TMO Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- TMO (TMO) is trading at 559.53, with a current daily move of -1.54%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 56/100, creating a neutral research posture with bullish alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 526.17 and resistance at 620.10; price is +5.96% from support and +10.83% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 559.53 | Daily move -1.54% |
| Strategy score | 56/100 | Hold, trend: bull |
| MA structure | Bullish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 62.72 | Constructive but not extreme |
| MACD | -0.37 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 526.17 / 620.10 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 495.04 / 606.75 | Price sits at +57.73% of the range |
| Volume check | -52.66% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.46% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -0.37, while MACD line / signal are 19.80 / 20.17.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 76.44 / 81.99 / 65.33; KDJ soft or still repairing.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (36% of band); upper / middle / lower are 620.10 / 573.14 / 526.17.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 14.46 (+2.46% of price), OBV slope is +20.57%, and CCI20 is 71.43.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 526.17 / 620.10; recent 30-session range is 495.04 / 606.75.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.55 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 4.01 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.75 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 22.93 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.13 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $339.14 / Base $432.14 / Bull $545.53 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -22.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +8.85% / Base +14.85% / Bull +20.85% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $44.56B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $6.70B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $211.50B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $113.17B / Equity $52.68B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000097745; company: THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INC..
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. TMO'dan mısır fiyatları için kritik uyarı: Arz güvenliği için tedbir alınacak - Sabah.com.tr
2. TMO'dan hububat arzına ilişkin açıklama! - Haber7.com
3. Toprak Ana Kadın Kooperatifi’nden fındık açıklaması - Yenicaggazetesi.com
4. TMO kuru üzüm alım fiyatını açıkladı - Haberturk.com
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Sabah.com.tr x1, Haber7.com x1, Yenicaggazetesi.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes:
- No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 526.17 and 620.10 | Strategy score stays near 56/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 620.10 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 526.17 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 526.17 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Constructive but not extreme; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.46% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 526.17 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 620.10 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 90/100 | StrongBuy | MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列 |
| MACD背离 | 40/100 | Hold | MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 45/100 | Hold | RSI14=63偏高 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.