MPC
MPC · US
MPC Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $242.91 |
| Daily move | -0.69% |
| Strategy score | 57/100 (Hold) |
| Trend classification | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 57.03 / 53.61 |
| MACD line / signal / histogram | 6.32 / 6.41 / -0.10 |
| Estimated support | $231.81 (+4.57% buffer below spot) |
| Estimated resistance | $266.53 (+9.72% above spot) |
| 30-session range position | +60.32% (range $210.64-$264.14) |
| Data confidence | Mixed: technicals and core fundamentals solid; news and sentiment absent |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| Moving averages | MA5 256.80 / MA10 254.14 / MA20 249.17 / MA60 235.16 | Bullish alignment confirmed; however, spot ($242.91) is below all of MA5/MA10/MA20, signaling a near-term pullback within an up-structure |
| RSI | RSI14 57.03 / RSI6 53.61 | Constructive but not extreme; no overbought or oversold pressure |
| MACD | Line 6.32 / Signal 6.41 / Hist -0.10 | Conflicting: MACD remains above the zero axis (trend intact) but has crossed bearishly with a negative histogram (momentum fading) |
| KDJ | K 55.73 / D 65.19 / J 36.80 | Soft / still repairing; J well below K and D points to recent weakening |
| Bollinger Bands | Upper 266.53 / Mid 249.17 / Lower 231.81 | Mid-band zone, ~32% of band width; neutral, no band-edge stress |
| ATR14 | 9.28 (+3.65% of price) | Moderate daily volatility envelope; ~$9 typical true range |
| OBV | 6,657,639.44 / 20-session slope +805.55% | Accumulation improving; volume-based flow trending up despite price pause |
| CCI20 | 43.49 | Inside the neutral band; no extended condition either direction |
Confirmed: the multi-timeframe moving-average stack and the rising OBV slope both support an underlying bullish/accumulation bias.
Conflicted: MACD (above zero but bearish cross), KDJ (soft), and the fact that price sits below its short MAs together describe a momentum cooldown inside an otherwise constructive trend. RSI and CCI sit neutral, neither confirming nor opposing.
Missing: no custom or supplied indicators beyond the standard panel above; no intraday or volatility-regime overlay was provided.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.37 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 4.44 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 0.56 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.54 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $121.5 / Base $145.64 / Bull $189.54 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -40.0% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $132.70B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.05B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $74.33B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $88.19B / Equity $16.75B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Note: the StockKit fair-value range and 5Y growth forecast are internally computed DCF/scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair value of $145.64 implies a -40.0% gap to the current $242.91, and the scenario growth path is negative through the Base case (-4.00%). This sits in tension with the multiple-based picture: trailing PE of 18.37 and EV/EBITDA of 6.54 on Revenue of $132.70B / Net income of $4.05B are not stretched on an absolute basis. The PEG proxy row was N/A in the supplied data and is omitted. The divergence between scenario-model fair value and observable multiples is itself a key item for the reader to weigh; the EV/EBITDA and growth inputs feeding the model are Low/Medium confidence.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline news | No current news items available from the configured source | With no confirmed headlines, the brief cannot tie price action to a specific catalyst; technical and valuation inputs carry the analysis |
| Earnings / corporate events | Not supplied | No earnings date, guidance, or event was provided; none is assumed |
No catalysts are confirmed in the supplied dataset. The latest annual income-statement period referenced is 2025-12-31 (SEC EDGAR, CIK 0001510295). All other catalyst content is missing and is not fabricated.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are reported because none were marked connected. Sentiment is therefore a blind spot in this brief and should be treated as the lowest-confidence dimension.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the $231.81-$249.17 zone (lower Bollinger to MA20); strategy score steady near 57/100, MA stack stays bullish | Reclaim of MA20 ($249.17) with OBV slope staying positive (currently +805.55%) | Daily close below estimated support $231.81 |
| Upside | Momentum repairs: MACD histogram turns positive, KDJ J recovers above K/D, price pushes back above MA5 ($256.80) | Move toward and test of estimated resistance / upper band $266.53 on expanding volume (vs the current -18.36% below 20-session average) | Failure at MA20 with renewed bearish MACD divergence |
| Downside | Loss of $231.81 support; price exits mid-band toward lower-band breakdown; volume stays light on any bounce | Drift toward lower end of 30-session range ($210.64) and convergence with the -40.0% StockKit Base fair-value gap | Quick reclaim of $231.81 and MA20, restoring the bullish MA alignment |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum rollover inside an uptrend | MACD bearish cross (line 6.32 < signal 6.41, hist -0.10); KDJ soft (J 36.80); price 2.51% below MA20 | Sustained negative MACD histogram + failure to reclaim MA20 | Track MACD histogram sign and daily closes vs $249.17 |
| Weak participation on advances | Current volume -18.36% vs 20-session average; score note "价涨量缩，上涨力度不足" (price up, volume down) | Rallies that fail to bring volume above the 20-session average (2,359,675) | Compare daily volume to 20-session average on up days |
| Valuation vs scenario-model gap | StockKit Base fair value $145.64 implies -40.0% gap; 5Y growth forecast Base -4.00% | Confirmation of negative growth path or multiple compression | Watch for fundamental updates that revise the DCF inputs |
| Information blind spots | No news from configured source; sentiment not connected (both Low confidence) | A material headline or sentiment shift hitting an un-monitored channel | Reconnect news/sentiment feeds; treat current read as technicals-only |
| Volatility | ATR14 $9.28 (+3.65% of price) | A widening ATR alongside band expansion | Size expectations to a ~$9 daily true-range envelope |
1. Daily close versus MA20 ($249.17) - the pivot between Base recovery and continued pullback. 2. Estimated support at $231.81 (lower Bollinger band, +4.57% below spot) - a close below shifts the read to Downside. 3. MACD histogram - watch for it to turn positive (momentum repair) or deepen negative. 4. KDJ J line (currently 36.80) - recovery back above K/D would confirm repair. 5. Volume versus the 20-session average (2,359,675) - current reading is -18.36%; participation must improve to validate any push toward resistance. 6. OBV 20-session slope (now +805.55%) - confirm accumulation flow stays positive even while price consolidates. 7. Estimated resistance / upper band $266.53 - the upside watch level; reaction there gauges trend continuation.
This brief is built solely from the supplied StockKit dataset and observable technicals; it is a research preview, not personalized investment advice. Confidence is uneven: price, technical, Revenue, Net income, and Equity inputs are reliable, while EV/EBITDA, PEG, growth forecasts, news, and sentiment are Low confidence or absent. Fair-value and growth figures are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus. All levels cited are watch levels, not instructions.
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=57中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.