StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
ORCL · US · Cached
Generated 2026-08-03 02:12 UTC
ORCL
ORCL · US
$119.90
+4.27%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
41 / 100
Trend
bear
Data confidence
High
Research view
ORCL Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- ORCL (ORCL) is trading at 119.90, with a current daily move of +4.27%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 41/100, creating a neutral research posture with bearish alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 122.28 and resistance at 204.14; price is -1.98% from support and +70.26% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 119.90 | Daily move +4.27% |
| Strategy score | 41/100 | Hold, trend: bear |
| MA structure | Bearish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 32.60 | Soft but not washed out |
| MACD | -1.86 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 122.28 / 204.14 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 137.54 / 250.25 | Price sits at -15.66% of the range |
| Volume check | -0.34% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +5.37% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -1.86, while MACD line / signal are -14.43 / -12.57.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 20.52 / 12.31 / 36.93; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Near lower band (-3% of band); upper / middle / lower are 204.14 / 163.21 / 122.28.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 7.74 (+5.37% of price), OBV slope is -217.10%, and CCI20 is -68.00.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 122.28 / 204.14; recent 30-session range is 137.54 / 250.25.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.45 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 8.22 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 5.19 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 15.79 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 1.14 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $117.56 / Base $161.67 / Bull $203.13 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +34.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $67.36B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $17.09B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $349.39B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $261.76B / Equity $42.51B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0001341439; company: ORACLE CORP. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2026-05-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. A $2 Billion Reason to Buy Arm Holdings Stock Now - Barchart.com
2. Oracle Is Its Own Story, With Swings To Match - Biztoc.com
3. SpaceX stock has rocky week ahead of earnings - Yahoo Entertainment
4. Most Investors Are Missing This Simple Strategy to Minimize Risk and Maximize Returns - Barchart.com
6. Sentiment radar
Ticker news sentiment is Neutral (0.138) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 16 positive / 31 neutral / 3 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Barchart.com x2, Yahoo Entertainment x2, Biztoc.com x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Notes: - Alpha Vantage sentiment covers news/feed sentiment, not full social-channel coverage.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 122.28 and 204.14 | Strategy score stays near 41/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 204.14 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 122.28 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 122.28 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Soft but not washed out; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +5.37% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 122.28 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 204.14 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 10/100 | StrongSell | MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列 |
| MACD背离 | 35/100 | Sell | MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 60/100 | Buy | RSI14=33偏低 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Deteriorating
10
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD背离Weak
35
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI极值Constructive
60
RSI14=33偏低
布林带Neutral
50
在通道中部
量价关系Neutral
55
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
News & catalyst inputs
A $2 Billion Reason to Buy Arm Holdings Stock Now
Barchart.com · 2026-08-01
Oracle Is Its Own Story, With Swings To Match
Biztoc.com · 2026-07-31
SpaceX stock has rocky week ahead of earnings
Yahoo Entertainment · 2026-07-31
Most Investors Are Missing This Simple Strategy to Minimize Risk and Maximize Returns
Barchart.com · 2026-07-31
The AI spending boom is forcing a rethink on stock buybacks: One Big Investment Idea
Yahoo Entertainment · 2026-07-31
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.