ADSK
ADSK · US
ADSK Research Preview
| Field | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $193.82 |
| Daily move | +0.39% (day range $190.86 - $197.89) |
| Strategy score | 64/100, signal Buy |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 50.78 / 51.50 (neutral) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 0.28 / 0.08 / +0.20 |
| Support (watch) | $229.37 |
| Resistance (watch) | $251.39 |
| 30-session range position | -58.35% (below the $216.41-$255.13 band) |
| Data confidence | Medium overall; Low for news/sentiment; momentum lowered by price-structure conflict |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 242.49 / 238.49 / 240.38 / 242.32 | Engine flags MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60 alignment and an MA5>MA20 golden cross (sub-score 70/100, Buy). Price at $193.82 is -19.37% vs MA20, i.e. well beneath the entire MA cluster. |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 50.78 / 51.50 | Neutral momentum; RSI极值 sub-score 50/100, Hold. No overbought/oversold edge. |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.28 / 0.08 / +0.20 | Engine: bullish configuration, line above signal and above zero; MACD背离 sub-score 70/100, Buy, but flagged momentum weakening (动能减弱). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 58.26 / 53.46 / 67.88 | Constructive crossover, mid-range. Mildly positive, not extended. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 251.39 / 240.38 / 229.37 | Engine labels position "near lower band," but at -162% of band width the quote is effectively below the lower band. 布林带 sub-score 50/100, Hold. |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 8.66 / +3.59% | Moderate-to-elevated volatility; ~3.6% of price per ATR unit informs stop/scenario spacing. |
| OBV (level / 20-session slope) | 8,061,852 / +134.92% | Accumulation improving on the engine's window; 量价关系 sub-score 75/100, Buy (price up, volume up ~1.3x). |
| CCI20 | 29.91 | Inside a neutral band; no trend extreme. |
What is confirmed: The oscillator complex (RSI, KDJ, CCI) consistently reads neutral-to-mildly-constructive, and MACD is positive on the engine's data window. OBV slope and the volume sub-score point to recent accumulation.
What is conflicted: The MA structure, Bollinger bands, support/resistance, and the 30-session range are all anchored near $230-$242, while the live quote is $193.82. A genuine MA5>MA20 golden cross and a "continuous volume-confirmed rally" are inconsistent with a price sitting ~19% under MA20 and below the range low. This suggests the indicator/score layer was computed on a stale or different window than the live quote. The bullish strategy signal should therefore be treated as unconfirmed against current price.
What is missing: A live, reconciled MA/Bollinger set tied to the $193.82 quote. Volume is also inconsistent (quote volume 9,213,595 vs a stated +33.49% over a 1,839,562 average, which would imply ~2.46M); the volume confirmation carries lower confidence until reconciled.
Custom indicators: The supplied strategy sub-scores (MA交叉 70, MACD背离 70, RSI极值 50, 布林带 50, 量价关系 75) are folded in above with their explicit readings; net they roll up to the 64/100 Buy.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.07 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 13.07 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 5.78 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.07 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 3.39 | StockKit scenario model (not consensus) | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $84.97 / Base $108.95 / Bull $138.36 | StockKit DCF scenario model (not consensus) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -43.8% (price above Base FV) | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +4.95% / Base +10.95% / Bull +16.95% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $7.21B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.12B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $41.67B | SEC shares + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $11.93B / Equity $3.19B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Reading: Multiples are rich (PE 37.07, PB 13.07, EV/EBITDA 24.07, PEG proxy 3.39), and the StockKit DCF places base fair value at $108.95, leaving current price about 43.8% above that internally computed base. Even the Bull scenario ($138.36) sits below the current quote. This is a model output, not an analyst target; it signals that StockKit's scenario engine sees limited fundamental support at $193.82. Dividend yield and a 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | No confirmed company-specific catalysts to weight. The absence is a coverage gap, not evidence of a quiet tape. |
Confirmed news: None supplied. Missing data: NewsAPI returned no headlines for ADSK. No earnings date, guidance update, or corporate action is provided and none is inferred. Treat the catalyst layer as Low confidence.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion drawn | Low |
No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are generated because no source is marked connected. Sentiment input is effectively unavailable; do not read the blank as neutral or as a contrarian signal.
