StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
TTD · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 02:32 UTC

TTD

TTD · US

$18.51
+1.93%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
46 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

TTD Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: TTD (Trade Desk, Inc.) is consolidating below its medium-term moving averages, trading at 18.51 (+1.93%) with price sitting 17.86% under MA20 and near the lower Bollinger band (-23% of band). The overall strategy score is 46/100 with a Hold signal and a consolidation trend read. - Confidence: Moderate on the technical and fundamentals side (price, revenue $2.90B, and net income $443.30M are High/Medium confidence), but news and sentiment are low confidence because no headline or social data was returned from the configured sources. - Most important condition to monitor: The 19.78 support area (estimated support, also the lower Bollinger band). Price is currently -6.88% below this watch level, so reclaiming and holding above it is the primary near-term condition; failure to do so keeps downside pressure intact.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price18.51
Daily move+1.93%
Strategy score46/100 (Hold)
TrendConsolidation
RSI14 / RSI650.19 / 58.81 (neutral)
MACD (line / signal / hist)-0.49 / -0.45 / -0.04 (bearish)
Estimated support19.78 (-6.88% from price)
Estimated resistance25.28 (+36.60% from price)
30-session range position-26.19% (range 19.83 / 24.87)
Data confidenceTechnicals/fundamentals: Medium-High; News/sentiment: Low
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead
MA (5/10/20/60)21.62 / 21.28 / 22.53 / 23.33Price below all MAs; mixed alignment with MA5<MA20 (death-cross context). MA cross sub-score 40/100, Hold
RSI (14/6)50.19 / 58.81Neutral momentum; no overbought/oversold extreme. RSI sub-score 50/100
MACDline -0.49 / signal -0.45 / hist -0.04Bearish configuration; line below signal and below zero. MACD sub-score 35/100, Sell
KDJ (K/D/J)48.51 / 37.91 / 69.71Constructive crossover (K above D), the one near-term positive in an otherwise soft panel
Bollinger (U/M/L)25.28 / 22.53 / 19.78Price near lower band (-23% of band); band width expanding. Sub-score 55/100, Hold
ATR14 / ATR14%1.35 / +6.01%Elevated daily range relative to price; sizing should account for ~6% volatility
OBV / 20-session slope-493,994,634.60 / -32.86%Distribution pressure visible; volume flow trending negative
CCI20-22.77Inside neutral band; no extreme signal

Confirmed: a bearish bias across trend (price below all MAs, MA5<MA20) and momentum (MACD below zero, negative OBV slope). Volume-price is soft, price rose on shrinking volume (current volume -15.98% vs the 20-session average of 19,392,069), which the volume sub-score flags as insufficient upside conviction (55/100).

Conflicted: KDJ shows a constructive crossover while MACD remains bearish, a classic short-term-vs-medium-term tension. RSI and CCI both sit neutral, neither confirming nor rejecting the bearish trend.

Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE20.61SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
PB3.72SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
Price / sales3.15SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
EV/EBITDA11.71SEC EDGAR companyfactsLow
PEG proxy1.14StockKit scenario modelMedium
StockKit fair value rangeBear $18.01 / Base $24.76 / Bull $31.12StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap+33.8%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Revenue$2.90BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Net income$443.30MSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Market cap$9.14BSEC shares outstanding + live quoteMedium
Balance sheet contextAssets $5.73B / Equity $2.45BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh

The StockKit fair value range (Bear $18.01 / Base $24.76 / Bull $31.12) and PEG proxy (1.14) are internally computed scenario outputs from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair-value gap of +33.8% reflects the spread between the current 18.51 price and the model Base, and should be read alongside the EV/EBITDA row's Low confidence flag.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatus
Headline coverageNo current news items were available from the configured source

Confirmed news: none. No headlines were returned, so no catalyst can be tied to the price action with supporting evidence. This is a lower-confidence part of the brief: the consolidation read rests on technical and fundamental data only, with no news flow to corroborate or explain it. No earnings dates, ratings, or events are asserted because none were supplied.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are inferred. Treat sentiment as unmeasured rather than neutral, this section carries the lowest confidence in the brief.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
Base (consolidation)Price holds the 19.78-24.87 zone; RSI stays near 50MACD histogram flattening near zero; OBV slope stabilizing off -32.86%Decisive close below 19.78 support or above 25.28 resistance
UpsideReclaim and hold above MA20 at 22.53, then test resistance 25.28KDJ crossover (currently constructive) carries into rising volume above the 19.39M average; price gap toward Base fair value $24.76 closesMACD stays below zero and price rejects at MA20; volume stays below average
DownsideLoss of 19.78 support / lower Bollinger bandOBV distribution (-32.86% slope) continues; price extends below the 30-session low of 19.83Reclaim of 19.78 and a constructive turn in MACD histogram
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Trend remains downPrice -17.86% below MA20; MA5<MA20; below all MAsFailure to reclaim MA20 (22.53)Watch daily closes vs MA20
Distribution pressureOBV -493.99M, 20-session slope -32.86%OBV slope steepening furtherTrack OBV slope and volume vs 19.39M average
Weak upside convictionPrice rose on volume -15.98% below averageContinued advances on shrinking volumeRequire above-average volume to validate rallies
Support breakPrice -6.88% below 19.78 support, near 30-session low 19.83Close below 19.78Set 19.78 as primary watch level
Valuation confidence gapsEV/EBITDA Low confidence; fair value is model output, not consensusNew fundamentals revise the modelRe-check fundamentals against next SEC filing
Blind spots in news/sentimentNo news or sentiment data returnedHeadlines appear that contradict the technical readRe-run news/sentiment sources before acting
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. 19.78 support / lower Bollinger band, the single most important level; watch for hold vs decisive close below. 2. MA20 at 22.53 as the upside gate; track whether price can reclaim it. 3. MACD histogram (-0.04) for a move toward or above zero, signaling momentum repair. 4. KDJ follow-through, whether the constructive crossover sustains. 5. Volume vs the 19.39M 20-session average; rallies need above-average volume to confirm. 6. OBV 20-session slope (-32.86%) for stabilization or further deterioration. 7. News and sentiment sources, re-check for any headlines, since both came back empty and represent the brief's lowest-confidence inputs.

Information-use note

This brief is generated from the supplied StockKit dataset only. Technical and fundamental inputs carry Medium-to-High confidence; news and sentiment inputs are Low confidence because no data was returned from the configured sources. Fair-value and PEG figures are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus. Levels are framed as watch levels for observation, not as instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.

Strategy factors
MA交叉Neutral
40

MA5<MA20死叉

MACD背离Weak
35

MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强

RSI极值Neutral
50

RSI14=50中性

布林带Neutral
55

在通道中部,带宽扩张中

量价关系Neutral
55

价涨量缩,上涨力度不足

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.