ADSK
ADSK · US
ADSK Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $225.91 |
| Daily move | +7.70% |
| Strategy score | 54/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 49.54 / 60.81 (neutral momentum) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -3.77 / -6.79 / +3.02 (bullish config, below zero) |
| Estimated support | $184.69 |
| Estimated resistance | $213.89 |
| 30-session range position | +62.18% ($185.50-$250.49) |
| Data confidence | Technicals moderate; news thin; valuation forward rows modeled |
Note: current price ($225.91) sits above the supplied estimated resistance ($213.89) and above the 30-session high context; treat the resistance/upper-band cluster as a reclaimed zone under watch rather than an untested ceiling.
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 208.60 / 203.61 / 199.29 / 225.36 | MA5>MA10>MA20 aligned up; MA60 (225.36) still overhead - mixed alignment |
| RSI (14/6) | 49.54 / 60.81 | Neutral on RSI14; RSI6 firmer, no extreme |
| MACD | -3.77 / -6.79 / +3.02 | Bullish crossover with positive histogram, but both lines below zero |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 70.59 / 68.82 / 74.12 | Constructive crossover, upper-mid zone |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 213.89 / 199.29 / 184.69 | Near upper band (141% of band) - stretched |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 7.65 / +3.67% | Moderate volatility budget per session |
| OBV (value / 20d slope) | 9,114,099.35 / +393.43% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 103.61 | Above +100, strong upside momentum |
- Confirmed: Momentum and flow lean constructive - MACD histogram positive, KDJ crossover, CCI>100, OBV slope strongly positive, and the short-MA stack (MA5>MA10>MA20) points up.
- Conflicted: RSI14 is neutral (49.54) while RSI6 and CCI run hotter; MACD is bullish in shape yet sits below the zero axis (momentum still recovering, per supplied MACD state). Price is +13.36% over MA20 and at 141% of the Bollinger band, so trend and overextension signals disagree.
- Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the set above. Current volume is -64.20% versus the 20-session average (3,444,159), so the +7.70% move came on lighter participation - a caveat for follow-through confidence.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 43.21 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 15.23 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 6.74 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 28.08 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 3.95 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $84.97 / Base $108.95 / Bull $138.36 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -51.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +4.95% / Base +10.95% / Bull +16.95% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $7.21B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.12B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $48.57B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $11.93B / Equity $3.19B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit DCF Base fair value ($108.95) implies a -51.8% gap to the current $225.91, and the PEG proxy of 3.95 is elevated relative to the modeled 5Y Base growth of +10.95%. These are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus, and carry Medium confidence; EV/EBITDA is flagged Low. Reported fundamentals (Revenue $7.21B, Net income $1.12B, Equity $3.19B) are High confidence. The gap between a stretched multiple set and the model's fair-value range is the core valuation tension to weigh against the constructive technicals.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed, dated headlines to anchor a catalyst timeline; event-driven confidence is low |
No current news items were returned from the configured source, so there is no confirmed catalyst to attach to the price action. This is a low-confidence area: the +7.70% move cannot be tied to a supplied, verified headline. Aggregate news-feed sentiment does exist (see Section 6), but that is a scored-tone signal rather than a specific catalyst. Treat near-term moves as flow- and technically-driven until a confirmed catalyst appears.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 27 positive / 23 neutral / 0 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Overall ticker news sentiment is Positive (0.220) across 50 scored headlines, with zero negative reads - a supportive but not extreme tone. This reflects news/feed sentiment only. NewsAPI returned no headlines, and social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not connected, so any crowd/social read is unavailable and should not be inferred.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 ($199.29) to resistance ($213.89) zone; score steady near 54/100 Hold | Sideways-to-firm action with RSI14 near neutral and MACD histogram staying positive | Loss of MA20 with MACD histogram flipping negative |
| Upside | Sustained acceptance above $213.89 / upper band, reclaiming toward the 30-session high ($250.49) | Follow-through on rising volume toward the 20-session average (3,444,159), OBV slope staying positive, RSI6 leading higher | Rejection back below $213.89 on fading volume; price back inside band |
| Downside | Break below MA20 ($199.29) toward estimated support $184.69 (Bollinger lower) | MACD histogram turning negative, KDJ crossover unwinding, OBV slope rolling over | Reclaim and hold of MA20 and $213.89 with momentum re-firming |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overextension | Price +13.36% over MA20, 141% of Bollinger band, CCI 103.61 | Rejection at $213.89 / upper band | Watch for close back inside the band and below $213.89 |
| Thin-volume rally | Current volume -64.20% vs 20-session avg (3,444,159) | Continued light volume on up-days | Compare daily volume to the ~3.44M average for confirmation |
| Momentum divergence | MACD bullish but below zero; RSI14 neutral (49.54) | MACD histogram turns negative | Track histogram and RSI14 crossing/holding neutral |
| Valuation gap | PE 43.21, PEG proxy 3.95, DCF Base gap -51.8% | Multiple compression toward modeled fair value | Watch price vs StockKit Base $108.95 (modeled, not consensus) |
| Catalyst blind spot | No current news items; social not connected | Unmodeled headline hits price | Recheck news source; note social feeds remain unavailable |
| Overhead MA60 | MA60 at 225.36, near current $225.91 | Failure to clear/hold MA60 | Watch price behavior around the 225.36 level |
1. Acceptance vs rejection at $213.89 (estimated resistance / Bollinger upper band) - the primary decision level. 2. Behavior around MA60 ($225.36), essentially at current price, for trend-alignment confirmation. 3. MA20 ($199.29) as the base-case floor; a break shifts focus to support. 4. Daily volume versus the 20-session average (3,444,159) to validate or discount the move (currently -64.20%). 5. MACD histogram staying positive and the line/signal working back toward the zero axis. 6. RSI14 (49.54) direction out of neutral, with RSI6 (60.81) as the faster tell. 7. Any confirmed news item appearing from the configured source, and whether Alpha Vantage tone (Positive 0.220, 0 negative) holds.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied dataset and StockKit-computed context. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. Rows marked StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. Lower-confidence areas: no current news items were available, social sentiment sources are not connected, EV/EBITDA is flagged Low confidence, and forward valuation rows are Medium confidence. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能减弱
RSI14=50中性
接近上轨
缩量回调,可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.