LLY
LLY · US
LLY Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 1197.53 |
| Daily move | +0.13% |
| Strategy score | 58/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bull (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 55.65 / 44.37 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 32.89 / 36.36 / -3.47 |
| Estimated support | 1071.75 (+10.50% away) |
| Estimated resistance | 1261.40 (+5.33% away) |
| 30-session range position | +73.68% (range 1052.15-1249.45) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technicals complete; news/sentiment absent) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 1207.76 / 1207.39 / 1166.58 / 1060.65 | Bullish alignment; price sits just below MA5/MA10, above MA20/MA60 |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 55.65 / 44.37 | RSI14 constructive and neutral; faster RSI6 softer, showing near-term cooling |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 32.89 / 36.36 / -3.47 | Bearish configuration (death cross) above zero line; momentum fading |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 44.90 / 61.60 / 11.50 | Soft / still repairing; K below D |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 1261.40 / 1166.58 / 1071.75 | Mid-band zone (~66% of band); band width expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 41.62 / +3.52% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV (value / 20d slope) | -15,784,403.74 / +8.81% | Absolute OBV negative, but 20-session slope positive - accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 22.81 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: The trend and moving-average structure are unambiguously bullish (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60), and the OBV 20-session slope (+8.81%) supports improving accumulation.
Conflicted: Trend versus momentum. The bullish MA structure sits against a bearish MACD histogram (-3.47) and a soft KDJ (K 44.90 < D 61.60). RSI14 (55.65) and CCI20 (22.81) are both neutral, so oscillators are not confirming fresh upside. This tension is why the composite reads Hold rather than Buy.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 52.18 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 34.52 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 16.52 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 556.85 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.90 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $460.15 / Base $632.81 / Bull $795.08 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -47.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $65.18B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $20.64B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $1.08T | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $116.58B / Equity $31.20B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Note: The StockKit fair value range and PEG proxy are internally computed model outputs, not analyst consensus. The base case implies a -47.2% gap to current price, which reflects the model's DCF assumptions rather than a target. The EV/EBITDA reading (556.85) is flagged Low confidence and should be treated cautiously; multiples of that magnitude typically signal a depressed or non-representative EBITDA input in the source data.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source |
Confirmed news: None. The configured news source returned no items for LLY.
Missing data: The entire news and catalyst layer is absent. This is a lower-confidence part of the brief. Without headline data, no company-specific catalysts, event dates, or narrative drivers can be verified, and none are invented here. Any view in this brief rests on price, technical, and reported-fundamental data only.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social feeds (Reddit, X, StockTwits, and similar) are not connected, so no social reading is drawn. This section is low confidence by default and should not be weighted in decision-making.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 / Bollinger mid-band zone (1166.58) while momentum repairs | MACD histogram narrowing back toward zero; KDJ K crossing back above D; RSI14 holding above ~50 | Sustained close below MA20 (1166.58) with a widening-negative MACD histogram |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA5/MA10 (~1207) and push toward resistance | Close above resistance / Bollinger upper (1261.40) on improving OBV slope | Rejection at 1207-1261.40 with volume failing to expand above the 20-session average (3,096,696) |
| Downside | Loss of the mid-band and rotation toward support | Break below 1166.58, then testing estimated support 1071.75 (+10.50% below current) | Reclaim and hold above MA20 with MACD histogram turning positive |
All scenarios are framed as watch levels, not instructions. Current volume is -33.07% versus the 20-session average, so a confirming move in either direction would ideally be accompanied by volume expansion.
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum rollover despite bullish trend | MACD histogram -3.47 (bearish config); KDJ K 44.90 < D 61.60 | Histogram widening negative; KDJ failing to repair | Watch MACD histogram direction and KDJ K/D cross daily |
| Thin participation on the current move | Volume 1,593,635 vs 20-session avg 3,096,696 (-33.07%) | Continued low volume on advances | Confirm any breakout with volume above the 20-session average |
| Valuation stretch vs model fair value | PE 52.18; PB 34.52; base fair-value gap -47.2% (StockKit DCF) | Price extending further above model base while fundamentals unchanged | Track PE/PB against reported net income ($20.64B) trend |
| Low-confidence valuation input | EV/EBITDA 556.85 flagged Low confidence | Reliance on distorted multiple | Cross-check EBITDA source before using EV/EBITDA in any conclusion |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data returned | Any material headline emerging outside coverage | Manually monitor primary sources until the feed returns data |
| Volatility | ATR14 +3.52% of price | Range expansion beyond typical daily swing | Size expectations around the ~41.62-point ATR range |
1. MA20 / Bollinger mid-band at 1166.58 - the pivotal level for the constructive structure; watch for holds or breaks. 2. MACD histogram (currently -3.47) - look for it to narrow toward zero (repair) or widen (deterioration). 3. KDJ K/D relationship (44.90 / 61.60) - a K crossing back above D would signal momentum repair. 4. Volume versus the 20-session average (3,096,696) - confirm any directional move with participation, given the current -33.07% shortfall. 5. Reclaim of MA5/MA10 near 1207 - the near-term hurdle before resistance comes into view. 6. Resistance / Bollinger upper at 1261.40 - the upside watch level; note whether OBV slope stays positive into it. 7. Return of news and sentiment feeds - both are currently empty; treat the information layer as incomplete until they populate.
This brief is generated by StockKit for general informational purposes and is not personalized investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation. It makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All views cite supplied data points only; no financial statements, valuation multiples, earnings dates, analyst ratings, or company facts were created beyond the supplied dataset. Levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. Confidence is lower where flagged, specifically the news timeline and sentiment radar (no source data returned) and the EV/EBITDA input (Low confidence); the StockKit fair-value range and PEG proxy are internally computed model outputs, not analyst consensus. Verify independently and consider your own circumstances before making any decision.
MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱
RSI14=56中性
在通道中部,带宽扩张中
缩量回调,可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.