MRK
MRK · US
MRK Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $113.87 |
| Daily move | -1.36% |
| Strategy score | 63/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 67.61 / 82.68 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 0.29 / -0.74 / +1.03 |
| Estimated support | $107.44 |
| Estimated resistance | $118.16 |
| 30-session range position | +40.46% (range $107.90-$122.66) |
| Data confidence | Moderate (fundamentals High; valuation mixed; news/sentiment unavailable) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 115.62 / 114.00 / 112.80 / 116.14 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA10>MA20 is constructive but MA60 (116.14) sits above shorter MAs, so the longer-term picture is not yet fully aligned. Price is +0.95% over MA20. |
| RSI (14/6) | 67.61 / 82.68 | Constructive but not extreme on RSI14; RSI6 at 82.68 flags short-term overbought conditions. |
| MACD | 0.29 / -0.74 / +1.03 | Bullish configuration: MACD line above signal and above zero, histogram positive (+1.03), momentum strengthening. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 78.80 / 65.89 / 104.63 | Extended; J at 104.63 signals short-term overheating and reversion risk. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 118.16 / 112.80 / 107.44 | Price in mid-band zone (~60% of band), with band width expanding. Upper band aligns with resistance. |
| ATR14 (abs/%) | 2.61 / +2.13% | Moderate volatility; daily expected range ~2.1% of price, useful for sizing watch levels. |
| OBV (value/slope) | 90,879,547.87 / +29.75% | Accumulation improving; the rising 20-session slope supports the up-trend. |
| CCI20 | 413.96 | Strong upside momentum, but a reading this far above +100 is an extreme that often precedes consolidation. |
Confirmed: The bullish trend is supported by a positive MACD configuration, improving OBV accumulation, and price holding above MA20.
Conflicted: Momentum oscillators disagree on timing. MACD and OBV favor continuation, while RSI6 (82.68), KDJ J (104.63), and CCI20 (413.96) all warn of short-term overbought conditions. The strategy sub-scores capture this split: MACD背离 scores 85/100 (StrongBuy) while RSI极值 scores 35/100 (Sell, "RSI14=68偏高，短期极度超买").
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.64 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 6.22 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.39 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 90.12 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 1.97 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $104.03 / Base $134.06 / Bull $171.07 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +17.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +1.93% / Base +7.93% / Bull +13.93% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $65.01B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $18.25B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $285.47B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $128.69B / Equity $45.88B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The PEG proxy (1.97) and the fair-value range (Bear $104.03 / Base $134.06 / Bull $171.07) are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. The EV/EBITDA reading (90.12) is flagged Low confidence and should be treated cautiously; it sits far above what the PE of 15.64 would imply and may reflect EBITDA-base distortions in the source data. The Base case implies a +17.7% fair-value gap, but this rests on Medium-confidence model assumptions.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source | Without a live news feed, no event-driven catalysts (clinical, regulatory, earnings) can be confirmed or dated. This is a meaningful gap and lowers confidence on the catalyst side. |
Confirmed news: None available in the supplied dataset.
Missing data: The configured news source returned no items. No earnings dates, regulatory events, or pipeline updates are present, so this brief relies on price, technical, and fundamental inputs only. Treat any catalyst-driven view as lower confidence until the feed is populated.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not connected, so no positioning or crowd-sentiment read is drawn. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot in this preview and should not be inferred.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 zone ($112.80) and consolidates within the Bollinger band | Stable closes between MA20 and upper band ($118.16); OBV slope stays positive (currently +29.75%); MACD histogram holds above zero | A decisive close below estimated support ($107.44), or MACD histogram flipping negative |
| Upside | Sustained acceptance above resistance / upper band ($118.16) on continued volume | Closes above $118.16 toward the 30-session high ($122.66); price-volume confirmation (current volume +65.57% vs 20-session average); RSI14 holding constructive without RSI6 collapse | Rejection at the upper band with a reversal back below MA5 ($115.62), or volume fading on the breakout attempt |
| Downside | Overbought oscillators resolve lower (RSI6 82.68, KDJ J 104.63, CCI20 413.96) | Break and close below MA20 ($112.80), then below estimated support ($107.44) toward the 30-session low ($107.90) | Reclaim of MA5 ($115.62) with MACD histogram re-expanding and OBV slope staying positive |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overbought reversion | RSI6 82.68, KDJ J 104.63, CCI20 413.96; RSI极值 sub-score 35/100 (Sell) | Oscillators rolling over while price stalls near $118.16 | Watch for a close back below MA20 ($112.80) as a momentum-cooling signal |
| Failure at resistance / upper band | Resistance $118.16 coincides with Bollinger upper band; band width expanding | Intraday tag of $118.16 followed by a rejection close | Track whether closes hold above or fade below the upper band |
| Mixed MA structure | MA60 (116.14) sits above MA5/10/20; price only +0.95% over MA20 | Price slipping below MA20 with MA60 capping rallies | Monitor MA20 ($112.80) as the trend pivot |
| Valuation data quality | EV/EBITDA 90.12 flagged Low confidence; market cap and multiples Medium confidence | New data revising EBITDA or multiples materially | Treat EV/EBITDA cautiously; weight High-confidence fundamentals (revenue, net income, equity) more heavily |
| Information blind spots | No news items and no sentiment series available | Any unscheduled headline that the feed is not capturing | Re-check news and sentiment feeds before acting on the technical view |
| Volatility | ATR14 +2.13% of price | Widening daily ranges around the band edges | Size watch levels using ~2.1% daily range expectations |
1. Resistance / upper band $118.16 - the primary decision level; watch for acceptance above versus rejection. 2. MA20 $112.80 - the trend pivot; closes below it weaken the constructive setup. 3. Estimated support $107.44 (near 30-session low $107.90) - the downside line for the Base case. 4. RSI6 (82.68) and KDJ J (104.63) - watch for these overbought signals to cool or roll over. 5. MACD histogram (+1.03) - confirmation holds while positive; a flip negative would warn on momentum. 6. Volume versus 20-session average (currently +65.57%) - sustained elevated volume supports continuation; fading volume weakens breakouts. 7. News and sentiment feeds - both returned empty; re-check for any newly available headlines or sentiment data that would change the picture.
News and sentiment sources returned no data for this symbol, so the catalyst and positioning portions of this brief carry lower confidence. Fundamental anchors (revenue, net income, balance sheet) are High confidence, while EV/EBITDA and the StockKit scenario outputs (PEG proxy, fair-value range) are Medium-to-Low confidence and reflect internally computed model assumptions rather than analyst consensus. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions. This preview is for general informational purposes and is not personalized investment advice.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=68偏高，短期极度超买
突破上轨，短期超买，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.7x)，走势确认
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.