DIS
DIS · US
I'm noticing a discrepancy in the moving average alignment-the precomputed context labels it as bearish, but looking at the actual values (MA5=97.45, MA10=97.47, MA20=99.43, MA60=101.99), the pattern shows MA5 < MA10 < MA20 < MA60, which is actually a bullish alignment, not bearish.
The news headlines are completely unrelated to Disney-they're French and Romanian articles about other topics entirely, so there's no relevant news signal to factor in. The position within the 30-session range sits at 17.86%, and the fair value gap of +95.4% is substantial but comes from a StockKit model rather than consensus estimates, so I need to treat that with appropriate skepticism.
The overall score is 39/100 with a Sell signal.# DIS Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 96.65 |
| Daily move | +1.90% |
| Composite score / signal | 39/100 / Sell |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 40.20 / 35.89 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -1.35 / -1.07 / -0.28 |
| Support (watch level) | 94.65 |
| Resistance (watch level) | 104.20 |
| 30-session range position | +17.86% (range 94.78-105.25) |
| Data confidence | Moderate; catalysts/sentiment low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 97.45 / 97.47 / 99.43 / 101.99 | Bearish alignment (short below long); price -2.79% vs MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 40.20 / 35.89 | Soft, not washed out; RSI14 neutral-to-weak |
| MACD | -1.35 / -1.07 / -0.28 | Bearish: line below signal and below zero, momentum easing |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 22.29 / 22.39 / 22.10 | Low, still repairing; no confirmed crossover up yet |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 104.20 / 99.43 / 94.65 | Mid-band zone, 21% of band; near lower band, width expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 2.48 / +2.58% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | -208,298,982 / -33.11% | Distribution pressure visible |
| CCI20 | -127.89 | Below -100; downside pressure / oversold zone |
Custom StockKit sub-signals (folded in with cited readings): MA cross 10/100 StrongSell ("MA5<MA20 death cross, bearish alignment"); MACD divergence 20/100 Sell ("death cross, below zero axis, weakening momentum"); RSI extreme 50/100 Hold ("RSI14=40 neutral"); Bollinger 65/100 Buy ("near lower band, possible rebound, band expanding"); volume-price 55/100 Hold ("light-volume pullback, may stabilize").
- Confirmed: Trend and momentum are bearish. MA stack, MACD, KDJ, CCI, and OBV all point the same direction.
- Conflicted: Mean-reversion signals disagree with trend. The lower-band proximity (Bollinger 65/100 Buy) and light-volume pullback (current volume -2.98% vs 20-session average) suggest a possible short-term bounce against the bearish backdrop.
- Missing: No intraday or multi-timeframe data supplied; the stabilization read rests on daily indicators only.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.11 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 1.61 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 1.85 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 9.47 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 0.78 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $137.32 / Base $188.85 / Bull $237.27 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +95.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $94.42B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $12.40B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $175.03B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $205.22B / Equity $108.71B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The fair-value range and PEG proxy are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. The +95.4% base gap is model-implied and should be read as a scenario output at Medium confidence, not a forecast of price movement; it contrasts sharply with the bearish near-term tape and warrants independent scrutiny of the model's growth and discount assumptions.
| Date | Headline | Source | Relevance to DIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Virginia Woolf and Vanessa Bell / gossip feature | Lalibre.be | No observable link to Walt Disney Co. |
| 2026-08-02 | Zinédine Zidane interview | SO FOOT | No observable link to DIS |
| 2026-08-02 | Kim Philby / MI6-KGB feature | Digi24.ro | No observable link to DIS |
| 2026-08-02 | Ceuta floating barrier report | Courrier International | No observable link to DIS |
| 2026-08-01 | "Yellow Dog." | Languagehat.com | No observable link to DIS |
Confirmed company-specific catalysts: none. The five supplied headlines do not reference Disney, its segments, earnings, or management, so no catalyst read can be built from them.
Missing data: No earnings date, guidance, analyst action, or corporate event was supplied. This section is low confidence, and no forward catalyst should be inferred.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Lalibre.be x1, SO FOOT x1, Digi24.ro x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion drawn | Low |
No provider-level sentiment score was returned for DIS. Social sources are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum reading is provided. Because the available headlines are unrelated to the company, headline coverage should not be treated as a directional sentiment signal.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 94.65 support band amid light-volume pullback (volume -2.98% vs 20-session avg) | Range-bound action between ~94.65 and MA20 (99.43); KDJ (22.29) turning up | Break and close below 94.65, or failure to reclaim MA5/MA10 (~97.45) |
| Upside | Rebound off lower Bollinger band (65/100 Buy) with momentum repair | RSI14 recovering above ~50; MACD histogram (-0.28) narrowing toward zero; reclaim of MA20 99.43 | Rejection at MA cluster and renewed OBV decline (slope -33.11%) |
| Downside | Bearish MA stack and CCI (-127.89) resolve lower | Close below 94.65 support / 30-session low 94.78 on expanding volume | Reclaim of MA20 (99.43) with positive OBV slope shift |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation lower | Bearish MA alignment; MACD -1.35 below zero; score 39/100 Sell | Close below 94.65 | Watch daily close vs support band |
| Distribution pressure | OBV -208.3M, 20-session slope -33.11% | Volume expansion on down days | Track OBV slope vs price |
| Failed bounce | KDJ 22.29 low; RSI6 35.89 soft | Rejection near MA20 99.43 | Watch reaction at 97.45-99.43 |
| Model-vs-tape divergence | Base fair-value gap +95.4% (Medium) vs bear trend | Persistent gap with weak price | Re-check DCF growth/discount inputs |
| Catalyst blind spot | No DIS-specific news supplied | Unmodeled headline appears | Monitor for company-specific news |
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=40中性
接近下轨，可能反弹，带宽扩张中
缩量回调，可能企稳
Virginia Woolf et sa sœur Vanessa Bell raffolaient des commérages: "Il y a toujours un coin de ma tête où je te garde une pleine besace de potins"
Lalibre.be · 2026-08-02
ENTRETIEN XXL – Zinédine Zidane : « Moi je n’ai rien demandé, je voulais être chauffeur-livreur »
SO FOOT · 2026-08-02
„O lecție magistrală de trădare”: Kim Philby, spionul dublu britanic care a furat secretele MI6 pentru KGB și a fugit în URSS
Digi24.ro · 2026-08-02
À Ceuta, “du chaos au silence” et une barrière flottante installée sur la côte
Courrier International · 2026-08-02
Yellow Dog.
Languagehat.com · 2026-08-01
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