StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
ADI · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 01:52 UTC

ADI

ADI · US

$434.46
+4.83%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
48 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

ADI Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: ADI (ANALOG DEVICES INC.) closed at 434.46, up +4.83% on the day on volume +46.93% above its 20-session average, pushing price to the top of its 30-session range (+98.67% position) and pinning it against the upper Bollinger band (99% of band). This is a strong-volume push into resistance rather than a clean breakout, so the setup reads as a consolidation testing its ceiling. - Confidence: Medium-low overall. Price and technical inputs are complete and internally consistent (strategy score 48/100, signal Hold, trend consolidation), but news and sentiment feeds returned nothing, and the StockKit DCF fair-value range diverges sharply from the live quote, which lowers confidence on the valuation read. - Most important level to monitor: The 434.89 resistance / upper Bollinger band, which sits just +0.10% above current price. A sustained, volume-backed hold above this watch level versus a rejection back toward MA20 (406.94) is the single condition that defines near-term direction.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price434.46
Daily move+4.83%
Strategy score48/100 (Hold)
TrendConsolidation
RSI14 / RSI650.88 / 40.98
MACD (line/signal/hist)9.53 / 15.03 / -5.51
Support (est.)379.00 (+12.77% below price)
Resistance (est.)434.89 (+0.10% above price)
30-session range position+98.67% (341.32-435.72)
Data confidenceMedium-low (technicals complete; news/sentiment absent)
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead
MA (5/10/20/60)402.44 / 413.13 / 406.94 / 359.16Price above all MAs (+6.76% vs MA20); structure flagged as mixed alignment, MA5<MA20 death cross per score model
RSI (14/6)50.88 / 40.98Neutral on RSI14; faster RSI6 weaker, no extreme reading
MACD9.53 / 15.03 / -5.51Bearish configuration: line below signal, histogram negative, though still above zero line
KDJ (K/D/J)30.89 / 44.77 / 3.12Soft / still repairing; J near floor, K below D
Bollinger (U/M/L)434.89 / 406.94 / 379.00Price at upper band (99% of band)
ATR14 / ATR14%14.58 / +3.67%Moderate daily range as a share of price
OBV / 20-session slope36,066,588 / -25.40%Distribution pressure: falling OBV slope despite today's price gain
CCI20-62.42Inside a neutral band, leaning soft

What is confirmed: Price strength and an above-average volume day are confirmed by the +46.93% volume reading and the +4.83% move, and the volume-price relationship score (70/100, Buy) supports that. Price sits above all four moving averages.

What is conflicted: Momentum oscillators disagree with price. MACD is in a bearish configuration (histogram -5.51) and OBV slope is negative (-25.40%) even as price rallies, signaling possible distribution into strength. KDJ is soft and the MA-cross sub-score flags a MA5<MA20 death cross, conflicting with the bullish volume read.

What is missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so this section reflects the provided set only.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE95.18SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
PB6.40SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
Price / sales19.58SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
EV/EBITDA75.53SEC EDGAR companyfactsLow
StockKit fair value rangeBear $41.93 / Base $50.27 / Bull $65.42StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap-88.4%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Revenue$11.02BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Net income$2.27BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Market cap$215.80BSEC shares outstanding + live quoteMedium
Balance sheet contextAssets $47.95B / Equity $33.74BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh

Note: The StockKit fair-value range ($41.93-$65.42) and the -88.4% base gap are internally computed DCF scenario outputs driven by a negative 5Y growth assumption (Base -4.00%), not analyst consensus targets. The wide divergence from the live quote (434.46) against high-multiple reported fundamentals (PE 95.18, P/S 19.58, EV/EBITDA 75.53) is the central valuation tension here and should be read with that model caveat in mind. PEG proxy was N/A and is omitted. 52-week range was not supplied and is omitted.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatusWhy it matters
Configured news sourceNo current items returnedNo confirmed headlines are available to support or challenge the technical picture, so any catalyst-driven view would be unsupported

Confirmed news: None available from the configured source. No earnings dates, ratings, or company events are asserted because none were supplied. This is a lower-confidence section by necessity; the absence of news means the price action in Section 3 carries the read on its own.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are included because none were marked connected. Treat sentiment as unobservable for this brief.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BasePrice oscillates between MA20 (406.94) and resistance (434.89) as consolidation continuesStrategy score holding near 48/100, RSI14 near 51, range position staying high without a decisive breakA clean directional break of either the 434.89 ceiling or the 379.00 floor
UpsideSustained close above the 434.89 resistance / upper band with volume staying above the 4.16M 20-session averageMACD histogram (-5.51) narrowing toward zero and OBV slope (-25.40%) turning up to confirm accumulationOBV slope deepening negative while price stalls, or a fade back under MA10 (413.13)
DownsideRejection at the upper band rolling price back toward MA20 (406.94) then support (379.00)KDJ staying soft, MACD bearish configuration persisting, CCI (-62.42) drifting lowerReclaim and hold of 434.89 with expanding volume
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Distribution into strengthOBV 20-session slope -25.40% despite +4.83% up dayOBV slope deepens while price holdsWatch OBV slope vs price each session
Resistance rejectionPrice at 99% of Bollinger band, +0.10% from 434.89Failure to close above 434.89Track close relative to upper band
Momentum rolloverMACD histogram -5.51, MA5<MA20 death cross flaggedHistogram widens negative, KDJ stays softWatch MACD and KDJ for further softening
Valuation gapPE 95.18, EV/EBITDA 75.53, StockKit base gap -88.4%Negative growth assumptions confirmed by fundamentalsReassess if updated fundamentals shift the DCF inputs
Information blind spotsNo news and no sentiment feed returnedA material headline appears that the brief did not captureRe-check news/sentiment sources before acting on technicals
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. Daily close versus the 434.89 resistance / upper Bollinger band (+0.10% away) - the primary directional tell. 2. Volume versus the 4.16M 20-session average; confirm whether the +46.93% surge persists or fades. 3. OBV 20-session slope (-25.40%) for any turn up that would ease the distribution concern. 4. MACD histogram (-5.51) for narrowing toward the zero line. 5. KDJ (J at 3.12) and CCI20 (-62.42) for signs of repair or further softening. 6. MA20 (406.94) as the first downside watch level if the upper band rejects. 7. News and sentiment sources for any new coverage, since both returned empty in this brief.

Information-use note

This brief reflects only the supplied StockKit dataset and observable technical readings. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no return promises. Levels cited are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions. Valuation fair-value figures are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment sections are lower confidence because the configured sources returned no data.

Strategy factors
MA交叉Weak
30

MA5<MA20死叉

MACD背离Neutral
40

MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱

RSI极值Neutral
50

RSI14=51中性

布林带Neutral
50

在通道中部

量价关系Constructive
70

价涨量增(1.5x),走势确认

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.