QCOM Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- QCOM (QCOM) is trading at 170.04, with a current daily move of +1.84%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 59/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 148.52 and resistance at 177.87; price is +12.66% from support and +4.60% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 170.04 | Daily move +1.84% |
| Strategy score | 59/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 47.13 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | 2.08 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 148.52 / 177.87 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 142.89 / 196.09 | Price sits at +51.03% of the range |
| Volume check | -49.74% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +4.31% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 2.08, while MACD line / signal are -5.21 / -7.29.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 76.88 / 70.54 / 89.57; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (73% of band); upper / middle / lower are 177.87 / 163.19 / 148.52.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 7.14 (+4.31% of price), OBV slope is -9.51%, and CCI20 is 23.79.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 148.52 / 177.87; recent 30-session range is 142.89 / 196.09.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.91 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 38.28 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.24 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.34 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | N/A | StockKit scenario model | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $46.07 / Base $55.22 / Bull $71.86 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -67.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $44.28B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.54B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $187.89B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $57.37B / Equity $4.91B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000804328; company: QUALCOMM INC/DE.
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-09-28.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Mehrere Probleme in Linux (SUSE) - Pro-Linux
2. Qualcomm Stock Spikes as It Bags Massive Data Center Deal With Amazon - Barchart.com
3. Stocks Slump as Crude Prices Soar and Bond Yields Surge - Barchart.com
4. Qualcomm’s $60 billion deal reveals what comes after smartphones - Biztoc.com
6. Sentiment radar
Ticker news sentiment is Positive (0.249) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 37 positive / 13 neutral / 0 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Barchart.com x2, Pro-Linux x1, Biztoc.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Notes:
- Alpha Vantage sentiment covers news/feed sentiment, not full social-channel coverage.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 148.52 and 177.87 | Strategy score stays near 59/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 177.87 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 148.52 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 148.52 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +4.31% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 148.52 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 177.87 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 70/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=47中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.