Palantir Technologies Inc.
PLTR · US
PLTR Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 128.47 |
| Daily move | -1.65% |
| Strategy score | 49/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 41.37 / 31.77 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -1.89 / -2.07 / 0.17 |
| Estimated support | 129.70 (price -0.96% below) |
| Estimated resistance | 143.64 (price +11.81% below) |
| 30-session range position | -1.17% (range 128.75 / 152.68) |
| Data confidence | Medium-low (no news / sentiment feed) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 136.11 / 134.87 / 136.67 / 143.74 | Mixed alignment; price below all four. MA crossover sub-score 40/100 flags MA5 < MA20 (death cross) |
| RSI (14/6) | 41.37 / 31.77 | Soft but not washed out; RSI14 neutral, RSI6 nearer oversold |
| MACD | -1.89 / -2.07 / 0.17 | Golden cross (line > signal, positive histogram) but below zero line, so momentum is repairing from weakness |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 59.63 / 61.88 / 55.14 | Soft or still repairing; mid-range, no clear thrust |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 143.64 / 136.67 / 129.70 | Near lower band (-9% of band width); pressure side of the channel |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 4.94 / +3.73% | Moderate volatility; roughly 3.73% of price per session |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 188,525,478 / +4.24% | Broadly flat to mildly positive accumulation |
| CCI20 | -89.23 | Inside a neutral band, leaning soft but not at an extreme |
Confirmed: The soft, consolidating posture is consistent across RSI (41.37), CCI (-89.23 neutral), KDJ (mid-range), and price sitting below MA20 near the lower Bollinger band.
Conflicted: Trend signals disagree. The MA structure shows a MA5 < MA20 death cross (40/100), while MACD shows a golden cross with a positive histogram (0.17) but below the zero line. This is the classic tension of an early momentum repair inside a still-soft trend.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here. Volume context is present: current volume is -16.96% versus the 20-session average of 41,136,154, supporting the "缩量回调 / lighter-volume pullback" read in the volume-price sub-score (55/100).
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 202.8 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 39 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 73.64 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 227.24 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 11.27 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $12.7 / Base $17.47 / Bull $21.95 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -86.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $4.48B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.63B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $329.55B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $10.20B / Equity $8.45B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The reported fundamentals are robust (Revenue $4.48B, Net income $1.63B, Equity $8.45B, all High confidence). The headline multiples (PE 202.8, P/S 73.64, PB 39, EV/EBITDA 227.24) sit at elevated absolute levels. The rows marked StockKit DCF / scenario model - PEG proxy 11.27, fair-value range $12.7 / $17.47 / $21.95, and the -86.4% base fair-value gap - are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus targets, and should be read as model output rather than market expectations. EV/EBITDA carries Low confidence and should be weighted accordingly.
Confirmed news: None. The configured news source returned no current items for PLTR.
Missing data: With no headlines available, there is no confirmed catalyst timeline to map. This is a notable gap; any event-driven view in this brief is therefore lower confidence. No earnings dates, ratings, or company events are inferred, since none were supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social sentiment is marked Not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are drawn. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot in this brief and should not be used as a directional input.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Consolidation continues near 128-137 with score at 49/100 Hold | Price holds the 129.70 support / lower band region; RSI14 stays mid-range (~41); lighter pullback volume (-16.96% vs avg) stabilizes | Sustained break below the 30-session floor (128.75) or a clean reclaim above MA20 (136.67) |
| Upside | Momentum repair extends from the MACD golden cross (hist +0.17) | Price reclaims MA20 (136.67) and pushes toward resistance 143.64; MACD line crosses above zero; OBV slope (+4.24%) steepens | MACD rolls back under its signal; price rejects at MA20 and returns below support |
| Downside | Lower-band pressure resolves to the downside | Price loses 129.70 support and the 30-session low 128.75 on expanding volume; RSI6 (31.77) drives toward oversold | Price recovers back inside the Bollinger channel and holds above 129.70 |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend still soft | Price -6.00% vs MA20; MA5 < MA20 death cross (40/100) | Failure to reclaim MA20 (136.67) | Watch MA20 as the trend pivot |
| Support breakdown | Price -0.96% below estimated support 129.70; -1.17% in 30-session range | Close below 128.75 range floor | Track the 128.75-129.70 zone |
| Elevated valuation | PE 202.8, P/S 73.64, EV/EBITDA 227.24; base fair-value gap -86.4% (model) | Multiple compression on any growth disappointment | Re-check multiples against any new reported fundamentals |
| Information gaps | No news feed; sentiment Not connected | An unmodeled headline moves price | Treat catalyst/sentiment views as low confidence |
| Volatility | ATR14 4.94 (+3.73% of price) | Range expansion beyond ATR | Size watch levels around ~3.7% daily swings |
1. Estimated support 129.70 and the 30-session floor 128.75 - does the lower-band region hold (highest priority). 2. MA20 at 136.67 as the reclaim level that would shift the consolidation read. 3. MACD: whether the golden cross (hist +0.17) carries the line back toward / above the zero axis. 4. RSI6 (31.77) for any move into oversold versus RSI14 (41.37) stabilizing mid-range. 5. Volume versus the 20-session average (41,136,154) - confirmation of whether the -16.96% lighter pullback is stabilizing or reversing. 6. Resistance at 143.64 (+11.81% away) as the upper test if momentum repair extends. 7. Restoration of the news and sentiment feeds - any headline would materially raise confidence in the catalyst and sentiment sections.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=41中性
在通道中部
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
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