Palantir Technologies Inc.
PLTR · US
PLTR Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 162.66 |
| Daily move | +29.45% |
| Day high / low | 164.51 / 143.28 |
| Strategy score / signal | 55/100 / Hold |
| Trend label | Bull |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 51.42 / 57.58 (neutral) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -1.10 / -2.70 / +1.60 (golden cross, below zero) |
| Est. support | 108.60 |
| Est. resistance | 141.13 |
| 30-session range | 106.37-163.70 |
| Position in 30-session range | +98.19% |
| Data confidence | Mixed (price/range usable; momentum & volume lower confidence) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 130.49 / 127.24 / 124.87 / 134.92 | Short stack rising (MA5>MA10>MA20), but MA60 sits above MA20, so alignment is mixed. Price is +30.27% over MA20. |
| RSI (14/6) | 51.42 / 57.58 | Neutral. Does not confirm a +29.45% day. |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.10 / -2.70 / +1.60 | Golden cross with positive, expanding histogram, but the whole structure is below the zero axis; strategy note flags weakening momentum. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 65.01 / 65.86 / 63.32 | Mid-upper zone, "soft or still repairing" per context; not an extreme. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 141.13 / 124.87 / 108.60 | Price above the upper band (cited 166% of band); band width implies elevated deviation. |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 6.75 / +5.19% | Daily range roughly 5% of price; sizing and stop distances should assume elevated volatility. |
| OBV (level / 20-sess slope) | 210,591,597.71 / -14.33% | Slope negative; context flags "distribution pressure visible." |
| CCI20 | 40.28 | Inside neutral band; no trend-thrust confirmation. |
Confirmed: MACD golden cross with a positive histogram, and a rising short-term MA stack (MA5>MA10>MA20). Price has cleared the top of its 30-session range.
Conflicted: The price extension (above Bollinger upper band, +30.27% over MA20, +98.19% range position) is not confirmed by momentum oscillators, which sit neutral (RSI14 51.42, CCI20 40.28). OBV slope is negative (-14.33%) and the strategy note reads "price up, volume shrinks," which conflicts with the size of the move. The raw quote volume (172,005,673) is far above the 20-session average (45,287,989), yet the supplied "current volume vs 20-session average" is -12.15% - an internal inconsistency. Volume interpretation is therefore low confidence.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above.
Rows marked StockKit scenario model are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 256.77 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 42.69 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 93.23 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 288.32 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 14.26 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair-value range | Bear $12.70 / Base $17.47 / Bull $21.95 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -89.3% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $4.48B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.63B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $417.25B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $11.68B / Equity $9.77B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The multiples (PE 256.77, PB 42.69, P/S 93.23, EV/EBITDA 288.32) are high in absolute terms. The StockKit DCF scenario model places base fair value at $17.47 vs a 162.66 price, a -89.3% base gap. This is a model output driven by the supplied growth assumptions (base +18% 5Y) and should be read as one internal scenario, not a consensus target; EV/EBITDA carries the lowest supplied confidence. Dividend yield and a 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source |
| Scheduled catalysts (earnings date, guidance, events) | Not supplied |
No confirmed news was returned, so no headline-driven interpretation can be offered without inventing facts. The +29.45% move therefore has no attributable catalyst in this dataset; treat the driver as unexplained. Confidence in any catalyst narrative is low by absence of data.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Reddit, X, StockTwits, and forum reads are not available and are not inferred. Sentiment is effectively a blank input here; do not weight it.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price consolidates between the former resistance 141.13 and the 30-session high 163.70 after the +29.45% move | RSI14 drifting up from 51.42 toward mid-60s while price holds above 141.13; MACD histogram staying positive | Loss of 141.13 back into the Bollinger band; RSI stalling and OBV slope staying negative (-14.33%) |
| Upside | Sustained acceptance above the 30-session high 163.70 | Follow-through volume clearly above the 20-session average (45,287,989) with OBV slope turning up; MACD line crossing above zero | RSI failing to expand despite higher prices; volume fading (echoing the current "price up, volume shrinks" read) |
| Downside | Rejection at the upper band (141.13) and reversion toward MA20 (124.87) | Break of 141.13, then loss of MA5 130.49; CCI20 rolling out of its neutral band to the downside | Price reclaiming 141.13 as support with rising RSI and positive OBV slope |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overextension / mean reversion | Price above Bollinger upper band (141.13, 166% of band), +30.27% over MA20, +98.19% range position | Failure to hold 141.13; close back inside the band | Watch daily close vs 141.13 and MA5 (130.49) |
| Momentum non-confirmation | RSI14 51.42 and CCI20 40.28 both neutral despite the large move | RSI slipping under 50 while price stays elevated | Track RSI14/CCI20 for divergence against price |
| Distribution / weak participation | OBV slope -14.33%; context "price up, volume shrinks" | OBV slope staying negative on up-days | Watch OBV slope and up-day volume vs 45.3M avg |
| Volume-data inconsistency | Raw volume 172.0M vs stated -12.15% vs a 45.3M average | Persistent mismatch in feeds | Re-verify volume source before acting on volume signals |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 6.75 (+5.19% of price) | Widening daily ranges | Size positions and stop distances to ~5%+ swings |
| Valuation gap (model) | StockKit base fair value $17.47 vs 162.66 price (-89.3%); PE 256.77 | Growth assumptions revised down | Track any change to the +18% base growth input |
| News/sentiment blind spot | No headlines; social not connected | A confirmed catalyst appears | Recheck news and sentiment feeds daily |
1. Daily close relative to 141.13 (former resistance / Bollinger upper band): does it hold as support? 2. Ability to accept above the 30-session high 163.70 vs rejection. 3. RSI14 (from 51.42) and CCI20 (from 40.28): confirmation or divergence against price. 4. MACD histogram (currently +1.60) and whether the MACD line lifts toward the zero axis (currently -1.10). 5. Volume vs the 20-session average (45,287,989) on up-days, plus OBV slope (currently -14.33%) turning. 6. Reversion risk toward MA5 (130.49) and MA20 (124.87) if the upper band fails. 7. Any new confirmed news or a connected sentiment source, since both feeds are currently empty.
This brief is generated by StockKit for general informational purposes and is not personalized investment advice. It draws only on the supplied dataset: SEC EDGAR companyfacts (CIK 0001321655, latest annual income-statement period 2025-12-31), a live quote, and StockKit's internally computed technical and scenario outputs. PEG proxy and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus targets. No news or sentiment data was available, so those sections reflect data absence rather than a neutral finding. Momentum and volume reads are lower confidence due to lag against the current price and an internal volume inconsistency. Levels shown are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. No outcome or return is promised.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=51中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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