around ATR to avoid noise-level triggers |
| Momentum fade despite bull trend | Supplied MACD context notes "momentum weakening"; strategy RSI sub-score 35/100 (Sell) | Histogram (+21.62) trending toward zero | Track histogram slope alongside price at resistance |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data available | An unexplained sharp move with no confirmable driver | Watch for feeds to repopulate before attributing cause |
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=70偏高，短期极度超买
接近上轨，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.1x)，走势确认，连续放量上涨
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.