AMGN Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- AMGN (AMGN) is trading at 376.26, with a current daily move of +0.06%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 61/100, creating a neutral research posture with bullish alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 346.63 and resistance at 416.87; price is +7.88% from support and +10.79% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 376.26 | Daily move +0.06% |
| Strategy score | 61/100 | Buy, trend: bull |
| MA structure | Bullish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 74.25 | Elevated / potential short-term exhaustion |
| MACD | 3.18 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 346.63 / 416.87 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 353.95 / 418.40 | Price sits at +34.62% of the range |
| Volume check | -27.67% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +3.10% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is in an elevated zone, so chasing strength carries higher short-term risk.
- MACD: histogram is 3.18, while MACD line / signal are 13.18 / 10.00.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 82.73 / 75.97 / 96.26; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (42% of band); upper / middle / lower are 416.87 / 381.75 / 346.63.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 12.93 (+3.10% of price), OBV slope is +107.05%, and CCI20 is 153.39.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 346.63 / 416.87; recent 30-session range is 353.95 / 418.40.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.45 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 17.45 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 5.55 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 17.35 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 4.74 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $183.56 / Base $237.45 / Bull $304.16 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -36.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -0.42% / Base +5.58% / Bull +11.58% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $36.75B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $7.71B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $203.93B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $95.64B / Equity $11.69B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000318154; company: AMGEN INC.
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Is Gilead Sciences Stock Outperforming the S&P 500? - Barchart.com
2. Amgen Stock Signals Its Confidence. The Market Agrees. - Trefis
3. AMGEN TO PRESENT AT THE 2026 WELLS FARGO HEALTHCARE CONFERENCE - PRNewswire
4. 川普與逾20家全球藥廠達成降價協議,折扣最高達85% - Yahoo Entertainment
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Barchart.com x1, Trefis x1, PRNewswire x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes:
- No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 346.63 and 416.87 | Strategy score stays near 61/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 416.87 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 346.63 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 346.63 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Elevated / potential short-term exhaustion; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +3.10% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 346.63 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 416.87 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 90/100 | StrongBuy | MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列 |
| MACD背离 | 85/100 | StrongBuy | MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 15/100 | StrongSell | RSI14=74超买,短期极度超买 |
| 布林带 | 40/100 | Hold | 突破上轨,短期超买,带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.