PM
PM · US
PM Research Preview
| Field | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $195.66 |
| Daily move | +1.38% |
| Strategy score | 61/100 (Signal: Buy) |
| Trend | Bull (bullish MA alignment) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 53.09 / 45.38 (neutral) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | 3.66 / 3.45 / +0.21 (bullish, momentum easing) |
| Estimated support | 176.25 (+9.92% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 201.60 (+3.04% above price) |
| 30-session range position | +65.89% (range 172.29-207.76) |
| Data confidence | Medium (technicals high; news/sentiment lower) |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 195.42 / 193.63 / 188.93 / 183.57 | Bullish alignment, MA5>MA20 golden-cross structure |
| RSI (14/6) | 53.09 / 45.38 | Neutral; no overbought/oversold edge |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 3.66 / 3.45 / +0.21 | Bullish, above zero, but histogram thin (momentum easing) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 40.63 / 56.35 / 9.19 | Soft / still repairing; J depressed vs K and D |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 201.60 / 188.93 / 176.25 | Mid-band zone (~77% of band), band width expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 6.34 / +3.32% | Moderate volatility; ~3.3% daily true-range budget |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 83,615,400 / +1.08% | Broadly flat; no strong accumulation signal |
| CCI20 | 22.69 | Inside neutral band |
Confirmed: The trend structure is the strongest, most consistent signal. Bullish MA alignment, a positive MACD above zero, and mid-band Bollinger position all point the same direction, and the strategy engine grades MA cross 90/100 (StrongBuy) and MACD 70/100 (Buy).
Conflicted: Momentum quality is mixed. RSI is squarely neutral (53.09), the MACD histogram is thin at +0.21 (momentum easing), and KDJ is soft with a depressed J value (9.19), suggesting the up-move is maturing rather than accelerating. The volume-price sub-score is the clear dissent at 35/100 (Sell), flagged as heavy selling pressure on a 1.1x volume day. Note this conflicts with the OBV read (broadly flat, +1.08% slope) and with today's up-close, so treat the volume-price flag as lower-confidence context rather than a confirmed reversal signal.
Missing: No custom or proprietary indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.86 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | -35.52 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 7.50 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 18.69 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 3.43 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $103.68 / Base $133.62 / Bull $170.53 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -31.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +1.84% / Base +7.84% / Bull +13.84% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $40.65B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $11.35B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $304.84B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $68.27B / Equity $-8.58B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Reading: The StockKit fair-value range (Bear $103.68 / Base $133.62 / Bull $170.53) is an internally computed DCF scenario output, not analyst consensus. On that model the current price sits above even the Bull case, and the base fair-value gap is -31.7%, meaning price trades meaningfully above the model's base estimate. PEG proxy of 3.43 against a base 5Y growth forecast of +7.84% is consistent with a premium multiple. The negative PB (-35.52) and negative equity (-$8.58B) reflect the balance-sheet structure and should not be read as a distress signal on their own; PB is not a meaningful ratio when equity is negative. EV/EBITDA carries Low confidence and should be weighted accordingly. The technical trend and the DCF valuation point in opposite directions, and that tension is the central takeaway of this section.
Confirmed PM-specific news: None. The five supplied headlines do not reference Philip Morris International, its products, guidance, or operations.
| Date | Headline | Source | Relevance to PM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Sensex/Nifty rally; IT, banks lead | BusinessLine | Broad India market color; no direct PM link |
| 2026-08-03 | Ascletis initiates global Phase III GLP-1 program | PRNewswire | Unrelated biotech; no PM link |
| 2026-08-03 | Carolina Panthers 2026 schedule | Cat Scratch Reader | Sports; no PM link |
| 2026-08-03 | West Asia conflict adds cost pressures for India Inc | The Times of India | Macro cost-pressure theme; no direct PM link |
| 2026-08-03 | Local crime report (Itapira) | Globo | No PM link |
Missing data: No confirmed PM catalysts (no earnings date, guidance, regulatory, or product news) were supplied. Catalyst confidence is therefore Low. Do not infer any company-specific driver from this feed.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | BusinessLine x1, PRNewswire x1, Cat Scratch Reader x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider-level sentiment score was supplied, and no social feeds (Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local forums) are marked connected. As a result, no sentiment direction can be established. The headline coverage that is present is not PM-specific (see Section 5), so it adds little signal. Treat sentiment as inconclusive.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the MA20 (188.93) to resistance (201.60) band; MA structure stays bullish | Continued closes above MA20 with RSI holding the 45-55 neutral zone and MACD staying above zero | Daily close back below MA20 (188.93) or MACD crossing under signal |
| Upside | Sustained break and hold above upper Bollinger / resistance 201.60 (+3.04%) | Follow-through toward the 30-session high (207.76) with OBV slope turning up and RSI expanding above 60 | Rejection at 201.60 with volume fade; failure to reclaim after a probe |
| Downside | Loss of MA20 (188.93) and rollover in MACD | Move toward estimated support / lower band 176.25 (-9.92%), KDJ staying soft, volume-price pressure persisting | Reclaim of MA20 and MA5 with histogram re-expanding positive |
Note: All price references are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions to transact.
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation gap | Base fair-value gap -31.7%; price above Bull case ($170.53); PEG proxy 3.43 | Any multiple compression or growth disappointment | Track price vs StockKit fair-value band; watch for premium unwind |
| Momentum fade | MACD histogram thin (+0.21); RSI neutral (53.09); KDJ soft (J 9.19) | Histogram turns negative / MACD dead cross | Watch MACD line vs signal and RSI trend daily |
| Volume-price pressure | Volume-price sub-score 35/100 (Sell), 1.1x volume flag | OBV slope turns down (currently flat +1.08%) | Confirm whether selling pressure is real via OBV and up/down volume |
| Resistance overhead | Price +3.04% below upper band 201.60; range position +65.89% | Repeated rejection at 201.60 | Watch reaction at the band and 30-session high 207.76 |
| Catalyst / news blind spot | No PM-specific headlines supplied; catalyst confidence Low | Any confirmed company news arrives | Re-check for PM-specific filings/news before acting on levels |
| Balance-sheet structure | Negative equity -$8.58B; PB -35.52 | Deterioration in leverage or coverage metrics | Monitor future filings; note ratios like PB are not meaningful here |
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=53中性
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.1x)，抛压沉重
Sensex today | Stock Market Highlights: Nifty jumps 391 points to reclaim 24,750; Sensex gains 544 as IT, banks lead rally
BusinessLine · 2026-08-03
Ascletis Announces Initiation of Global Phase III for Oral Small Molecule GLP-1, ASC30 and Positive Preclinical Data for Its First-in-Class Oral Small Molecule GLP-1/GIP/Amylin Fixed-Dose Combination
PRNewswire · 2026-08-03
Carolina Panthers 2026 schedule and scores
Cat Scratch Reader · 2026-08-03
West Asia conflict adds fresh cost pressures for India Inc
The Times of India · 2026-08-03
Dupla assalta pesqueiro, faz homem refém e acaba presa em Itapira
Globo · 2026-08-03
Research boundary
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