StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
NFLX · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 00:38 UTC

NFLX

NFLX · US

$77.38
+0.55%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
53 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

NFLX Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: NFLX is trading at 77.38 (+0.55% on the day), sitting below every supplied moving average (MA5 88.99, MA10 87.96, MA20 89.20, MA60 94.27) and below both the estimated support at 84.94 and the 30-session range floor of 85.10. The overall StockKit score is 53/100 with a Hold signal and a consolidation trend label, but price action is currently sitting under the consolidation zone the indicators were framed around. - Confidence: Medium-to-low. Several supplied context fields conflict with the raw readings (detailed in Section 3), news and sentiment feeds returned no data, and the price is below the stated support and lower Bollinger band, so the "consolidation" framing has lower confidence than the score alone implies. - Most important level to monitor: the 84.94 support / lower-band watch level. Price is roughly 9.76% below it; reclaiming and holding above 84.94 would be the first evidence that the breakdown is stabilizing rather than extending.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price77.38
Daily move+0.55%
Day high / low78.23 / 76.12
Overall score53/100 (Hold)
Trend labelConsolidation
RSI14 / RSI643.86 / 48.68
MACD line / signal / hist-1.60 / -1.88 / +0.28
Support (watch)84.94
Resistance (watch)93.46
30-session range85.10 / 108.94
Range position-32.38% (below the range floor)
Data confidenceMedium-to-low
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead
MA (5/10/20/60)88.99 / 87.96 / 89.20 / 94.27Price (77.38) is below all four; the supplied "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60" label does not match the numbers (MA20 > MA5), so MA alignment is treated as conflicted.
RSI14 / RSI643.86 / 48.68Sub-50, soft but not oversold. Matches the "soft but not washed out" context.
MACD-1.60 / -1.88 / +0.28Line above signal with a positive histogram below the zero line. Histogram improvement is confirmed; "momentum strengthening" is supportable.
KDJ (K/D/J)54.15 / 49.72 / 63.01K above D, mid-range. Consistent with the "constructive crossover" context.
Bollinger (U/M/L)93.46 / 89.20 / 84.94Price (77.38) is below the lower band (84.94), not "near" it. The supplied "-89% of band" / mid-channel framing conflicts with raw price and is flagged.
ATR14 / ATR14%2.41 / +2.72%Moderate volatility relative to price; informs watch-level spacing.
OBV / 20-session slope-426,742,478.90 / -58.17%Clear distribution pressure; confirmed and consistent with the context note.
CCI20-14.90Inside a neutral band, as supplied.

Confirmed: RSI softness, MACD histogram improvement below zero, KDJ crossover, OBV distribution pressure, neutral CCI.

Conflicted: MA alignment label vs raw MA values; Bollinger "mid-channel / near lower band" label vs price sitting below the lower band; "consolidation" trend label vs price trading below the 30-session range floor. These conflicts lower the confidence of the bullish sub-signals.

Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE30.61SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
PB10.8SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
Price / sales7.44SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
EV/EBITDA24.76SEC EDGAR companyfactsLow
PEG proxy1.70 (StockKit scenario model, not consensus)StockKit scenario modelMedium
Fair value rangeBear $50.68 / Base $69.7 / Bull $87.58 (StockKit DCF model, not consensus)StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap-9.9%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Revenue$45.18BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Net income$10.98BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Market cap$336.13BSEC shares outstanding + live quoteMedium
Balance sheet contextAssets $61.02B / Equity $31.13BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh

The current price (77.38) sits above the StockKit Base fair value ($69.7) and the -9.9% base gap implies price is above the internally modeled base case. The Bull case ($87.58) and the supplied resistance watch level (93.46) bracket the upper end. Treat the PEG proxy, fair-value range, and 5Y growth forecast as internally computed StockKit scenario outputs, not analyst consensus.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatus
Headline coverageNo current news items were available from the configured source.

Confirmed news: none in the supplied dataset. No earnings dates, ratings, or company events were provided, so no catalyst timeline can be constructed without inventing facts. This is a data gap, not an absence of catalysts; treat the catalyst picture as low confidence.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned. Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local-forum readings are not connected and are intentionally left blank. Sentiment input is effectively unavailable, so it carries no weight in this brief.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BasePrice stabilizes near 77-85 with the contracting daily volume (-28.82% vs 20-session average) holding; MACD histogram (+0.28) stays positiveReclaim and hold of 84.94 support, RSI14 holding above ~44, OBV slope flattening from -58.17%Sustained closes below 76.12 day low with OBV slope steepening
UpsideReclaim of 84.94, then push toward MA20 (89.20) and resistance watch level 93.46; aligns with StockKit Bull fair value $87.58Daily close back inside the 30-session range (above 85.10), KDJ (K 54.15 > D 49.72) extending, volume expandingRejection at 84.94-89.20 with a failed retest
DownsideContinued trade below the 30-session floor (85.10) toward StockKit Bear fair value $50.68Break of 76.12 on rising volume, OBV distribution (-426.7M, -58.17% slope) acceleratingReclaim of 84.94 and a higher low
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Distribution / supply pressureOBV -426,742,478.90, 20-session slope -58.17%OBV slope steepening on down daysTrack OBV slope daily; watch for flattening
Broken support structurePrice 77.38 below support 84.94 and below 30-session floor 85.10 (range position -32.38%)Sustained closes below 76.12Watch 84.94 reclaim vs 76.12 breach
Conflicting signalsMA-alignment and Bollinger context labels conflict with raw readings (Section 3)New data that resolves which read is correctRe-check on next data refresh before acting on sub-signals
Valuation above base casePrice 77.38 above StockKit Base fair value $69.7; PE 30.61, PB 10.8Earnings or guidance that compresses multiplesWatch fundamentals on next companyfacts update
No news / sentiment inputNews and sentiment feeds returned no dataA catalyst surfacing without prior signalRe-poll feeds; treat catalyst risk as elevated
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. 84.94 support / lower-band watch level: reclaim and hold = stabilization; failure = breakdown continuation. 2. 76.12 day low: a break on rising volume is the key downside trigger. 3. OBV 20-session slope (-58.17%): watch for flattening vs steepening. 4. MACD histogram (+0.28): confirm it stays positive; a roll-over weakens the constructive read. 5. Daily volume vs 20-session average (-28.82%): note whether contraction persists (possible stabilization) or volume expands on a directional move. 6. 30-session range floor (85.10): a close back inside the range is the first upside confirmation. 7. News and sentiment feeds: re-poll for any first headline, given both sources are currently empty.

Information-use note This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied StockKit dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. All levels are watch levels, not instructions. Confidence is reduced by empty news and sentiment feeds and by internal conflicts between the supplied context labels and the raw indicator readings; fair-value, PEG, and growth figures are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Neutral
40

MA5<MA20死叉

MACD背离Constructive
65

MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强

RSI极值Neutral
50

RSI14=44中性

布林带Neutral
50

在通道中部

量价关系Neutral
55

缩量回调,可能企稳

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.