ORCL
ORCL · US
ORCL Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $184.29 |
| Daily move | +0.41% |
| Strategy score | 54/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 | 59.42 (constructive, not extreme) |
| MACD | Line 6.32 / Signal 7.21 / Hist −0.89 (bearish configuration) |
| Estimated support (watch level) | $162.41 |
| Estimated resistance (watch level) | $205.92 |
| 30-session range position | +73.08% (range $139.72-$200.71) |
| Data confidence | Medium (news and sentiment missing) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 187.62 / 189.71 / 184.16 / 164.79 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA20 golden cross, but MA10 above MA5 signals near-term flattening |
| RSI (14/6) | 59.42 / 59.29 | Constructive momentum, not overbought; both timeframes aligned |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 6.32 / 7.21 / −0.89 | Bearish cross with line below signal; histogram negative, though MACD remains above zero |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 49.40 / 49.74 / 48.73 | Soft/repairing, clustered near midpoint with no directional thrust |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 205.92 / 184.16 / 162.41 | Mid-band zone, ~50% of band; no squeeze or extreme signal |
| ATR14 (abs/%) | 8.83 / +4.60% | Moderately elevated daily range relative to price |
| OBV (value/slope) | −128,869,597 / +29.60% | Absolute level negative, but 20-session slope positive - accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 73.87 | Inside neutral band; not yet at the +100 momentum threshold |
What is confirmed: Momentum is neutral-to-constructive and improving on flows. RSI (59.42), CCI (73.87 in the neutral band), and the positive OBV slope (+29.60%) all point to steadying demand. The MA5>MA20 golden cross supports the consolidation-with-upward-bias read.
What is conflicted: The MACD configuration is bearish (line 6.32 below signal 7.21, histogram −0.89) even as RSI and OBV improve. The moving-average stack is also mixed - MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60 in label but with MA10 (189.71) above MA5 (187.62), so the short end is flattening rather than accelerating. KDJ near 49 confirms the indecision.
What is missing: No custom indicators were supplied, so this panel is limited to the standard set above. No additional readings to fold in.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.45 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 13.72 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 9.20 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 28.11 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.36 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $87.05 / Base $119.71 / Bull $150.40 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | −35.0% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $57.40B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $12.44B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $528.18B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $245.24B / Equity $38.49B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Reading: Reported multiples sit at a growth-premium level - PE 42.45, PB 13.72, P/S 9.20, EV/EBITDA 28.11 - against $57.40B revenue and $12.44B net income for the period ending 2025-05-31. The StockKit DCF scenario rows are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus: the Base fair value of $119.71 implies a −35.0% gap to the current $184.29, with a Bull case of $150.40 still below the live price. This signals that current pricing embeds expectations above the StockKit model's Base and Bull assumptions, which lean on a +18% Base 5Y growth path. EV/EBITDA confidence is Low, so weight that multiple least.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | Missing - no current news items available from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
No confirmed news or scheduled catalysts were available in the supplied dataset. Because of this, the catalyst dimension of this brief carries low confidence, and no earnings dates, product events, or company developments are asserted. Decision-making here should lean on the technical and valuation evidence above until a news feed reconnects.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for ORCL. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, local forums) are not marked connected, so no readings are drawn from them. The sentiment dimension is effectively dark and should be treated as a known gap, not as neutral positioning.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base - continued consolidation | Price holds the MA20 zone ($184.16) inside the mid-band, score stays near 54/100 | Sustained trade between MA20 ($184.16) and the MA5/MA10 cap ($187.62-$189.71); RSI holding ~59; OBV slope staying positive (+29.60%) | Decisive close below MA20 or above the MA5/MA10 cluster on expanding volume |
| Upside - momentum re-engages | Reclaim and hold above the MA5/MA10 cluster ($187.62-$189.71) | MACD histogram turning positive (from −0.89), CCI pushing through +100 (from 73.87), volume recovering toward the 20-session average (21.46M vs current −49.33%) | Failure to hold above $189.71; MACD staying below signal; volume staying compressed |
| Downside - consolidation breaks lower | Loss of MA20 ($184.16) with follow-through | Move toward the lower-band/support watch level at $162.41 (distance +11.87% below); RSI rolling under 50; OBV slope flattening | Quick reclaim of MA20 and the mid-band; RSI stabilizing above 50 |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum stall | Bearish MACD config (line 6.32 < signal 7.21, hist −0.89); MA10 above MA5 | Histogram deepening below −0.89; MA5 turning down | Watch MACD histogram and the MA5/MA10 spread daily |
| Weak participation on advances | Price-up/volume-down; current volume −49.33% vs 20-session average | Up-moves on declining volume; failure to reach 21.46M average | Confirm any breakout above $189.71 with volume expansion |
| Valuation premium vs model | PE 42.45, P/S 9.20; StockKit Base fair value $119.71 implies −35.0% gap | Multiple compression or growth disappointment relative to +18% Base path | Track multiples and reported fundamentals; weight EV/EBITDA least (Low confidence) |
| Catalyst blind spot | News feed returned no items; sentiment sources not connected | Unanticipated headline with no lead-up in data | Re-check news and sentiment connectivity before acting on signals |
| Volatility-driven whipsaw | ATR14% +4.60%; mid-band position with no directional KDJ (~49) | Range expansion through support ($162.41) or resistance ($205.92) | Size around ATR; treat the $184.16 MA20 pivot as the near-term decision line |
1. MA20 pivot at $184.16 - daily close above or below sets the near-term bias (price currently +0.07% above). 2. MA5/MA10 cap at $187.62-$189.71 - a hold above re-opens the upside scenario. 3. MACD histogram - watch for a turn from −0.89 toward positive as the first momentum confirmation. 4. Volume vs 20-session average (21.46M) - current reading is −49.33%; advances need participation to be credible. 5. OBV 20-session slope - confirm the +29.60% accumulation trend persists. 6. RSI14 around 59.42 - a hold above 50 supports consolidation; a slip below warns of fading momentum. 7. News and sentiment reconnection - both feeds are currently empty; restore coverage before treating signals as complete.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied StockKit dataset. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. All price levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. Valuation fair-value and growth rows are StockKit scenario-model outputs, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment data were unavailable, so those dimensions carry low confidence and represent known gaps in this analysis.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=59中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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