NKE
NKE · US
NKE Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $45.20 |
| Daily move | +2.29% |
| Overall score | 59/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 51.49 / 72.47 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.83 / -1.27 / +0.45 |
| Estimated support | $41.44 |
| Estimated resistance | $45.67 |
| 30-session range position | +68.51% (range $41.35-$46.97) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: Medium; Valuation: Medium; News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 43.65 / 42.92 / 43.56 / 48.29 | Mixed alignment; price is +3.77% above MA20 but MA60 ($48.29) remains overhead. MA5>MA20 cross is constructive short-term. |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 51.49 / 72.47 | RSI14 neutral; RSI6 elevated near 72, signaling short-term stretch. |
| MACD | -0.83 / -1.27 / +0.45 | Positive histogram and line above signal point to improving momentum, but both sit below the zero axis. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 72.69 / 50.74 / 116.59 | Extended; J at 116.59 flags short-term overheating risk. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 45.67 / 43.56 / 41.44 | Price near upper band (~89% of band width). |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 1.11 / +2.48% | Moderate volatility; roughly 2.48% of price per session. |
| OBV / 20-session slope | -557,303,378 / -24.73% | Distribution pressure; volume flow has been trending lower. |
| CCI20 | 73.68 | Inside a neutral band, not yet at an extreme. |
Confirmed: A short-term momentum improvement is corroborated by the MACD histogram turning positive (+0.45) alongside the MA5>MA20 cross.
Conflicted: Bullish short-term momentum (MACD, MA5>MA20) sits against distribution pressure in OBV (-24.73% slope) and overheating signals in KDJ (J=116.59) and RSI6 (72.47). Price is also pressing the upper Bollinger band while MA60 stays overhead.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so no additional readings are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.89 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 4.77 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 1.45 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 88.53 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $19.88 / Base $23.83 / Bull $31.01 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -47.3% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $46.31B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $3.22B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $67.24B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $37.06B / Equity $14.09B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit fair-value range (Bear $19.88 / Base $23.83 / Bull $31.01) and the 5Y growth forecast are internally computed scenario outputs from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair-value gap of -47.3% indicates the current $45.20 price trades well above the model's base case, which embeds a negative base growth assumption (-4.00%). EV/EBITDA at 88.53 is carried at Low confidence and should be weighted lightly. The PEG proxy row is omitted as N/A.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | Missing - no current news items from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts can be assessed; event-driven views are lower confidence until coverage returns. |
No confirmed news was available. Without supplied headlines, no earnings dates, product events, or corporate actions are asserted here. This section is Low confidence by data availability.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are included because no such source is marked connected. Treat sentiment input as unavailable rather than neutral.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Range-bound near $43.56 (MA20) to $45.67 (resistance) | Continued consolidation with RSI14 holding ~50 and price oscillating inside the 30-session range ($41.35-$46.97) | A decisive close beyond either the $45.67 resistance or $41.44 support band |
| Upside | Daily close above the $45.67 resistance / upper Bollinger band | Follow-through with volume recovering toward or above the 20-session average (19.7M) and MACD histogram staying positive | Rejection at $45.67 with volume staying below average; KDJ/RSI6 unwinding from overheated levels |
| Downside | Loss of MA20 ($43.56) and the +68.51% range position erodes | Move toward the $41.44 support / lower Bollinger band, with OBV distribution slope (-24.73%) persisting | Reclaim of MA20 and a positive turn in OBV slope |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overheating | KDJ J=116.59; RSI6=72.47 | Further price extension without RSI14 confirmation | Watch for RSI6 cooling below 70 and KDJ J pulling back |
| Weak volume confirmation | Volume -24.41% vs 20-session average; score note "价涨量缩" | Advance continues on declining volume | Compare daily volume against the 19.7M average on any breakout |
| Distribution pressure | OBV -557.3M with -24.73% 20-session slope | OBV slope stays negative as price rises | Track OBV slope for any flattening or upturn |
| Valuation gap to model base | Base fair-value gap -47.3%; base 5Y growth -4.00% | Price holds well above StockKit base case | Note that current price embeds expectations above the model's base scenario |
| Overhead trend resistance | MA60 at $48.29 above price | Approach to MA60 stalls the advance | Watch price reaction near the $46.97 range high and MA60 |
| News/sentiment blind spot | No headlines; social not connected | An unmodeled catalyst emerges | Re-check once the configured news/sentiment sources return data |
1. $45.67 resistance / upper Bollinger band - does a daily close hold above it (priority). 2. $43.56 MA20 - the first level to watch on any pullback. 3. $41.44 support / lower Bollinger band - the deeper downside watch level. 4. Daily volume vs the 19.7M 20-session average - confirmation or lack of it on any move. 5. RSI6 (72.47) and KDJ J (116.59) - signs of cooling from overheated readings. 6. MACD histogram (+0.45) - whether it stays positive and the line climbs toward the zero axis. 7. Return of news/sentiment coverage - re-assess catalysts and crowd positioning once sources reconnect.
This brief is built only from the supplied StockKit dataset. The StockKit fair-value range, 5Y growth forecast, and base fair-value gap are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment are Low confidence because no data was returned from the configured sources. All price levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=51中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.