StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
JNJ · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 00:25 UTC

JNJ

JNJ · US

$228.39
-2.48%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
57 / 100
Trend
bull
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

JNJ Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: JNJ trades at $228.39 after a -2.48% session, holding just above its MA20 ($227.18, +0.53%) and sitting at +36.76% within the 30-session range ($220.37-$242.19). Momentum oscillators are constructive (CCI20 174.21, KDJ J 104.61), but the strategy engine scores the name 57/100 with a Hold signal inside a broader bull trend. - Confidence: Medium overall. Price and technical inputs are complete, valuation rests on SEC EDGAR fundamentals (medium confidence) plus internally computed StockKit scenario outputs, but news and sentiment feeds returned nothing, so the catalyst and positioning picture is low confidence. - Most important condition to monitor: The $234.08 resistance / upper Bollinger band. A clean close above it on expanding volume would confirm the constructive momentum; failure here, with volume already running -27.65% below the 20-session average, keeps the tape in mid-band consolidation.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price$228.39
Daily move-2.48%
Strategy score57/100 (Hold)
TrendBull
RSI14 / RSI658.30 / 72.89
MACD (line / signal / hist)-0.36 / -1.71 / +1.35
Support (est.)$220.28 (+3.55% below price)
Resistance (est.)$234.08 (+2.49% above price)
30-session range position+36.76% ($220.37-$242.19)
Data confidenceMedium (price/technical complete; news & sentiment missing)
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead-through
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60230.86 / 228.79 / 227.18 / 235.14Short-term stack aligned (MA5>MA10>MA20) but capped by MA60; price +0.53% over MA20
RSI14 / RSI658.30 / 72.89RSI14 constructive and not extreme; RSI6 hot, flagging near-term stretch
MACD-0.36 / -1.71 / +1.35Golden cross with rising histogram, still below zero line - improving momentum, not yet confirmed
KDJ (K/D/J)83.93 / 73.59 / 104.61Extended; J above 100 signals short-term overheating risk
Bollinger (U/M/L)234.08 / 227.18 / 220.28Mid-band zone (59% of band); bandwidth expanding
ATR14 / ATR14%3.86 / +1.65%Contained volatility relative to price
OBV / 20-session slope-24,878,177.90 / +29.34%Absolute OBV negative, but slope improving - accumulation building
CCI20174.21Above +100, indicating strong upside momentum

Custom strategy indicators (supplied), folded in with explicit readings:

Custom indicatorScore / signalReading
MA cross70/100, BuyMA5>MA20 golden cross
MACD divergence65/100, BuyMACD golden cross, below zero line, momentum strengthening
RSI extremes50/100, HoldRSI14=58, neutral
Bollinger Bands40/100, HoldBroke above upper band, short-term overbought, bandwidth expanding
Volume-price55/100, HoldPrice up on shrinking volume - weak upside conviction

What is confirmed: Short-term moving-average alignment, a MACD golden cross, strong CCI momentum, and an improving OBV slope all point the same constructive direction.

What is conflicted: RSI6 (72.89), KDJ J (104.61), and CCI (174.21) flag overheating against a neutral RSI14 (58.30). Price up on volume -27.65% below average undercuts the upside (volume-price 55/100). MA60 ($235.14) still sits above price, so the longer trend is not yet aligned.

What is missing: No intraday breadth or tick-level confirmation is supplied; the breakout signal depends on whether the $234.08 band is reclaimed on real volume.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE20.7SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
PB6.83SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
Price / sales5.89SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
EV/EBITDA19.68SEC EDGAR companyfactsLow
PEG proxy1.45StockKit scenario modelMedium
StockKit fair value rangeBear $206.44 / Base $263.27 / Bull $332.61StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap+15.3%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear +8.32% / Base +14.32% / Bull +20.32%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Revenue$94.19BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Net income$26.80BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Market cap$554.85BSEC shares outstanding + live quoteMedium
Balance sheet contextAssets $200.89B / Equity $81.19BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh

Rows marked StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, base gap, 5Y growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. The StockKit DCF base case at $263.27 implies a +15.3% gap to the current $228.39; the bear case ($206.44) sits below current support. Reported fundamentals are high confidence; EV/EBITDA is flagged low confidence.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatusWhy it matters
Headline coverageMissing - no current news items were available from the configured sourceNo confirmed catalysts can be tied to the current move; the -2.48% session has no documented news driver in the supplied dataset

No confirmed news is available. With the source returning nothing, catalyst timing is low confidence, and the technical setup is the only confirmable input. No earnings dates, ratings, or corporate events are supplied, so none are asserted here.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, forums) are not connected, so no positioning read is drawn. Sentiment confidence is low across the board.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BaseRange-bound around MA20 ($227.18), holding the +36.76% range positionPrice oscillating between $220.28 support and $234.08 resistance; RSI14 holding ~58; MACD histogram staying positiveVolume staying -27.65% below average alongside a break below $220.28
UpsideReclaim and close above $234.08 / upper band on volume above the 20-session average (7,553,625)MA5>MA20 cross extends, price clears MA60 ($235.14), CCI/OBV slope stays supportive; alignment toward StockKit base FV $263.27RSI6/KDJ overheating resolving through a failed breakout and rejection at the band
DownsideBreak below $220.28 support / lower bandLoss of the 30-session low ($220.37), MACD histogram rolling negative, OBV slope flattening toward StockKit bear FV $206.44Quick reclaim of MA20 ($227.18) on rising volume
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Short-term overheatingRSI6 72.89, KDJ J 104.61, CCI20 174.21Momentum oscillators rolling over from extended levelsWatch for RSI6 and KDJ J turning down while price stalls below $234.08
Weak upside convictionVolume -27.65% vs 20-session average; volume-price score 55/100Continued price gains on shrinking volumeConfirm any breakout requires volume above 7,553,625
Longer-trend capMA60 $235.14 above price; MA60 above MA20Repeated rejection near MA60 / upper bandTrack whether price can close and hold above MA60
Catalyst blind spotNews and sentiment sources returned nothing (low confidence)An undocumented headline moving the tapeRe-check feeds; do not assume the -2.48% move is purely technical
Valuation downside bandStockKit bear FV $206.44 below current supportBreak of $220.28 opening path toward bear caseTreat $220.28 as the first structural watch level
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. $234.08 resistance / upper Bollinger band - watch for a close above on above-average volume (priority watch level). 2. $220.28 support / lower band and the $220.37 30-session low - first downside structural level. 3. Volume vs the 20-session average (7,553,625) - confirm whether moves carry conviction. 4. RSI6 (72.89) and KDJ J (104.61) - watch for cooling from overheated readings. 5. MACD histogram (+1.35) and a potential move above the zero line - momentum confirmation. 6. MA60 ($235.14) as the longer-trend cap - watch for reclaim attempts. 7. News and sentiment feeds - recheck for any coverage, given both returned empty.

Information-use note

This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no return promises. Levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. News and sentiment inputs were unavailable, so those portions are explicitly lower confidence, and StockKit scenario-model outputs (PEG proxy, fair-value range, growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts rather than analyst consensus.

Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
70

MA5>MA20金叉

MACD背离Constructive
65

MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强

RSI极值Neutral
50

RSI14=58中性

布林带Neutral
40

突破上轨,短期超买,带宽扩张中

量价关系Neutral
55

价涨量缩,上涨力度不足

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.