META
META · US
META Research Preview
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| **Price** | $593.87 |
| **Daily move** | -0.22% |
| **Score / Signal** | 51/100 Hold |
| **Trend** | Consolidation |
| **RSI14 / RSI6** | 43.81 / 27.43 |
| **MACD (line / signal / histogram)** | 7.83 / 12.32 / -4.49 |
| **Support / Resistance** | $546.70 / $695.24 |
| **30-session range position** | 36.80% (closer to low) |
| **Data confidence** | Medium-High |
| Indicator | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| **MA structure** | MA5 623.62 > MA10 642.77 > MA20 620.97 > MA60 607.50 | Mixed alignment; price -4.36% below MA20 |
| **RSI14 / RSI6** | 43.81 / 27.43 | RSI14 neutral; RSI6 washed out but not capitulation |
| **MACD** | Line 7.83, Signal 12.32, Histogram -4.49 | Bearish cross above zero; momentum fading |
| **KDJ (K/D/J)** | 23.67 / 44.95 / -18.87 | J deeply negative-rebound watch zone |
| **Bollinger Bands** | Upper 695.24 / Mid 620.97 / Lower 546.70 | Price at 32% of band width; mid-band zone |
| **ATR14 / ATR14%** | 26.83 / +4.51% | Elevated volatility; room for 27-point intraday swings |
| **OBV / 20-session slope** | -7.64M / +91.84% | Absolute OBV negative, but slope sharply positive-accumulation improving |
| **CCI20** | -43.92 | Neutral band; no overbought or oversold signal |
What is confirmed: Short-term momentum is exhausted (RSI6 27.43, KDJ J -18.87); volume is declining (-41% vs 20-session average); MACD has crossed bearish but remains above zero.
What is conflicted: OBV slope is rising sharply (+91.84%) even as price falls and MACD turns negative-suggesting quiet accumulation beneath weak headline momentum.
What is missing: No custom or proprietary oscillators were supplied; no social sentiment or provider-level sentiment score is available.
| Metric | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| **PE** | 25.28 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| **PB** | 5.85 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| **Price / Sales** | 7.61 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| **EV/EBITDA** | 15.67 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| **PEG proxy** | 1.40 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| **Fair-value range** | Bear $470.91 / Base $647.61 / Bull $813.68 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| **Base fair-value gap** | +9.0% upside to $647.61 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| **5Y growth forecast** | Bear +10% / Base +18% / Bull +24% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| **Market cap** | $1.53T | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| **Revenue** | $200.97B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| **Net income** | $60.46B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| **Balance sheet** | Assets $449.96B / Equity $261.22B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: PE 25.28 is reasonable for a base-case +18% growth forecast (PEG 1.40). The StockKit base fair value of $647.61 implies +9.0% upside from $593.87, placing current price in a value-accumulation zone. EV/EBITDA confidence is low; treat 15.67 as indicative. All scenario-model rows are internal StockKit forecasts, not analyst consensus.
Confirmed news (5 headlines, 2025-08-19):
1. Meta trial begins with states accusing social media giant of exploiting, intentionally addicting children (Biztoc.com) *Why it matters*: Multi-state litigation targeting platform practices carries headline and regulatory risk; any settlement or injunction could force product changes and increase compliance cost.
2. Meta viciou crianças e enganou o público, dizem promotores nos EUA (Terra.com.br, Portuguese) *Why it matters*: International coverage of the same trial amplifies reputational risk and signals global scrutiny of child-safety practices.
3. When it comes to investing, risk is loud. Opportunity is quiet. (Livemint) *Why it matters*: Generic investing commentary; no META-specific catalyst.
4. DWCS video: Trent Miller sleeps Douglas Rodrigues as biggest underdog on card (USA Today) *Why it matters*: Unrelated sports content; likely aggregator noise.
5. TikTok Shop で高額商品が売れる 大型家具やプールが急拡大する理由 (Digiday.jp, Japanese) *Why it matters*: Covers TikTok Shop growth in Japan; tangentially relevant to META's commerce and Reels monetization competitive landscape, but no direct META mention.
