LULU
LULU · US
LULU Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 111.77 |
| Daily move | +0.01% |
| Overall score | 54/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 39.49 / 55.74 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -7.62 / -8.58 / +0.96 |
| Estimated support | 114.12 (price -2.10% below) |
| Estimated resistance | 144.51 (price +29.29% below) |
| 30-session range position | -9.06% (range 116.63-170.20) |
| Data confidence | Moderate; news/sentiment unavailable (Low) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 123.72 / 123.15 / 129.31 / 150.98 | Price below all MAs; descending order is MA60 > MA20 > MA5 > MA10. Price vs MA20 is -13.57%. |
| RSI (14/6) | 39.49 / 55.74 | RSI14 soft but not washed out; short-cycle RSI6 mid-range. |
| MACD (line/sig/hist) | -7.62 / -8.58 / +0.96 | Line above signal (crossover) with positive histogram, but both legs below zero. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 56.51 / 32.53 / 104.46 | J at 104.46 flags short-term overheating / extension risk. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 144.51 / 129.31 / 114.12 | Price near/below lower band (-8% of band width). |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 3.86 / +3.03% | Daily range roughly 3% of price. |
| OBV / OBV slope | -17,030,024.77 / -947.34% | Distribution pressure visible on the 20-session slope. |
| CCI20 | -29.57 | Inside a neutral band. |
Confirmed: MACD crossover with rising histogram (+0.96) confirms improving short-term momentum from a depressed base; RSI14 at 39.49 confirms a soft-but-not-extreme pullback; CCI20 at -29.57 confirms a neutral oscillator backdrop.
Conflicted: The precomputed MA label reads "Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60)," but the supplied MA values order as MA60 > MA20 > MA5 > MA10 - a bearish stack. I flag this inconsistency; treat the trend as below-MA consolidation. KDJ (J=104.46, overheating) also conflicts with the still-soft RSI14, indicating mixed momentum signals. OBV distribution pressure conflicts with the bullish MACD configuration.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.43 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.76 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 1.20 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 4.59 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 0.47 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $265.91 / Base $365.68 / Bull $459.46 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +227.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $11.10B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.58B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $13.31B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $8.53B / Equity $4.83B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The fair-value range, base fair-value gap, PEG proxy, and 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals (latest annual period 2026-02-01); they are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. The wide Base gap (+227.2%) rests on those model assumptions and should be weighed against the Low-confidence EV/EBITDA input. Dividend yield and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | Missing - no items from configured source | No company-specific catalysts can be confirmed or dated; technical and valuation reads carry the analysis. |
No confirmed news is available. With the news feed empty, near-term catalyst risk is unquantified - this is a low-confidence area, and no earnings dates, ratings, or events are assumed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for LULU. Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local-forum readings are not connected and are not inferred. Sentiment input is effectively absent.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Consolidation continues near the lower band; price oscillates around 114.12 support and the 30-session floor (116.63) | MACD histogram stays positive (now +0.96), RSI14 holds the high-30s/low-40s, OBV slope stops deteriorating | Sustained close below 111.77 with widening OBV distribution |
| Upside | Price reclaims 114.12 and pushes toward MA20 (129.31) | MACD line crosses above zero, RSI14 rises through 50, volume expands above the 20-session average (3.17M vs current -28.72%) | MACD rolls back below signal; J (104.46) unwinds into a momentum failure |
| Downside | Price stays detached below the 30-session range low (116.63) and support (114.12) | OBV slope (-947.34%) keeps falling, ATR (+3.03%) expands on down days | Reclaim of 114.12 with a confirmed MACD zero-line cross |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend below moving averages | Price -13.57% vs MA20; MA60 (150.98) far overhead | Failure to reclaim MA20 (129.31) | Track distance to MA20 and MA5 (123.72) |
| Distribution pressure | OBV -17.03M, 20-session slope -947.34% | OBV continues lower while price flat | Watch OBV slope vs price |
| Broken support | Price 111.77 below estimated support 114.12 (-2.10%) and 30-session low (116.63) | Daily close further below 111.77 | Use 114.12 as the reclaim watch level |
| Short-term overheating in KDJ | J=104.46 vs K=56.51 / D=32.53 | KDJ rolls over from extended level | Watch for J turning down |
| Model-driven valuation gap | Base fair-value gap +227.2% from StockKit DCF; EV/EBITDA confidence Low | Inputs revise lower | Treat fair-value range as scenario output, not consensus |
| Blind spots: no news / no sentiment | Both feeds returned no data (Low confidence) | Unseen catalyst moves price | Re-check feeds before acting on technicals alone |
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=39偏低
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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