MCD
MCD · US
MCD Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 270.67 |
| Daily move | +2.23% |
| Strategy score | 55/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 44.68 / 40.56 (soft, not washed out) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -1.38 / -1.82 / +0.45 (below zero, histogram turning up) |
| Support (est.) | 262.99 (+2.84% below) |
| Resistance (est.) | 289.26 (+6.87% above) |
| 30-session range position | +24.80% (range 264.53-289.29) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: moderate. Valuation: low. News/Sentiment: not available |
| Indicator | Reading | State |
|---|---|---|
| MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60 | 276.83 / 275.12 / 276.12 / 282.11 | Price below all MAs; ordering is mixed, not a clean stack |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 44.68 / 40.56 | Soft, sub-50, not oversold |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -1.38 / -1.82 / +0.45 | Line above signal (cross up) but both below zero |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 45.26 / 52.49 / 30.80 | K below D, J low; still repairing |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 289.26 / 276.12 / 262.99 | Mid-band zone, ~29% of band |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 6.23 / +2.28% | Moderate volatility |
| OBV / 20-session slope | -24,764,776.75 / -66.99% | Distribution pressure |
| CCI20 | -38.31 | Inside neutral band |
| MA crossover (StockKit) | 70/100, Buy | MA5 > MA20 golden cross |
| MACD divergence (StockKit) | 50/100, Hold | Golden cross below zero axis, momentum weakening |
| RSI extremes (StockKit) | 50/100, Hold | RSI14 = 45, neutral |
| Bollinger band (StockKit) | 50/100, Hold | Mid-channel |
| Volume-price (StockKit) | 55/100, Hold | Light-volume pullback, possible stabilization |
What is confirmed: The short-term momentum picture is improving at the margin. The MACD histogram is positive (+0.45) with the line above its signal, and the StockKit MA-crossover module reads 70/100 (Buy) on the MA5 > MA20 relationship. Volatility is contained (ATR 2.28% of price). Price sits mid-band on Bollinger (~29%), and CCI (-38.31) is neutral, consistent with the consolidation label.
What is conflicted: The bullish MACD cross occurs below the zero axis, so trend momentum is still weak, not confirmed. The precomputed "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60" alignment label does not match the supplied levels: MA10 (275.12) is below MA20 (276.12), so the stack is mixed rather than cleanly bullish. Price is below every MA even as the crossover module scores a Buy. OBV's -66.99% 20-session slope signals distribution pressure that runs against the short-term momentum improvement. KDJ (J at 30.80, K below D) remains soft. Net: near-term repair signals are offset by weak trend and volume-flow evidence.
What is missing: No dividend-adjusted or longer-horizon volume profile is supplied beyond the 20-session and 30-session windows. No custom indicators beyond the StockKit strategy modules were provided; all supplied module readings are cited above.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| EV/EBITDA | 3.09 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| Revenue | $26.89B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $8.56B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $60.04B / Equity $-1.29B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| 5Y growth forecast (StockKit scenario model) | Bear +5.50% / Base +11.50% / Bull +17.50% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
Data-integrity flags (low confidence, treat as non-usable): The supplied PE (0.00), PB (-0.00), Price/Sales (0.00) and PEG proxy (0.00) read as null or degenerate values and are not meaningful for valuation, so no multiple-based view is drawn from them. The StockKit fair-value range (Bear $198,829,311.59 / Base $254,717,781.37 / Bull $323,215,285.88) and the market cap ($193,907.99) show unit inconsistencies against each other, and the reported "Base fair-value gap" of +94,106,295.7% is not a usable figure. These rows are flagged rather than acted upon. Dividend yield and the 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
Usable signal: Reported fundamentals carry high confidence - revenue $26.89B and net income $8.56B against total assets $60.04B. Shareholder equity is negative (-$1.29B), which for this issuer is consistent with a capital structure carrying substantial buybacks and debt; it is not by itself a distress signal but does make book-based multiples (PB) unreliable, aligning with the degenerate PB reading above. The 5Y growth band (StockKit scenario model, +5.50% / +11.50% / +17.50%) is an internally computed forecast, not analyst consensus.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source |
