IBM
IBM · US
IBM Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 216.28 |
| Daily move | +0.98% |
| Day high / low | 219.63 / 215.29 |
| Overall score | 65/100 (Buy) |
| Trend | Bull (per engine; contested by price location) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 56.65 / 52.85 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 8.32 / 7.42 / +0.90 |
| Estimated support | 244.83 |
| Estimated resistance | 310.07 |
| 30-session range position | -30.86% (range 243.68 / 332.46) |
| Data confidence | Medium-low (price vs indicator conflict; no news; no social) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 296.25 / 291.58 / 277.45 / 259.36 | Alignment is bullish, but price 216.28 is far below all four (Price vs MA20-22.05%) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 56.65 / 52.85 | Constructive but not extreme; mid-range, no overbought/oversold signal |
| MACD | 8.32 / 7.42 / +0.90 | Bullish configuration above zero line; scored 70/100, but momentum flagged as weakening |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 61.19 / 72.08 / 39.39 | Soft/repairing; K below D and a low J point to fading short-term momentum |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 310.07 / 277.45 / 244.83 | Price sits below the lower band; context tags "near lower band (-44% of band)" |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 12.24 / +4.22% | Moderate volatility; roughly 4.2% of price per average true range |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 60,146,902 / +29.97% | Accumulation improving; volume-flow trend is positive |
| CCI20 | 73.83 | Inside a neutral band; no extreme reading |
Confirmed: MACD is above its signal and the zero line, OBV slope is positive (+29.97%), and RSI is constructive without being stretched.
Conflicted: The single largest conflict is structural. The engine reports a bullish MA alignment and bull trend, yet the live price (216.28) is below every MA, below the Bollinger lower band, and below estimated support (244.83) and the 30-session range low (243.68). KDJ softness and the "price up, volume down" note (current volume -37.67% versus the 20-session average of 8,060,745) also argue against strength. These do not reconcile with a clean uptrend, so treat the bull label cautiously.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above, so none are folded in.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.37 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 5.96 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 3.04 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PEG proxy | 1.08 | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| StockKit fair-value range | Bear $223.87 / Base $307.87 / Bull $386.82 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +42.3% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Revenue | $67.53B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $10.59B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $205.18B | SEC shares + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $152.10B / Equity $34.45B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The fair-value range, base fair-value gap, PEG proxy, and 5Y growth forecast are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals. They are not analyst consensus targets. EV/EBITDA was N/A and is omitted; dividend yield and a 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
Confirmed news: None. The configured news source returned no current items.
Missing data: With no headlines available, there is no confirmed catalyst timeline (no earnings date, guidance, product, or corporate-action items to cite). This is a low-confidence section by data availability, not by interpretation. Any catalyst-driven view would require external confirmation not present in the supplied dataset, so none is asserted here.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | Neutral 0.089; 13 positive / 32 neutral / 5 negative across 50 scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums not configured | Low |
News-feed sentiment is net Neutral (0.089), with neutral headlines dominating (32 of 50) and positive outnumbering negative (13 vs 5). This reflects news/feed sentiment only. Social-channel sentiment is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum reading is inferred.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price reclaims and holds the 244.83 support/Bollinger-lower watch level; MACD stays above zero (8.32/7.42) | Sustained closes back inside the 30-session range and toward the StockKit base fair value of $307.87 (base gap +42.3%) | Repeated rejections at 244.83; OBV slope (+29.97%) rolling over; volume staying below the 20-session average (8,060,745) |
| Upside | Momentum broadens with price pushing toward resistance at 310.07 (Bollinger upper) | RSI14 firming above mid-range from 56.65 without becoming extreme; KDJ repairing (J recovering from 39.39); expanding volume | MACD histogram turning negative from +0.90; failure to clear the 277.45 MA20/Bollinger-mid area |
| Downside | Price stays capped below 244.83 and holds under the 30-session range low of 243.68 | Continued position below the lower band; "price up, volume down" persisting (current volume -37.67% vs average); OBV slope reversing | Reclaim of 244.83 and a move back above MA20 (277.45), restoring the bullish alignment in price terms |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend-label vs price conflict | Bull trend and bullish MA alignment reported, yet price 216.28 is below all MAs and below support 244.83 (Price vs MA20-22.05%) | Price fails to reclaim 244.83 | Weight price action over the trend label until 244.83 is retaken |
| Weak volume confirmation | Volume -37.67% vs 20-session average; "price up, volume down" (量价关系 55/100) | Advances continue on shrinking volume | Track volume vs the 8,060,745 average on up days |
| Momentum fade | KDJ soft/repairing (J 39.39, K<D); MACD histogram small at +0.90 with "momentum weakening" note | MACD histogram turns negative | Watch MACD line vs signal (8.32/7.42) and J recovery |
| Valuation dependence on model | Fair-value range and PEG are StockKit scenario outputs, not consensus (Medium confidence) | Realized fundamentals diverge from base +18% growth assumption | Revisit if reported growth undershoots the base case |
| Thin information base | No news; social sentiment not connected; only feed sentiment (Neutral 0.089) | New material headline emerges outside dataset | Re-run once news/social sources connect |
1. Whether price reclaims and holds the 244.83 support / Bollinger-lower watch level (currently -13.20% to support). 2. Position relative to the 30-session range low of 243.68 and range midpoint. 3. MACD histogram direction from +0.90 and the line/signal spread (8.32 vs 7.42). 4. Volume on up days versus the 20-session average of 8,060,745 (current reading -37.67%). 5. OBV slope holding its positive +29.97% or reversing. 6. KDJ repair, specifically J recovering from 39.39 and K crossing back above D. 7. Any first confirmed news item or social-source connection, given both are currently missing/not connected.
This brief is a public-facing, rules-based research preview generated by StockKit and is not personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. It makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All views cite supplied data points only; no financial statements, valuation multiples, earnings dates, analyst ratings, or company facts were invented beyond the supplied dataset. Fundamentals are sourced from SEC EDGAR companyfacts (latest annual period used where available: 2025-12-31; CIK 0000051143). Items marked StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, base fair-value gap, 5Y growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. Lower-confidence areas: the technical panel (a conflict exists between the reported bull trend/MA alignment and the price sitting below all moving averages and support), the news timeline (no headlines available), and social sentiment (not connected). Levels described are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions.
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=57中性
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.