ORLY
ORLY · US
ORLY Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 86.84 |
| Daily move | −1.76% |
| Strategy score | 46/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 47.84 / 48.75 (neutral) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | −0.44 / −0.36 / −0.08 (bearish config) |
| Estimated support | 87.79 |
| Estimated resistance | 97.57 |
| 30-session range position | −10.68% (range 88.17-100.63) |
| Data confidence | Medium overall; Low for news/sentiment |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 91.99 / 91.10 / 92.68 / 92.45 | Mixed alignment; price below all four MAs (−6.30% vs MA20). Strategy MA-cross sub-score 40/100, flagging MA5<MA20 death cross. |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 47.84 / 48.75 | Neutral momentum, no oversold/overbought signal. Sub-score 50/100. |
| MACD | −0.44 / −0.36 / −0.08 | Bearish configuration below zero line; histogram negative. Sub-score 35/100 (Sell). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 56.44 / 44.39 / 80.53 | Constructive crossover (K>D), the one short-term bullish tell in the panel. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 97.57 / 92.68 / 87.79 | Price near lower band; band width described as expanding. Sub-score 55/100. |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 2.21 / +2.41% | Moderate volatility; defines a roughly ±2.2 point daily envelope. |
| OBV (value / 20-sess slope) | −26,635,758.42 / −265.86% | Distribution pressure visible; negative slope is a notable bearish flow signal. |
| CCI20 | −25.20 | Inside a neutral band, neither stretched. |
Confirmed: a soft-to-bearish bias from the MA structure (price under all MAs), MACD below zero, and OBV distribution slope. Conflicted: the KDJ constructive crossover and neutral RSI/CCI argue against an outright downtrend, supporting the consolidation read. Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here; intraday and higher-timeframe context were not provided.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.28 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | −69.66 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.18 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.29 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 5.50 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $37.83 / Base $48.96 / Bull $62.74 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | −43.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear −0.68% / Base +5.32% / Bull +11.32% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $17.78B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.54B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $74.33B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $16.94B / Equity −$1.07B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The negative PB (−69.66) is a function of negative reported equity (−$1.07B), so the multiple is mechanically distorted and not directly comparable to a positive-equity peer set. The PEG proxy (5.50) and the StockKit fair-value range are scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair-value gap of −43.6% reflects the model's internal DCF assumptions; EV/EBITDA carries Low confidence and should be weighted accordingly. No 52-week range or dividend yield was supplied, so those rows are omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available |
No confirmed headlines were returned from the configured source, so there is nothing to weight or interpret. This is a data gap, not an indication that no catalysts exist. Confidence on the news dimension is Low, and no earnings dates, ratings actions, or corporate events have been supplied or should be assumed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are inferred. The sentiment dimension is effectively unobserved and should be treated as a blind spot, not as neutral positioning.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price holds the 87.79 support / lower-band zone; RSI stays neutral (~48); KDJ crossover persists | Sideways action between ~87.79 support and the 92.68 MA20/Bollinger middle, score staying near 46/100 | A decisive close below 87.79 or above the 92.68 mid-band |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20/middle band at 92.68; MACD histogram turning positive; OBV slope flattening | Sustained trade above 92.68 toward the 97.57 resistance (+12.36% headroom), with KDJ momentum confirming | Failure to hold above 92.68; OBV slope staying steeply negative |
| Downside | Loss of 87.79 support (only −1.10% away) on expanding ATR | Move toward the 30-session low at 88.17 and below, with OBV distribution pressure intensifying | Recovery back above 87.79 and the lower band; KDJ holding its constructive cross |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution / weak flow | OBV 20-session slope −265.86% | Continued negative OBV slope alongside price decline | Track OBV slope vs price daily for confirmation of accumulation or further distribution |
| Bearish momentum carry | MACD −0.44 below zero, histogram −0.08, sub-score 35/100 | Histogram widening further negative | Watch for MACD line/signal crossover and zero-line behavior |
| Support proximity | Price only −1.10% above 87.79 estimated support | Close below 87.79 / lower band | Set 87.79 as primary watch level; observe reaction on a test |
| Valuation gap (model) | StockKit Base fair-value gap −43.6%; PEG proxy 5.50 | n/a (structural, not a price trigger) | Treat as scenario-model context; revisit when fundamentals update |
| Negative equity optics | Reported Equity −$1.07B, PB −69.66 | n/a | Note PB is distorted; rely on PE/PS and cash-flow context instead of book-based multiples |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment series returned | New headline or sentiment feed coming online | Re-check news/sentiment sources before acting on technicals alone |
1. The 87.79 support / lower-band zone, price is only −1.10% above it; reaction here is the priority signal. 2. MA20 / Bollinger middle at 92.68 as the first overhead reclaim level. 3. MACD histogram, watch for a shift from −0.08 toward positive (momentum turn). 4. OBV 20-session slope, look for flattening as a sign distribution pressure is easing. 5. KDJ, confirm whether the constructive K>D crossover holds or fails. 6. Volume vs the 5,915,327 20-session average (currently −24.71%); a volume expansion on a move adds conviction. 7. News and sentiment feeds, monitor for any reconnection given both are currently empty (Low confidence).
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit from the supplied dataset only. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no return promises. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions. Technicals and reported fundamentals carry Medium-to-High confidence; the news and sentiment dimensions are Low confidence because no source data was returned. Fair-value, PEG, and growth-forecast figures are internally computed StockKit scenario outputs, not analyst consensus.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=48中性
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.