StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
PM · US · Fresh
Generated 2026-09-06 23:58 UTC
PM
PM · US
$195.66
+1.38%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
45 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
High
Research view
PM Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- PM (PM) is trading at 195.66, with a current daily move of +1.38%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 45/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 179.39 and resistance at 200.89; price is +8.32% from support and +2.67% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 195.66 | Daily move +1.38% |
| Strategy score | 45/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 47.19 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | -1.06 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 179.39 / 200.89 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 175.76 / 207.76 | Price sits at +62.19% of the range |
| Volume check | -40.69% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +3.08% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -1.06, while MACD line / signal are 1.17 / 2.24.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 16.51 / 22.51 / 4.51; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (76% of band); upper / middle / lower are 200.89 / 190.14 / 179.39.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 5.74 (+3.08% of price), OBV slope is -33.90%, and CCI20 is -60.57.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 179.39 / 200.89; recent 30-session range is 175.76 / 207.76.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.86 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | -35.52 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 7.50 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.69 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 3.43 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $103.68 / Base $133.62 / Bull $170.53 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -31.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +1.84% / Base +7.84% / Bull +13.84% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $40.65B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $11.35B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $304.84B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $68.27B / Equity $-8.58B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0001413329; company: Philip Morris International Inc.. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Washington vs. Washington State – Game Thread and How to Watch - UW Dawg Pound
2. How to watch Mercyhurst vs New Mexico State: Live stream NCAA College Football, TV channel - The Big Lead
3. Inter Miami vs. Atlanta United enters weather delay - MLSsoccer.com
4. Creative Arts Emmy Awards: Winners List (Updating Live) - Variety
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | UW Dawg Pound x1, The Big Lead x1, MLSsoccer.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes: - No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 179.39 and 200.89 | Strategy score stays near 45/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 200.89 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 179.39 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 179.39 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +3.08% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 179.39 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 200.89 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 30/100 | Sell | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 40/100 | Hold | MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=47中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Weak
30
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD背离Neutral
40
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=47中性
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
缩量回调，可能企稳
News & catalyst inputs
Washington vs. Washington State – Game Thread and How to Watch
UW Dawg Pound · 2026-09-05
How to watch Mercyhurst vs New Mexico State: Live stream NCAA College Football, TV channel
The Big Lead · 2026-09-05
Inter Miami vs. Atlanta United enters weather delay
MLSsoccer.com · 2026-09-05
Creative Arts Emmy Awards: Winners List (Updating Live)
Variety · 2026-09-05
Pico Space Pro Appears To Receive FCC Certification Following Delay To Q4
UploadVR · 2026-09-05
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.