| Scenario | Trigger condition (watch levels) | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the recent $190.86-$197.89 day range and consolidates below the $216.41 range low | Sideways action with RSI near 50-52 and MACD flattening; volume normalizing toward the ~1.84M average | A decisive break of either the day low ($190.86) or the day high ($197.89) on expanding range |
| Upside | Reclaim $216.41 (30-session low), then $229.37 (support / lower Bollinger) | Daily close back above $229.37 with OBV slope staying positive and KDJ holding its constructive cross | Failure to hold $216.41 after a reclaim attempt; MACD histogram rolling negative |
| Downside | Sustained trade below the $190.86 day low | Lower highs/lows with ATR (~3.6% of price) expanding and volume confirming the decline | Recovery back above $197.89 and into the $216.41 area |
Levels are observation points, not instructions. The wide gap between the live quote and the indicator-derived support ($229.37) means standard "support" framing is unreliable until the data layers reconcile.
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data-integrity / signal conflict | Price $193.82 is -19.37% vs MA20 and below the $216.41 range low, yet score reports MA5>MA20 golden cross and a volume rally | Any trade decision relying on the 64/100 Buy | Re-pull a live MA/Bollinger/volume set before acting on the bullish signal |
| Valuation downside | DCF base $108.95 vs price $193.82 (-43.8% gap); PE 37.07, PB 13.07, PEG proxy 3.39 | Multiple compression toward model fair value | Track whether the +10.95% base growth assumption is supported by reported fundamentals |
| Catalyst blind spot | No news items from configured source | An unscheduled headline or earnings event | Re-check the news feed before each session; treat the gap as Low confidence |
| Sentiment blind spot | NewsAPI no headlines; social not connected | Sharp move with no narrative on file | Connect a sentiment source before drawing positioning conclusions |
| Volatility | ATR14 = 8.66 (+3.59% of price) | ATR expansion alongside a range break | Size watch levels and stops to ATR; reassess if daily true range jumps |
| Volume reconciliation | Quote volume 9.21M vs stated +33.49% over a 1.84M average | Confirmation built on the volume read | Verify which volume series is current before trusting "price up, volume up" |
1. Reconcile the indicator window: confirm whether MA/Bollinger/score reflect the live $193.82 quote or a stale ~$240 window. Highest priority. 2. Watch $216.41 (30-session low) as the first reclaim level; a daily close above it would begin to repair the structure. 3. Watch $229.37 (support / lower Bollinger) as the second hurdle; closes back above shift the read toward the Upside path. 4. Track the $190.86 day low; sustained trade below it points to the Downside path. 5. Monitor RSI14 (currently 50.78) and the MACD histogram (+0.20) for whether neutral-to-positive momentum persists or fades. 6. Verify volume against the ~1.84M 20-session average to confirm or reject the "volume-confirmed" tag. 7. Re-check the news and sentiment feeds each session; any first headline would materially raise catalyst confidence from its current Low.
This brief is StockKit research commentary for general information only. It is not personalized investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it makes no promise or guarantee of returns. Confidence is uneven across the report: SEC EDGAR fundamentals (revenue, net income, balance sheet) are High; valuation multiples and the StockKit DCF scenario outputs are Medium and are model-computed rather than analyst consensus; news and sentiment are Low because no source coverage was returned; and the technical/momentum layer is downgraded because the supplied indicator structure and strategy score do not reconcile with the live quote. All price points are watch levels for observation, not buy or sell instructions. Reconcile the conflicting data layers before relying on any signal here.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=51中性
在通道中部
价涨量增(1.3x)，走势确认，连续放量上涨
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.