SBUX
SBUX · US
SBUX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $100.65 |
| Daily move | +0.83% |
| Strategy score | 47/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 49.51 / 28.07 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 1.66 / 2.18 / -0.52 |
| Estimated support | $99.62 |
| Estimated resistance | $109.94 |
| 30-session range position | +38.74% (range $95.44 - $108.88) |
| Data confidence | Medium-low (no news, no connected sentiment) |
| Indicator | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 105.34 / 105.82 / 104.78 / 99.02 | Mixed alignment per supplied context; MA5 > MA20 flagged as a short-term golden cross, but price ($100.65) sits below all short-term MAs and only above MA60 |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 49.51 / 28.07 | RSI14 neutral; RSI6 washed-out short-term, consistent with the rebound-watch read |
| MACD | 1.66 / 2.18 / -0.52 | Bearish configuration: death cross with negative histogram, though MACD remains above the zero axis, indicating weakening rather than collapsed momentum |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 31.41 / 47.56 / -0.88 | Washed-out / rebound watch; J line deeply negative suggests short-term oversold stretch |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 109.94 / 104.78 / 99.62 | Near lower band (10% of band), a stretched-low position |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 2.53 / +2.45% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 26,530,129.48 / -10.86% | Distribution pressure visible; negative slope conflicts with any bullish price read |
| CCI20 | -64.02 | Inside a neutral band, no extreme signal |
Confirmed: Short-term oversold stretch (RSI6 28.07, KDJ J -0.88, near lower Bollinger Band) aligns with the rebound-watch framing. Bearish MACD and negative OBV slope (-10.86%) jointly confirm weak momentum and distribution.
Conflicted: The MA5 > MA20 crossover (a buy input scoring 60/100) sits against price trading below MA20 (-3.94%) and a bearish MACD death cross. The setup is genuinely mixed, which the 47/100 Hold score captures.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 61.8 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | -13.55 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 3.09 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 26.9 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $14.96 / Base $17.94 / Bull $23.34 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -82.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $37.18B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.86B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $114.72B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $30.56B / Equity $-8.47B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Reading notes: The StockKit fair-value range and 5Y growth forecast are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair value ($17.94) sits roughly 82% below the current price; this gap is driven by negative modeled growth assumptions (-4.00% base) flowing through the DCF and should be treated as a model artifact rather than a price expectation. Negative PB (-13.55) reflects negative book equity (-$8.47B), a known consequence of sustained buybacks rather than operational distress, so book-value multiples are not a reliable anchor here. PE of 61.8 against $1.86B net income indicates a premium earnings multiple.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
No confirmed headlines were returned, so there is no event timeline to construct and no catalyst can be cited. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of catalysts. Treat the catalyst picture as low confidence and rely on the technical and valuation panels until coverage reconnects.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are available because no such source is marked connected. Sentiment is therefore an open data gap and contributes nothing to the current view.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Range-bound between support $99.62 and MA20 $104.78 | Continued consolidation with RSI14 holding near 50 and price oscillating inside the lower-to-middle Bollinger band | Decisive close below $99.62 or above resistance $109.94 |
| Upside | Hold of $99.62 support plus RSI6 (28.07) and KDJ recovery from washed-out levels | Reclaim of MA20 ($104.78) with MACD histogram narrowing toward a positive crossover and OBV slope turning up from -10.86% | Failure at MA20 resistance or renewed OBV decline |
| Downside | Break of support $99.62 / lower Bollinger Band on sustained volume | Move toward 30-session low $95.44 with OBV distribution pressure persisting and MACD death cross widening | Reclaim and hold above $99.62 with volume contraction |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Distribution pressure | OBV 20-session slope -10.86%; volume-price input scored 35/100 (Sell), price-down-on-volume (1.1x) | Continued down moves on above-average volume (current vs 20-session avg +10.12%) | Track OBV slope and volume vs the 8.26M 20-session average daily |
| Momentum deterioration | Bearish MACD death cross (1.66 / 2.18 / -0.52) | Histogram widening further negative below zero | Watch MACD line crossing the zero axis |
| Support failure | Price +1.02% above support $99.62 and near lower Bollinger Band | Close below $99.62 | Watch the $99.62 level on a closing basis |
| Valuation premium | PE 61.8; EV/EBITDA 26.9; negative equity (-$8.47B) | Earnings or guidance disappointment (no date in supplied data) | Watch for reconnected news/earnings coverage |
| Catalyst/sentiment blind spot | No news coverage; no connected sentiment feed | Sudden price move without an identifiable driver | Re-check when news and sentiment sources reconnect |
1. Support integrity at $99.62 (lower Bollinger Band) on a closing basis - the single most important level. 2. Reclaim attempt of MA20 $104.78 as the near-term upside hurdle. 3. RSI6 (28.07) and KDJ J (-0.88) recovery from washed-out levels to confirm or reject the rebound-watch read. 4. MACD histogram (-0.52) direction - narrowing supports stabilization, widening supports the downside path. 5. OBV slope (-10.86%) for any turn that would ease distribution pressure. 6. Volume vs the 8.26M 20-session average - repeated above-average down days reinforce the sell-side volume-price signal. 7. Reconnection of news and sentiment feeds, given both are currently empty and represent the largest information gaps.
This brief is a public-facing research preview, not personalized investment advice. All views are derived solely from the supplied dataset; no financial statements, multiples, ratings, or company facts outside that dataset were added. Fundamental figures are sourced from SEC EDGAR companyfacts (CIK 0000829224, STARBUCKS CORP, latest annual period 2025-09-28); the PEG proxy and fair-value range are StockKit scenario model outputs and are not analyst consensus. Lower-confidence areas are the news timeline and sentiment radar (both empty in the supplied data) and the StockKit DCF fair-value range, which diverges materially from market price and should be read as a model scenario. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to transact.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=50中性
在通道中部
价跌放量(1.1x)，抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.