TJX
TJX · US
TJX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $163.81 |
| Daily move | -0.19% |
| Strategy score | 59/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 57.60 / 69.78 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.66 / -1.59 / +0.94 |
| Estimated support | $145.92 |
| Estimated resistance | $161.49 |
| 30-session range position | +115.08% (range $146.14 / $161.50) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: moderate; Valuation: low-medium (stale period); News/Sentiment: low (no source) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 155.17 / 151.69 / 153.70 / 157.04 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60 and price +6.58% above MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 57.60 / 69.78 | Constructive but not extreme on RSI14; faster RSI6 nearing hotter territory |
| MACD | -0.66 / -1.59 / +0.94 | Bullish configuration; positive histogram with line above signal, still below zero |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 67.00 / 48.97 / 103.04 | Extended; J at 103.04 flags short-term overheating risk |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 161.49 / 153.70 / 145.92 | Near/above upper band (~115% of band) |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 3.85 / +2.43% | Moderate volatility as a share of price |
| OBV (value / 20-sess slope) | 30,517,624.68 / +415.60% | Accumulation improving on the volume tape |
| CCI20 | 76.27 | Inside a neutral band |
Confirmed: The MACD configuration (histogram +0.94, line above signal) and improving OBV slope (+415.60%) both lean constructive, and the MA stack is positively ordered (MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60).
Conflicted: Momentum signals diverge from positioning. KDJ J at 103.04 and RSI6 at 69.78 indicate near-term overheating, while price sits above the Bollinger upper band (~115%) and at +115.08% of the 30-session range, yet current volume is -16.68% versus the 20-session average. CCI20 at 76.27 and RSI14 at 57.60 remain neutral, so trend-following and oscillator reads are not aligned.
Missing: No supplied custom indicators beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.63 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 17.76 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 6.35 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 30.29 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.07 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Fair value range | Bear $97.65 / Base $125.38 / Bull $157.95 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -23.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +16.24% / Bull +22.24% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $29.08B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.49B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $184.78B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $36.16B / Equity $10.40B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The fair-value range and PEG proxy are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus. The base fair-value gap of -23.5% indicates the current price sits above the model's base case ($125.38), with the model's bull case ($157.95) below the current $163.81. Note the latest annual income-statement period used is 2015-01-31, which lowers confidence in the multiple-based rows.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed company-specific headlines or events to weigh; event risk cannot be assessed from the supplied feed |
| Earnings / corporate dates | Not supplied | No dated catalysts provided, so no timeline can be constructed without inventing facts |
Confirmed news: none in the supplied dataset. Missing data: headline coverage and any scheduled catalysts. This section is lower confidence by necessity; technical and valuation reads should be weighted accordingly until a catalyst feed is connected.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are inferred, as no such source is marked connected.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Consolidation persists near the upper band; score holds around 59/100 (Hold) | Price oscillates between MA20 ($153.70) and resistance ($161.49) with neutral CCI20 (76.27) and RSI14 (57.60) | Decisive close beyond $161.49 on volume above the 20-session average, or a break under MA20 |
| Upside | Sustained acceptance above $161.49 with volume expanding past the 20-session average (5,815,180) | MACD histogram stays positive (now +0.94), OBV slope holds, price extends beyond the 30-session high ($161.50) | Volume stays below average (currently -16.68%) and KDJ J (103.04) unwinds with price rejecting the upper band |
| Downside | Failure to hold the extended zone; mean reversion toward MA20 ($153.70) or support | Price slips back inside the Bollinger band and toward $145.92, with RSI6 (69.78) and KDJ cooling | Reclaim of $161.49 and a positively expanding volume profile |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overheating | KDJ J at 103.04; RSI6 at 69.78; price ~115% of Bollinger band | Failed hold above $161.49 with momentum rolling over | Watch KDJ/RSI6 cooling and price re-entering the band |
| Weak volume confirmation | Volume -16.68% vs 20-session average (5,815,180); strategy note "价涨量缩" | Further volume contraction on up moves | Compare daily volume against the 20-session average on each test of resistance |
| Extended vs range | +115.08% of 30-session range; +6.58% above MA20 | Reversion impulse back toward MA20 ($153.70) | Track distance to MA20 and support ($145.92, +10.92% below) |
| Valuation/data staleness | PE 33.63, PB 17.76, EV/EBITDA 30.29 (Low); income period 2015-01-31; base fair-value gap -23.5% | Updated fundamentals widen or narrow the gap | Refresh fundamentals when a newer reporting period is available |
| Catalyst blind spot | No news and no sentiment coverage returned | An unmodeled headline or event | Reconnect news/sentiment feeds before drawing event-driven conclusions |
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=58中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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