QCOM
QCOM · US
QCOM Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 226.11 |
| Daily move | +6.17% |
| Overall score | 58/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 71.75 / 76.50 |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 18.23 / 17.43 / 0.80 |
| Support (watch) | 145.28 |
| Resistance (watch) | 244.51 |
| 30-session range position | +82.06% (range 126.46-247.90) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: Medium; Valuation: Medium/Low; News & Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 210.67 / 211.59 / 194.89 / 153.34 | Mixed alignment (MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60); price +16.02% over MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 71.75 / 76.50 | Elevated / potential short-term exhaustion |
| MACD | 18.23 / 17.43 / 0.80 | Bullish configuration, above zero, momentum building |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 52.30 / 44.40 / 68.09 | Constructive crossover (K>D) |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 244.51 / 194.89 / 145.28 | Near upper band (81% of band) |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 19.91 / +8.36% | Wide intraday range; elevated volatility budget |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 291,473,353 / +712.36% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 123.59 | Strong upside momentum (>100) |
Confirmed: trend and momentum agree on the upside - MACD above zero, CCI above 100, OBV accumulation rising sharply, and a constructive KDJ crossover, all consistent with price holding well above MA20.
Conflicted: RSI14 (71.75) and RSI6 (76.50) flag overbought conditions and possible short-term exhaustion against the otherwise bullish momentum reads, and price sitting at 81% of the Bollinger band leaves limited headroom to the upper band. Volume is -5.01% versus the 20-session average (31.98M), so the latest advance was on lighter participation than typical.
Missing: no supplied custom indicators beyond the panel above, so this section reflects the standard set only.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 45.09 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 50.9 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 5.64 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.57 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $46.07 / Base $55.22 / Bull $71.86 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -75.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $44.28B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.54B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $249.85B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $57.14B / Equity $4.91B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
PEG proxy and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. The StockKit fair-value range (Bear $46.07 / Base $55.22 / Bull $71.86) is an internally computed DCF scenario output, not analyst consensus; the -75.6% base gap to the 226.11 price is driven by the model's negative 5Y growth assumptions (Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00%) and should be treated as lower-confidence given those inputs. Reported fundamentals carry higher confidence: revenue $44.28B and net income $5.54B (period ending 2025-09-28), with EV/EBITDA the lowest-confidence multiple in the set.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts to weight; price action cannot be attributed to a verified event from supplied data |
Confirmed news: none supplied. Missing data: the entire news feed returned empty, so no earnings dates, product, or regulatory catalysts can be cited. This is a low-confidence section by data availability, not by judgment.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are inferred. Treat sentiment as unavailable rather than neutral.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 194.89-211.59 zone (MA20-MA10) in consolidation | RSI cools from 71.75 toward neutral while MACD stays above zero; volume normalizes near the 31.98M average | A decisive break below MA20 (194.89) or loss of the MACD bullish configuration |
| Upside | Close above the 244.51 resistance/upper-band watch level | Breakout on expanding volume above the 20-session average, OBV slope staying positive, CCI holding >100 | Failure at 244.51 with RSI exhaustion (RSI6 76.50) and a reversal back inside the band |
| Downside | Loss of MA20 (194.89) | Move toward the 145.28 support watch level, MACD histogram (0.80) turning negative, OBV slope rolling over | Reclaim of MA20 and a renewed MACD/CCI momentum push |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overbought reversal | RSI14 71.75 / RSI6 76.50; price at 81% of Bollinger band | Rejection near 244.51 | Watch RSI cooldown and band position daily |
| Thin participation on the rally | Volume -5.01% vs 20-session average (31.98M); score note "价涨量缩" | Further advance on declining volume | Compare daily volume to the 31.98M average |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 19.91 (+8.36% of price) | Wider daily ranges, gap moves | Size watch levels using the ATR band |
| Valuation gap | StockKit base fair value $55.22 vs price 226.11 (-75.6% gap); negative 5Y growth forecast | Confirmation that scenario growth assumptions hold | Track reported fundamentals (rev $44.28B, NI $5.54B) versus model inputs |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data returned | Unverified catalyst moves price sharply | Re-check news/sentiment sources before acting on levels |
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=72超买
接近上轨
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足，连续放量上涨
Research boundary
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