Missing data: No earnings date, analyst-rating changes, product launches, or management commentary were supplied. Lower confidence in near-term catalyst visibility.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| **NewsAPI headline coverage** | 5 headlines | Livemint ×1, Biztoc.com ×1, Terra.com.br ×1, USA Today ×1, Digiday.jp ×1 | Medium |
| **Social sentiment** | Not connected | No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum data | Low |
Interpretation: Headline flow is thin and dominated by the multi-state child-safety trial, which introduces event risk but has not yet moved price materially. No provider-level sentiment score or social-platform sentiment was returned; retail and institutional positioning cannot be inferred from this dataset. Sentiment confidence is low.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| **Base: Consolidation resolves higher** | Price reclaims MA20 ($620.97) on volume >15M; RSI14 crosses 50; MACD histogram turns positive | Break above $642.77 (MA10) with OBV slope remaining positive; trial headlines fade without injunction | Failure to hold $593 floor; volume remains sub-12M; RSI6 falls below 20 |
| **Upside: Accumulation confirmed, fair-value repricing** | Price closes above $642.77 for two consecutive sessions; KDJ K crosses above D; volume spike >25M | Reclaim of $660; MACD line crosses signal above zero; trial resolved or dismissed | Regulatory settlement >$5B or injunctive relief forcing product rollback |
| **Downside: Support retest, momentum breakdown** | Price closes below $580; RSI14 falls below 40; OBV slope turns negative | Break of $546.70 support; MACD line crosses below zero; news of trial injunction or DOJ escalation | Surprise earnings beat, buyback acceleration, or AI-product revenue disclosure |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| **Regulatory overhang** | Multi-state trial active; child-safety litigation headlines on 2025-08-19 | Settlement announcement, injunction, or consent decree | Track trial docket; monitor for DOJ involvement or EU parallel action |
| **Momentum exhaustion without volume confirmation** | RSI6 27.43, KDJ J -18.87, volume -41% vs 20-session avg | Price fails to reclaim MA20 within 7 sessions; volume remains sub-12M | Watch for capitulation spike >30M or continued shallow-volume drift |
| **MACD bearish cross above zero** | Histogram -4.49; MACD line 7.83 below signal 12.32 | MACD line crosses below zero; histogram extends below -6 | Compare to prior MACD crosses in 2024-2025; check for divergence with OBV |
| **Gap between price and fair value narrows on downside** | Current $593.87 vs. base fair value $647.61 (+9.0% gap); bear case $470.91 is -20.7% lower | Growth forecast cut, margin compression, or capex blowout in next quarterly report | Review next CapEx guidance, Reality Labs loss, and Reels monetization metrics |
1. $620.97 reclaim attempt: Does price break and hold above MA20 on volume >15M? Confirms base-case consolidation resolution. 2. OBV slope persistence: Does the +91.84% 20-session slope continue, or does absolute OBV roll over? Accumulation validity check. 3. RSI6 and KDJ rebound: Does RSI6 cross back above 35 and KDJ J cross above K? Early momentum-reversal signal. 4. Trial headline flow: Any settlement, injunction, or dismissal news? Direct regulatory-risk update. 5. Volume confirmation: Does session volume exceed 15M on an up day? Required to validate any bullish technical break. 6. $546.70 support defense: Does price approach or test the lower Bollinger band? Downside-scenario trigger. 7. MACD histogram turn: Does histogram narrow toward zero or cross positive? Momentum-regime shift.
This research brief is produced for institutional and educational purposes. It is not personalized investment advice, and StockKit does not promise or guarantee returns. All scenarios, fair-value estimates, and growth forecasts reflect internal model outputs and should be verified against independent sources. Valuation multiples and financial statements are drawn from SEC EDGAR filings (CIK 0001326801, latest annual period 2025-12-31); technical indicators are computed from live market data as of the supplied quote timestamp. Social sentiment is not connected; headline sentiment is derived from a limited sample. Readers are responsible for their own due diligence, risk assessment, and investment decisions.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=44中性
在通道中部
缩量回调，可能企稳
When it comes to investing, risk is loud. Opportunity is quiet.
Livemint · 2026-08-19
Meta trial begins with states accusing social media giant of exploiting, intentionally addicting children
Biztoc.com · 2026-08-19
Meta viciou crianças e enganou o público, dizem promotores nos EUA
Terra.com.br · 2026-08-19
DWCS video: Trent Miller sleeps Douglas Rodrigues as biggest underdog on card
USA Today · 2026-08-19
TikTok Shop で高額商品が売れる 大型家具やプールが急拡大する理由
Digiday.jp · 2026-08-19
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.