AMGN
AMGN · US
AMGN Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 337.60 |
| Daily move | -1.19% |
| Overall score | 47/100 (Signal: Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 51.99 / 64.97 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -3.16 / -4.56 / +1.40 |
| Support (est.) | 321.98 |
| Resistance (est.) | 344.76 |
| 30-session range position | +46.95% (range 320.52-356.90) |
| Data confidence | Moderate-to-low (no news, no connected social feed) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 332.69 / 332.83 / 333.37 / 349.30 | Price +1.27% above MA20 but below MA60; shorter MAs clustered below MA60 |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 51.99 / 64.97 | Neutral on RSI14; faster RSI6 firmer |
| MACD (line/sig/hist) | -3.16 / -4.56 / +1.40 | Bullish configuration: positive histogram, crossover below zero line |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 70.56 / 59.95 / 91.78 | Constructive crossover; J elevated |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 344.76 / 333.37 / 321.98 | Mid-band zone, 69% of band |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 7.04 / +2.07% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 33,244,739.79 / +2.33% | Broadly flat accumulation |
| CCI20 | 100.72 | Just above +100, indicating upside momentum |
Confirmed: Several momentum reads agree on a near-term constructive tilt - MACD histogram is positive (+1.40) with a crossover below the zero line, KDJ shows a constructive crossover, and CCI20 (100.72) is just into upside-momentum territory. Price holding +1.27% above MA20 supports this.
Conflicted: The trend framing disagrees with the momentum reads. The supplied moving-average-structure label reads "Bearish alignment" and the strategy engine flags a MA5<MA20 death cross (StrongSell, 10/100), yet the same label text lists the inequality as "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60," which does not match the raw values (MA5 332.69 < MA10 332.83 < MA20 333.37 < MA60 349.30). The raw values are consistent with the death-cross / bearish-alignment conclusion, so I am treating the inequality string as a label typo and the bearish structure as the intended read. RSI14 (51.99, neutral) sits between the firmer RSI6 (64.97) and the soft trend, so momentum and trend are not aligned. Volume is also conflicted: price ticked but current volume is -43.91% versus the 20-session average, flagged as "price up, volume shrinking" (55/100).
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here. OBV slope is only marginally positive (+2.33%), giving limited conviction on accumulation.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.73 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 19.91 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.98 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 16.02 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 4.25 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $183.56 / Base $237.45 / Bull $304.16 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -29.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -0.42% / Base +5.58% / Bull +11.58% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $36.75B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $7.71B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $182.98B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $92.50B / Equity $9.19B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: The StockKit fair-value range and PEG proxy are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. The base case fair value ($237.45) implies a -29.7% gap to the current 337.60, and the PEG proxy (4.25) is elevated against the base 5Y growth forecast (+5.58%). High elevated PB (19.91) reflects the thin reported equity base ($9.19B) relative to the $182.98B market cap.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts to anchor near-term moves; technical levels carry more weight in the absence of news |
Confirmed news: None supplied. No earnings dates, regulatory items, or company events were provided, and none are inferred. This section has low data confidence by definition.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are presented because no such source is marked connected.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price oscillates in the mid-band zone around MA20 (333.37), holding the 321.98-344.76 envelope | RSI14 stays near neutral (~52), MACD histogram stays modestly positive, range position holds near +46.95% | Decisive break of either watch level on rising volume |
| Upside | Sustained move above resistance / Bollinger upper 344.76 | MACD follow-through (histogram expands), CCI20 holds above +100, volume recovers from the -43.91% deficit, push toward MA60 (349.30) and 30-session high (356.90) | Rejection at 344.76 or failure to reclaim MA60 |
| Downside | Break below support 321.98 (Bollinger lower) | Death-cross / bearish alignment reasserts, RSI6 rolls over from 64.97, move toward 30-session low (320.52) | Reclaim of MA20 (333.37) with positive volume |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend stays bearish despite momentum pop | MA bearish alignment / death cross (10/100, StrongSell); price below MA60 (349.30) | Failure to reclaim MA60 | Track price vs MA60 and the 344.76 watch level |
| Weak volume confirmation | Current volume -43.91% vs 20-session average; "price up, volume shrinking" (55/100) | Continued advance on thin volume | Watch volume vs the 2,793,984 average on any breakout |
| Valuation gap to base case | Base fair value $237.45, gap -29.7%; PEG proxy 4.25 | Multiple compression toward model range | Track PE (23.73) trend against the scenario forecasts |
| Information blind spots | No news; social sentiment not connected | Unanticipated catalyst with no feed coverage | Manually monitor primary sources until feeds reconnect |
| Volatility | ATR14 +2.07% of price | Sharp range expansion | Size watch levels around ATR to avoid noise |
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=52中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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