CSCO
CSCO · US
CSCO Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 119.54 |
| Daily move | +1.88% (day range 117.30-120.31) |
| Strategy score / signal | 59/100 / Hold |
| Trend | Bull (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 80.85 / 81.64 (elevated, potential short-term exhaustion) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 8.73 / 7.02 / 1.71 (bullish, histogram positive) |
| Estimated support | 77.94 (Bollinger lower; +34.80% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 125.67 (Bollinger upper; +5.13% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +96.87% (range 80.88-120.79) |
| Data confidence | Moderate technicals; lower on news/sentiment/valuation context |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 117.44 / 112.08 / 101.81 / 88.03 | Bullish alignment; price +17.42% above MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 80.85 / 81.64 | Overbought; flagged as potential short-term exhaustion |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 8.73 / 7.02 / 1.71 | Bullish configuration above zero; histogram positive but context notes momentum easing |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 93.01 / 91.34 / 96.34 | Constructive crossover, but all lines in high territory |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 125.67 / 101.81 / 77.94 | Price near upper band (~87% of band width), band expanding |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 4.34 / +3.60% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 516,327,550.06 / +127.85% | Accumulation improving on the longer slope |
| CCI20 | 111.29 | Above +100; strong upside momentum |
Confirmed: trend and momentum agree on the upside. The MA stack, MACD above zero, KDJ crossover, CCI > 100, and a strongly positive OBV slope all point the same direction. This is the consistent core of the picture.
Conflicted: the overbought signals cut against chasing. RSI14 at 80.85 and KDJ near the top of its range argue for exhaustion risk even as trend remains intact. There is also a price/volume tension: current volume is -14.88% versus the 20-session average (26,125,777), so today's advance came on lighter participation, which the supplied context flags as "price up, volume down - insufficient upward force."
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so nothing additional is folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.95 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 9.78 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 8.44 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 39.62 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $23.39 / Base $28.04 / Bull $36.49 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -76.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $56.65B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $10.18B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $477.92B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $125.55B / Equity $48.86B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes on use: the StockKit fair value range (Bear $23.39 / Base $28.04 / Bull $36.49) and the 5Y growth forecast are internally computed scenario outputs from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. They imply a large negative base fair-value gap of -76.5% versus the 119.54 price, driven by a negative modeled growth path (Base -4.00%). EV/EBITDA is marked Low confidence and PEG proxy is N/A, so the multiples-based view is incomplete. The reported fundamentals carry higher confidence: Revenue $56.65B, Net income $10.18B, and equity of $48.86B against $125.55B assets. The PEG proxy row is omitted as N/A.
The headline tension: technicals are firmly bullish while the StockKit DCF scenario model places fair value well below the current price. These are different lenses, and the model row should be read as a forecast, not a fact.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source |
| Scheduled catalysts | None supplied |
No confirmed news was returned for CSCO, so there is no catalyst to weigh either for or against the current setup. This is a data gap, not a signal of quiet conditions. Because nothing was supplied, no earnings date, product event, or guidance item is assumed. Treat the technical and valuation reads as operating without a near-term event anchor, which lowers confidence on timing.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Headline coverage is empty and social sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum reading is inferred. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot for this brief; the radar contributes no signal in either direction.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the bullish MA stack (above MA20 at 101.81) while consolidating below resistance | Continued MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60 alignment; RSI cooling from 80.85 without trend break; MACD staying above zero | Loss of MA20 (101.81) on a close; MACD turning negative |
| Upside | Decisive acceptance above the 125.67 watch level (Bollinger upper / resistance) | Breakout on volume back above the 20-session average (26,125,777), reversing today's -14.88% shortfall; OBV slope staying strongly positive | Rejection at the upper band; failure to reclaim average volume on the push |
| Downside | Overbought unwind from RSI14 80.85 / KDJ J 96.34 | Break of MA5 (117.44) then MA10 (112.08); MACD histogram (1.71) rolling toward zero; price losing the 30-session high zone (120.79) | Reclaim of MA5 and a fresh push toward 125.67 |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overbought reversal | RSI14 80.85, RSI6 81.64, KDJ J 96.34, RSI sub-score 15/100 StrongSell | RSI rolling lower while price stalls near 120.79 | Watch RSI14 and MA5 (117.44) together for first signs of unwind |
| Weak participation on the advance | Volume -14.88% vs 20-session average (26,125,777); "price up, volume down" flag | Further price gains on declining volume | Track daily volume against 26,125,777 average |
| Valuation gap vs scenario model | StockKit base fair value $28.04 vs price 119.54; base gap -76.5%; PE 46.95, PB 9.78 | Any catalyst that re-anchors price toward modeled fundamentals | Re-check fundamentals (Revenue $56.65B, Net income $10.18B) on next update |
| Upper-band stall | Price ~87% of Bollinger band; resistance 125.67 only +5.13% away | Rejection at 125.67 | Watch reaction at the upper band on each test |
| Event/sentiment blind spot | No news supplied; sentiment sources empty/not connected | A headline appears that the brief did not anticipate | Re-run with refreshed news and sentiment feeds |
1. The 125.67 watch level (Bollinger upper / resistance, +5.13%): acceptance above versus rejection. 2. RSI14 (currently 80.85): is it cooling or staying pinned in overbought territory. 3. Daily volume versus the 20-session average (26,125,777): does participation recover from -14.88%. 4. MA5 support at 117.44: first line to hold for the near-term uptrend. 5. MA20 at 101.81: the structural trend line; a close below would change the Base case. 6. MACD histogram (1.71): watch for it rolling toward zero as a momentum-fade tell. 7. News and sentiment feeds: monitor for any first confirmed headline, given both sources are currently empty.
This brief is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. Every view is tied to supplied data points. Where data was thin - no news, no sentiment series, EV/EBITDA at Low confidence, and PEG proxy N/A - confidence is explicitly lower, and the StockKit fair-value and growth rows are internally computed scenario outputs rather than analyst consensus. Levels are framed as watch levels for observation, not as instructions to act.
MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱
RSI14=81超买,短期极度超买
接近上轨,带宽扩张中
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.