StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
NVDA · US · Fresh
Generated 2026-07-05 22:08 UTC
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA · US
$194.83
-1.39%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
44 / 100
Trend
bear
Data confidence
Medium
Research view
NVDA Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) is trading at 194.83, with a current daily move of -1.39%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 44/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 200.97 and resistance at 233.42; price is -3.15% from support and +19.81% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 194.83 | Daily move -1.39% |
| Strategy score | 44/100 | Hold, trend: bear |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 41.08 | Soft but not washed out |
| MACD | -2.69 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 200.97 / 233.42 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 194.74 / 236.54 | Price sits at +0.22% of the range |
| Volume check | -9.64% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +4.37% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -2.69, while MACD line / signal are -0.20 / 2.49.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 17.61 / 25.28 / 2.29; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Near lower band (-19% of band); upper / middle / lower are 233.42 / 217.20 / 200.97.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 8.76 (+4.37% of price), OBV slope is -57.29%, and CCI20 is -158.66.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 200.97 / 233.42; recent 30-session range is 194.74 / 236.54.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39.78 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 24.43 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 177.46 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 35.81 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.21 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $98.2 / Base $135.04 / Bull $169.67 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -30.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $26.91B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $120.07B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $4.78T | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $259.47B / Equity $195.47B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0001045810; company: NVIDIA CORP. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2022-01-30. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
No current news items were available from the configured source.
6. Sentiment radar
No recent headline coverage was available from the configured source.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes: - No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 200.97 and 233.42 | Strategy score stays near 44/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 233.42 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 200.97 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 200.97 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Soft but not washed out; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +4.37% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 0 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 200.97 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 233.42 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 30/100 | Sell | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 20/100 | Sell | MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=41中性 |
| 布林带 | 70/100 | Buy | 跌破下轨，短期超卖，带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Weak
30
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD背离Weak
20
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=41中性
布林带Constructive
70
跌破下轨，短期超卖，带宽扩张中
量价关系Neutral
55
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.