StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
COF · US · Fresh
Generated 2026-09-12 14:30 UTC
COF
COF · US
$207.05
+2.08%
Technical posture
Constructive
Strategy score
64 / 100
Trend
bull
Data confidence
High
Research view
COF Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- COF (COF) is trading at 207.05, with a current daily move of +2.08%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 64/100, creating a neutral research posture with bullish alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 197.68 and resistance at 229.84; price is +4.53% from support and +11.01% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 207.05 | Daily move +2.08% |
| Strategy score | 64/100 | Buy, trend: bull |
| MA structure | Bullish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 70.21 | Elevated / potential short-term exhaustion |
| MACD | 0.78 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 197.68 / 229.84 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 191.38 / 228.14 | Price sits at +42.63% of the range |
| Volume check | -21.76% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.12% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is in an elevated zone, so chasing strength carries higher short-term risk.
- MACD: histogram is 0.78, while MACD line / signal are 5.83 / 5.05.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 87.63 / 83.92 / 95.04; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (29% of band); upper / middle / lower are 229.84 / 213.76 / 197.68.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 4.83 (+2.12% of price), OBV slope is -43.53%, and CCI20 is 123.44.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 197.68 / 229.84; recent 30-session range is 191.38 / 228.14.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.69 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 0.98 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 13.9 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 176.47 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | N/A | StockKit scenario model | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $41.63 / Base $49.9 / Bull $64.95 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -75.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $8.06B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.45B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $112.08B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $673.84B / Equity $113.79B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0000927628; company: CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Roger Clark realmente estava doente quando gravou as infames tosses de Arthur Morgan em Red Dead Redemption 2 - IGN
2. LG이노텍, AI 가속기용 FC-BGA 첫 공개…2027년 양산 - Inews24.com
3. Capital One Financial Stock: Is COF Underperforming the Financial Services Sector? - Barchart.com
4. null - Uol.com.br
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | IGN x1, Inews24.com x1, Barchart.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes: - No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 197.68 and 229.84 | Strategy score stays near 64/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 229.84 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 197.68 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 197.68 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Elevated / potential short-term exhaustion; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.12% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 197.68 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 229.84 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 90/100 | StrongBuy | MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列 |
| MACD背离 | 85/100 | StrongBuy | MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 15/100 | StrongSell | RSI14=70超买，短期极度超买 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 接近上轨，带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Strong momentum
90
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD背离Strong momentum
85
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI极值Deteriorating
15
RSI14=70超买，短期极度超买
布林带Neutral
50
接近上轨，带宽扩张中
量价关系Constructive
60
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足，连续放量上涨
News & catalyst inputs
Roger Clark realmente estava doente quando gravou as infames tosses de Arthur Morgan em Red Dead Redemption 2
IGN · 2026-09-11
LG이노텍, AI 가속기용 FC-BGA 첫 공개…2027년 양산
Inews24.com · 2026-09-09
Capital One Financial Stock: Is COF Underperforming the Financial Services Sector?
Barchart.com · 2026-09-07
Uol.com.br · 2026-09-04
nsupp-rest added to PyPI
Pypi.org · 2026-09-03
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.