Eli Lilly and Company
LLY · US
LLY Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $1,098.57 |
| Daily move | -1.21% |
| Strategy score | 62/100 (Signal: Buy) |
| Trend | Bull (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 70.67 / 82.99 (elevated) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 33.66 / 24.13 / +9.53 (bullish) |
| Support (est.) | 893.00 (+18.71% away) |
| Resistance (est.) | 1095.34 (-0.29% away) |
| 30-session range position | +102.30% (range 850.51-1093.00) |
| Data confidence | Technical: high. News/sentiment: low (no source data) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 1054.64 / 1031.00 / 994.17 / 954.77 | Confirmed bullish alignment; MA5>MA20 golden cross noted in score (90/100) |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 70.67 / 82.99 | Confirmed overbought; potential short-term exhaustion (score 15/100, StrongSell) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 33.66 / 24.13 / +9.53 | Confirmed bullish: above zero, positive histogram, rising momentum (score 85/100) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 88.25 / 86.10 / 92.55 | Constructive crossover, but all lines in high/extended territory |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 1095.34 / 994.17 / 893.00 | Price near upper band (~102% of band); stretched |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 29.51 / +2.73% | Moderate volatility; ~$29 average true range frames daily noise |
| OBV (value / 20-sess slope) | -14,339,601.05 / +50.08% | Absolute OBV negative, but 20-session slope strongly positive - accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 163.30 | Above +100; strong upside momentum, also an extended reading |
Confirmed: Trend (MA structure), MACD momentum, and OBV slope all point the same direction - up.
Conflicted: Momentum-extreme indicators (RSI6/14, KDJ, CCI, Bollinger position) flag overextension at the same time the trend signals are bullish. This is the classic "strong but stretched" tension, and it is the reason the composite score lands at 62 rather than higher.
Missing: No custom/proprietary indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here. Volume context is a mild negative - current volume is -25.44% versus the 20-session average (3,464,397), i.e. price rising on lighter volume (score 55/100, Hold).
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47.87 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 31.67 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 15.16 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 512.29 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.66 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $460.15 / Base $632.81 / Bull $795.08 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -42.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $65.18B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $20.64B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $987.94B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $116.58B / Equity $31.20B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes on reading: The fundamentals from SEC EDGAR (Revenue $65.18B, Net income $20.64B) are high confidence. Multiples (PE 47.87, PB 31.67, P/S 15.16) sit at premium levels. The EV/EBITDA of 512.29 is flagged Low confidence and should be treated as an outlier reading rather than a clean comparable. The StockKit fair-value range (Bear $460.15 / Base $632.81 / Bull $795.08) is an internally computed DCF scenario output, not analyst consensus - and its Base case implies a -42.4% gap to the current price, meaning the model's valuation framework is well below where the tape is trading. That divergence between a bullish technical structure and a cautious model valuation is the central tension of this brief. PEG proxy of 2.66 (StockKit scenario model) is consistent with a high-multiple, high-expected-growth profile.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline news | Missing - no items from configured source | No confirmed company-specific catalysts to weigh; event risk cannot be assessed from supplied data |
No current news items were available from the configured source, so no catalysts, earnings dates, ratings, or company events are asserted here. This section is therefore low confidence: an absence of headlines is not evidence of an absence of catalysts. Any near-term move should be read primarily through price, volume, and the technical structure until the news feed returns data.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, forums) are not marked connected, so no readings from those sources are inferred or created. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot in this brief - treat positioning and crowd-behavior risk as unmeasured rather than benign.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Trend stays bullish (MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60) while price digests near the 1095.34 resistance/upper-band zone | Sideways-to-higher action holding above MA5 (1054.64) with MACD histogram staying positive (+9.53) | Loss of MA5 and a daily close back below the Bollinger middle (994.17) |
| Upside | Volume-confirmed break and hold above the 1095.34 upper-band/resistance confluence | OBV slope (+50.08%) continues higher and volume recovers toward/above the 20-session average (3,464,397) versus the current -25.44% shortfall | Break occurs on declining volume and price falls back inside the band within a session or two (failed breakout) |
| Downside | Overbought unwind from stretched oscillators (RSI6 82.99, CCI20 163.30, J-line 92.55) | RSI rolls down through 70 with price losing MA5 (1054.64), then MA10 (1031.00) | Oscillators reset (RSI back toward neutral) while price holds the rising MA20 (994.17), turning the dip into consolidation |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overbought / mean-reversion | RSI14 70.67, RSI6 82.99, CCI20 163.30, KDJ J 92.55; RSI sub-score 15/100 StrongSell | RSI14 turning down through 70 | Watch RSI14 and the MA5 (1054.64) as the first support shelf |
| Rising on lighter volume | Volume -25.44% vs 20-session avg; price-up/volume-down (score 55/100) | A breakout attempt that fails to draw above-average volume | Compare daily volume to 3,464,397; require expansion on any break of 1095.34 |
| Upper-band rejection | Price ~102% of Bollinger band; resistance 1095.34 only -0.29% away | Failure to close above 1095.34, snap back inside band | Track daily close vs upper band and the 1093.00 prior 30-session high |
| Valuation gap to model | StockKit Base fair value $632.81, gap -42.4%; PE 47.87, PB 31.67 | Any momentum loss with no fundamental catalyst to support the premium | Watch whether new fundamentals/news arrive to justify multiples; treat the gap as a cushion-against, not a timing tool |
| Information blind spots | No news; no sentiment/social feed connected | A price move with no visible technical cause | Re-check news and sentiment feeds; widen risk allowance while data is missing |
| Single-stock volatility | ATR14 $29.51 (+2.73% of price) | Daily ranges materially above ~$29 | Size expectations to ATR; use it to frame what is "normal" daily noise |
1. The 1095.34 upper-band / resistance confluence (price -0.29% away): daily close above versus rejection back inside the band - top-priority tell. 2. RSI14 relative to the 70 line (currently 70.67) and RSI6 (82.99) for signs of the overbought unwind beginning. 3. Daily volume versus the 20-session average of 3,464,397 - any break needs volume expansion to be credible (current -25.44%). 4. MA5 (1054.64) as first support; a clean loss of it is the earliest structural warning. 5. MACD histogram (currently +9.53) - watch for it flattening or rolling over as a momentum-fade signal. 6. The Bollinger middle / MA20 (994.17) as the line that separates "consolidation" from "trend damage." 7. News and sentiment feeds returning to active status - re-rate the brief's confidence as soon as catalyst or positioning data becomes available.
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit from the supplied dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. Technical readings are high confidence; the news, catalyst, and sentiment sections are low confidence because the configured sources returned no data, and the StockKit fair-value range and PEG proxy are internally computed scenario outputs rather than analyst consensus.
MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强
RSI14=71超买,短期极度超买
接近上轨
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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