TMO
TMO · US
TMO Research Preview
| Field | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 559.53 |
| Daily move | -1.54% |
| Day high / low | 568.35 / 556.01 |
| Volume | 1,962,049 (-44.71% vs 20-session avg 2,113,801) |
| Overall score | 63/100 (Signal: Buy) |
| Trend | Bull (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 65.50 / 71.92 (constructive, not extreme) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | 13.56 / 10.94 / 2.62 (above zero, histogram positive) |
| Estimated support | 450.63 |
| Estimated resistance | 544.92 (price is currently above this) |
| 30-session range | 457.64 / 534.73 (position +132.17%) |
| Data confidence | Technical/valuation: Moderate; News/sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 521.40 / 516.92 / 497.77 / 481.46 | Bullish alignment; price +12.41% above MA20 |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 65.50 / 71.92 | Constructive but elevated; short-term RSI6 near overbought |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 13.56 / 10.94 / 2.62 | Bullish, above zero line; momentum described as weakening |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 80.52 / 78.07 / 85.43 | Constructive crossover, but in a high zone |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 544.92 / 497.77 / 450.63 | Price above upper band (~115% of band); band expanding |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 15.50 / +2.93% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV (value / 20-sess slope) | -986,558.38 / +88.82% | Accumulation improving on a rising slope despite negative absolute level |
| CCI20 | 98.98 | Inside a neutral band, near the +100 boundary |
Confirmed: The trend-following cluster agrees. MA alignment is bullish, MACD sits above zero with a positive histogram, KDJ shows a constructive crossover, and OBV slope (+88.82%) points to improving accumulation.
Conflicted: The extension and momentum-quality signals disagree with the trend. Price is above the Bollinger upper band and above both the estimated resistance (544.92) and the 30-session high (534.73), while volume is -44.71% below the 20-session average, so the advance is happening on shrinking participation. RSI6 (71.92) and KDJ J (85.43) are stretched, and the MACD histogram, while positive, is flagged as losing momentum.
Missing: No custom indicators beyond those above were supplied, so none are folded in. No intraday order-flow or breadth data was provided.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.55 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 4.01 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.75 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 22.93 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.13 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $339.14 / Base $432.14 / Bull $545.53 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -22.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +8.85% / Base +14.85% / Bull +20.85% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $44.56B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $6.70B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $211.50B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $113.17B / Equity $52.68B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Note on interpretation: The fair-value range, base fair-value gap, PEG proxy, and 5Y growth forecast are StockKit internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets. On these internal figures, the current price (559.53) sits above the model's base fair value ($432.14, a -22.8% base gap) and above the model's bull case ($545.53), so the model reads price as running ahead of its own scenario range. PE (31.55) and EV/EBITDA (22.93, Low confidence) are the higher-multiple observations; treat EV/EBITDA with caution given its confidence flag.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available |
| Confirmed headlines | None |
| Scheduled catalysts (earnings, events) | Not supplied |
No headlines were returned by the configured source, so there is nothing to interpret here and no dated catalyst can be cited. This is a low-confidence area: any near-term move would need to be read from price and volume behavior rather than from confirmed news. No earnings date, guidance, or corporate event has been supplied, so none is asserted.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social platforms (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not marked connected, so no readings from those channels are presented. Sentiment is therefore a blank input in this brief and should be treated as low confidence.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price consolidates near the extended zone around 544.92-559.53 with the bullish MA structure intact | Price holds above the 544.92 watch level and MACD stays above zero; MA5 > MA20 alignment preserved | A close back below 544.92 accompanied by MACD histogram turning negative |
| Upside | Continuation above the current extension | New highs above 568.35 on volume returning toward or above the 20-session average (2,113,801), with OBV slope staying positive | Volume remains depressed (-44.71% profile persists) and RSI6/KDJ J roll over from stretched levels |
| Downside | Mean-reversion from an overbought, low-volume extension | Loss of 544.92, then 534.73 (30-session high) and MA5 (521.40); MACD histogram contraction confirms fading momentum | Price reclaims and holds above 544.92 with volume expansion and OBV slope still rising |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overextension / mean reversion | Price above Bollinger upper band (544.92) and at +132.17% of the 30-session range | Close back inside the band and below 534.73 | Watch daily close vs 544.92 and band width |
| Weak participation on advance | Volume -44.71% vs 20-session average despite price gains | Continued down-volume rallies | Compare daily volume to 2,113,801 average |
| Momentum fade | MACD histogram flagged as weakening; RSI6 71.92 and KDJ J 85.43 stretched | MACD histogram turns negative or RSI rolls over | Track MACD histogram and RSI6 daily |
| Valuation ahead of model range | Price above StockKit base ($432.14) and bull ($545.53) fair values; PE 31.55 | Any negative fundamental revision | Recheck fair-value gap on new fundamentals |
| Blind spots in news/sentiment | No headlines and no connected social feed | An unmodeled headline moves price | Re-poll news/sentiment sources before acting |
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=65偏高
接近上轨，带宽扩张中
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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