StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
TXN · US · Fresh
Generated 2026-09-12 14:33 UTC
TXN
TXN · US
$279.41
-0.06%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
47 / 100
Trend
bear
Data confidence
High
Research view
TXN Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- TXN (TXN) is trading at 279.41, with a current daily move of -0.06%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 47/100, creating a neutral research posture with bearish alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 268.22 and resistance at 292.04; price is +4.01% from support and +4.52% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 279.41 | Daily move -0.06% |
| Strategy score | 47/100 | Hold, trend: bear |
| MA structure | Bearish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 47.28 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | 0.47 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 268.22 / 292.04 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 264.74 / 315.34 | Price sits at +28.99% of the range |
| Volume check | -38.27% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +3.67% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 0.47, while MACD line / signal are -4.06 / -4.53.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 48.74 / 54.75 / 36.74; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (47% of band); upper / middle / lower are 292.04 / 280.13 / 268.22.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 10.26 (+3.67% of price), OBV slope is -86.95%, and CCI20 is -53.36.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 268.22 / 292.04; recent 30-session range is 264.74 / 315.34.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 51.01 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 14.17 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 14.43 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 44.08 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | N/A | StockKit scenario model | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $50.32 / Base $60.32 / Bull $78.5 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -78.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $17.68B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $5.00B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $255.10B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $35.88B / Equity $18.01B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0000097476; company: TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Stocks Fall as Crude Prices Soar and Bond Yields Climb - Barchart.com
2. Show HN: SagaShield – ACID transactions and security guardrails for AI agents - Github.com
3. Blu-ray on My Mind (TV Edition): NCIS S23, Ultraman & Taylor Sheridan - Bleeding Cool News
4. foliot added to PyPI - Pypi.org
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Barchart.com x1, Github.com x1, Bleeding Cool News x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes: - No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 268.22 and 292.04 | Strategy score stays near 47/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 292.04 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 268.22 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 268.22 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +3.67% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 268.22 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 292.04 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 10/100 | StrongSell | MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=47中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Deteriorating
10
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD背离Constructive
65
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=47中性
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
News & catalyst inputs
Stocks Fall as Crude Prices Soar and Bond Yields Climb
Barchart.com · 2026-09-09
Show HN: SagaShield – ACID transactions and security guardrails for AI agents
Github.com · 2026-09-08
Blu-ray on My Mind (TV Edition): NCIS S23, Ultraman & Taylor Sheridan
Bleeding Cool News · 2026-09-05
foliot added to PyPI
Pypi.org · 2026-09-05
Why Did Applied Materials Stock Nearly Triple On Single-Digit Trailing Revenue Growth?
Trefis · 2026-09-03
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.