No confirmed headlines were returned, so no catalyst can be evaluated on evidence. There is nothing to explain here without introducing unsupported facts. Absent a news feed, the report leans on price, technical, and reported-fundamental data; any event-driven view has no basis in the supplied dataset and is not offered.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for MCD. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not marked connected, so no readings are inferred for them. Sentiment is effectively a blank input for this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger conditions | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price holds the 262.99-264.53 support shelf; RSI14 stays in the mid-40s; MACD histogram stays positive but below zero | Sideways action inside the 264.53-289.29 range with volume near the ~4.85M 20-session average | A decisive close below 262.99, or a fresh MACD line/signal cross back down |
| Upside (repair extends) | MA20 (276.12) reclaimed on a close; RSI14 pushes back above 50; MACD line crosses above zero | Follow-through toward the mid-to-upper Bollinger band and prior resistance near 289.26-289.29, ideally on rising volume vs the light current reading (-13.99%) | Failure to hold above MA20 after reclaim; OBV slope stays deeply negative, showing no volume confirmation |
| Downside (support fails) | Close below 262.99 (Bollinger lower / support); OBV distribution slope (-66.99%) persists or steepens | Break of the 30-session range floor (264.53) and a drop below the lower band, KDJ J extending lower | Quick recovery back above 264.53 and MA5 (276.83), reversing the breakdown |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weak trend backdrop | Price below all four MAs; MACD below zero axis | Failure to reclaim MA20 (276.12) | Track daily closes vs MA20 and MACD zero line |
| Volume-flow deterioration | OBV 20-session slope -66.99%; OBV negative | OBV slope stays negative on any bounce | Watch whether up-days come with above-average volume vs ~4.85M |
| Support breakdown | Support/lower band at 262.99; range floor 264.53 | Daily close below 262.99 | Set 262.99 as the primary watch level, 264.53 as early warning |
| Valuation data unreliable | PE/PB/P/S/PEG read 0.00; fair-value and market-cap unit inconsistencies | Any decision anchored to these figures | Do not use supplied multiples; wait for a clean valuation feed |
| Information vacuum | No news; no sentiment series; social not connected | An unmodeled headline moves price | Re-check the news and sentiment feeds before drawing event conclusions |
| Signal conflict | Bullish MA-cross/MACD cross vs below-MA price and negative OBV | Divergence resolves in either direction | Prioritize price-vs-MA20 and OBV as tie-breakers |
1. Daily close relative to MA20 (276.12) - the primary reclaim/rejection level. 2. The 262.99-264.53 support shelf - a daily close below 262.99 flips the downside scenario live. 3. MACD zero-axis: whether the line (-1.38) crosses above zero or the histogram (+0.45) rolls back negative. 4. OBV 20-session slope (-66.99%): watch for it flattening or turning up as volume confirmation. 5. Volume vs the ~4.85M 20-session average: is any advance backed by participation, or still light (-13.99%)? 6. RSI14 (44.68): a move back above 50 supports the repair case; a slide toward the 30s supports the downside case. 7. Restored news/sentiment feeds: re-run the brief once headline or sentiment data becomes available, since both are currently blank.
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit from the supplied dataset only. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All price levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. Rows marked "StockKit scenario model" (5Y growth forecast, PEG proxy, fair-value range) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus or price targets. Valuation confidence is low for this report: several supplied multiples (PE, PB, P/S, PEG) read as null/degenerate values and the fair-value and market-cap figures show unit inconsistencies, so no multiple-based valuation view is drawn. News and sentiment inputs were unavailable, so no event- or sentiment-driven conclusions are offered. Every view above cites at least one supplied data point; no financial statements, dates, ratings, or company facts outside the supplied dataset were added.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能减弱
RSI14=45中性
在通道中部
缩量回调,可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.