COF
COF · US
COF Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $201.53 |
| Daily move | +0.33% |
| Strategy score | 45/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 48.07 / 53.60 (neutral) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -1.83 / -1.79 / -0.04 (bearish) |
| Estimated support | $181.14 |
| Estimated resistance | $195.70 |
| 30-session range position | +69.81% (range 180.00 / 210.84) |
| Data confidence | Medium overall; news/sentiment Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 186.18 / 185.30 / 188.42 / 188.88 | Mixed alignment; price (201.53) sits +6.96% above MA20. Strategy flags MA5<MA20 death cross (40/100, Hold). |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 48.07 / 53.60 | Neutral momentum, no extreme (RSI极值 50/100, Hold). |
| MACD | -1.83 / -1.79 / -0.04 | Bearish: below zero line with a slightly negative histogram (MACD背离 35/100, Sell). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 58.29 / 41.12 / 92.62 | Constructive crossover (K above D); J at 92.62 is stretched. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 195.70 / 188.42 / 181.14 | Price near/above upper band (~140% of band). |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 4.39 / +2.34% | Moderate volatility relative to price. |
| OBV (level / 20-sess slope) | -7,155,847.26 / -199.85% | Distribution pressure; volume flow trending out. |
| CCI20 | -18.33 | Inside neutral band. |
Confirmed: neutral momentum (RSI 48.07) and moderate volatility (ATR 2.34%) line up with the consolidation read. The KDJ crossover (58.29 > 41.12) is the clearest near-term constructive signal.
Conflicted: the bullish KDJ crossover sits directly against the bearish MACD configuration (-1.83 below zero) and the negative OBV slope (-199.85%). Price is +6.96% above MA20 and near the Bollinger upper band, yet the MA structure carries a MA5<MA20 death-cross flag - momentum and mean-reversion signals disagree. Current volume is -24.05% versus the 20-session average (4,334,539), so the move up lacks volume confirmation (量价关系 55/100: price up, volume shrinking).
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44.47 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 0.97 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 13.53 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 131.94 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $41.63 / Base $49.90 / Bull $64.95 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -75.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $8.06B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.45B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $109.09B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $682.90B / Equity $112.26B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Interpretation notes: PE (44.47) and Price/sales (13.53) read high against PB (0.97), which is below book - a tension common when reported earnings or revenue inputs are timing-sensitive. The EV/EBITDA reading (131.94) is marked Low confidence and should be weighted accordingly. The StockKit DCF range (Base $49.90) and the -75.2% base gap are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets; they hinge on the negative 5Y growth forecast (Base -4.00%) and should be treated as model views, not price targets. PEG proxy was N/A and is omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | Missing - no current news items from the configured source |
| Scheduled catalysts (earnings, dividends) | Not supplied |
No confirmed headlines were available, so no catalyst can be sourced or dated. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of news. Treat this section as Low confidence; do not infer event risk or quiet periods from the empty feed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for COF. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum reading is included. Sentiment cannot be used as an input here; the radar is effectively dark.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 188.42 (MA20) to 195.70 (upper band) zone in a consolidation, RSI stays near 48 | Continued sideways action with ATR near 2.34% and KDJ holding above D | Decisive break below 181.14 support or above the 30-session high of 210.84 on volume |
| Upside | Reclaim and hold above 195.70 resistance with volume returning toward the 20-session average (4,334,539) | MACD histogram turning positive and OBV slope flattening from -199.85% | Failure to hold 195.70 with volume staying -24% below average |
| Downside | Loss of 188.42 (MA20), then a test of 181.14 support | MACD extending below zero and OBV distribution continuing | Recovery back above MA20 with KDJ crossover intact (K 58.29 > D 41.12) |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution / weak volume confirmation | OBV slope -199.85%; volume -24.05% vs 20-session avg | Price rises further on shrinking volume | Watch daily volume vs 4,334,539 average; flag rallies without volume |
| Bearish momentum structure | MACD -1.83 below zero (背离 35/100, Sell); MA5<MA20 death cross | MACD histogram widening negative | Track MACD line/signal cross and zero-line position |
| Extended into resistance | Price near upper Bollinger band (~140%), +6.96% above MA20, J at 92.62 | Rejection at 195.70 / 210.84 | Watch the 195.70 zone for failure and J-line pullback |
| Valuation model gap | StockKit DCF base gap -75.2%; negative 5Y growth forecast (Base -4.00%) | Fundamentals confirm the negative growth path | Reassess if reported revenue/net income deviate from $8.06B / $2.45B inputs |
| Information blind spots | News and sentiment feeds both empty (Low confidence) | Unseen catalyst moves price | Re-run feeds before acting on any level |
1. The $195.70 watch level (upper band / resistance) - does price hold above or get rejected. 2. $188.42 (MA20) as the consolidation floor; loss of it opens the path to support. 3. $181.14 estimated support - the lower boundary of the Bollinger band. 4. Daily volume versus the 20-session average (4,334,539); current reading is -24.05%. 5. MACD histogram (-0.04) and whether the line (-1.83) moves back toward the zero axis. 6. KDJ J-line (92.62) for a stretched-condition pullback and whether K stays above D. 7. News and sentiment feeds - both empty now; re-check for any confirmed headline before treating levels as actionable.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and contains no return promises. Levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions. Sections drawing on the news and sentiment feeds are Low confidence because those sources returned no data, and the StockKit DCF fair-value range and PEG/growth figures are internally computed scenario outputs rather than analyst consensus.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=48中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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