AMD
AMD · US
AMD Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $537.37 |
| Daily move | +4.86% |
| Strategy score | 50/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 72.59 / 73.80 (elevated) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 43.34 / 44.84 / -1.51 |
| Support (estimated) | $309.07 |
| Resistance (estimated) | $502.73 |
| 30-session range position | +123.38% (above range high $481.41) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: medium-high; News/Sentiment: low; Valuation: medium |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 439.94 / 442.61 / 405.90 / 285.86 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA20 golden cross, but MA5<MA10 |
| RSI (14/6) | 72.59 / 73.80 | Overbought; potential short-term exhaustion |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 43.34 / 44.84 / -1.51 | Bearish configuration (line below signal) above zero line |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 70.11 / 66.13 / 78.07 | Constructive crossover; K>D |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 502.73 / 405.90 / 309.07 | Near/above upper band (118% of band) |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 30.99 / +6.63% | Elevated volatility relative to price |
| OBV (level / 20-session slope) | 817,076,118.82 / +23.37% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 101.56 | Strong upside momentum (>100) |
What is confirmed: Trend momentum is supported on multiple fronts. CCI20 at 101.56 and the OBV 20-session slope of +23.37% both point to active accumulation and upside momentum. KDJ shows a constructive crossover (K 70.11 > D 66.13). Price holds above MA20 ($405.90) and MA60 ($285.86).
What is conflicted: The MACD configuration is bearish (line 43.34 below signal 44.84, histogram -1.51) even though both sit above the zero line, which clashes with the bullish CCI and OBV reads. RSI14 at 72.59 and RSI6 at 73.80 flag overbought / potential exhaustion against the same momentum. Volume is the other tension: price is rising while current volume sits -17.90% below the 20-session average (42,334,373), a price-up/volume-down pattern that the strategy module scores as weak follow-through (量价关系 55/100). The MA stack is only partially aligned (MA5 439.94 < MA10 442.61).
What is missing: No supplied custom indicators beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 202.8 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 13.64 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 25.38 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 223.9 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 11.27 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $53.13 / Base $73.06 / Bull $91.79 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -86.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $34.64B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.33B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $879.14B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $79.64B / Equity $64.46B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The PEG proxy (11.27) and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. The base fair-value gap of -86.4% means the current price sits well above the model's base case ($73.06); this is a model output and the EV/EBITDA input it relates to is marked Low confidence, so treat the magnitude of that gap with caution. Reported revenue ($34.64B) and net income ($4.33B) against a $879.14B market cap are consistent with the elevated PE of 202.8 and P/S of 25.38.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | Cannot confirm or rule out near-term catalysts; catalyst read is low confidence |
No confirmed headlines were supplied, so no event-driven view is offered. The absence of news does not imply the absence of catalysts; it means the configured feed returned nothing for this symbol. This section is low confidence by data availability.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is a data gap, not a signal, for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price consolidates around the upper band ($502.73) with neutral 50/100 score holding | RSI14 easing from 72.59 toward the 50-65 zone while OBV slope stays positive (+23.37%) | A clean break and hold above $539.69 day high on rising volume, or a drop back below MA20 ($405.90) |
| Upside | Price sustains above estimated resistance $502.73 with volume returning above the 20-session average (42,334,373) | Volume recovering from -17.90% below average and MACD histogram (-1.51) turning positive | Volume staying contracted and RSI exhaustion resolving via a pullback into the band |
| Downside | Overbought unwind from RSI14 72.59 / Bollinger 118% as price falls back inside the band | Loss of the $502.73 upper-band watch level and MACD bearish cross widening | Price reclaiming and holding above $539.69 with momentum (CCI20) staying above 100 |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overbought pullback | RSI14 72.59, RSI6 73.80, Bollinger at 118% of band | Daily close back inside the band, below $502.73 | Watch RSI normalization and the $502.73 level daily |
| Weak volume confirmation | Current volume -17.90% vs 20-session avg; 量价关系 55/100 | Continued price-up/volume-down on advances | Track volume vs the 42,334,373 average on up days |
| Momentum divergence | MACD bearish (line 43.34 < signal 44.84, hist -1.51) despite CCI20 101.56 | MACD histogram failing to turn positive | Watch for MACD cross and histogram sign change |
| Valuation extension | PE 202.8, P/S 25.38, base fair-value gap -86.4% (model) | Any de-rating catalyst against rich multiples | Monitor multiple compression vs the StockKit base ($73.06) |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 +6.63% of price | Wider daily ranges around the upper band | Size watch levels with ATR ($30.99) in mind |
1. The $502.73 upper-band / estimated resistance level: hold above versus fall back inside the band. 2. RSI14 (72.59) and RSI6 (73.80): whether overbought readings ease or persist. 3. Volume versus the 20-session average (42,334,373): recovery from the -17.90% gap on up days. 4. MACD histogram (-1.51): any turn toward positive or wider bearish cross. 5. The $539.69 prior day high as the next upside reference. 6. MA20 ($405.90) as the broader trend support if a pullback develops. 7. News and sentiment feeds: watch for any first confirmed headline, given both sources currently return nothing.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied StockKit dataset and the cited sources (SEC EDGAR companyfacts, SEC shares outstanding + live quote, and StockKit scenario/DCF models). It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. StockKit scenario and DCF outputs (PEG proxy, fair-value range, growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment sections are low confidence because the configured feeds returned no items, and the EV/EBITDA input is marked Low confidence. All price references are framed as watch levels for observation, not instructions.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强
RSI14=73超买
接近上轨
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.