WMT
WMT · US
WMT Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $117.18 |
| Daily move | -0.80% |
| Strategy score | 41/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 33.87 / 20.03 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.29 / 0.89 / -1.18 |
| Estimated support | 122.74 |
| Estimated resistance | 136.45 |
| 30-session range position | -10.65% (range 118.91 / 135.16) |
| Data confidence | High for price/technicals; Low for news & sentiment |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 128.00 / 129.33 / 129.59 / 126.76 | Price sits below all four MAs; MA5<MA20 death cross. Context flags "mixed alignment." |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 33.87 / 20.03 | Soft but not fully washed out on RSI14; RSI6 at 20.03 is deeply stretched short term. |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -0.29 / 0.89 / -1.18 | Bearish configuration, line below signal and below zero, histogram negative; momentum weakening. |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 35.76 / 54.91 / -2.55 | Washed-out J line (-2.55); flagged as rebound watch. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 136.45 / 129.59 / 122.74 | Price near/below lower band (-41% of band); short-term oversold, band widening. |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 3.26 / +2.71% | Moderate volatility; ~2.71% of price defines typical daily range for stop sizing. |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 477,374,674.56 / -9.96% | Distribution pressure visible; falling slope confirms selling into the move. |
| CCI20 | -267.57 | Deeply negative; signals downside pressure / oversold extreme. |
Confirmed: The bearish near-term picture is corroborated across MACD (death cross, sub-zero), MA structure (price under all MAs, MA5<MA20), CCI (-267.57), and OBV slope (-9.96%) showing distribution. Volume confirms it too, running +58.14% above the 20-session average on a down day (price-down-on-volume).
Conflicted: Oversold momentum indicators argue against chasing weakness. RSI14 (33.87), RSI6 (20.03), KDJ J (-2.55), and the lower-band Bollinger position all point to a stretched, rebound-prone tape, while trend and volume indicators remain negative. This is the classic "oversold within a downtrend" tension that produces the Hold signal.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set, so none are folded in here. All listed indicators are present and high confidence.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 42.94 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 9.97 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 1.33 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 23.95 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.39 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $54.72 / Base $75.25 / Bull $94.54 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -35.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $706.41B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $21.89B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $940.02B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $289.61B / Equity $94.33B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The reported multiples (PE 42.94, PB 9.97, EV/EBITDA 23.95) sit at premium levels, and the PEG proxy of 2.39 suggests price is not cheap relative to the modeled growth path. The StockKit DCF scenario model places base fair value at $75.25, a -35.8% gap to the current $117.18; this is an internally computed forecast from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus, and should be read as one scenario lens rather than a target. The wide bear-to-bull band ($54.72 / $94.54) reflects sensitivity to the 5Y growth assumption (+10% to +24%). Fundamentals themselves are solid: $706.41B revenue, $21.89B net income, and an equity base of $94.33B against $289.61B in assets.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available |
No headlines were returned from the configured source, so there are no confirmed catalysts to assess and no earnings dates, ratings, or events are inferred here. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of catalysts. Treat the catalyst picture as low confidence and revisit once the feed is populated. The most relevant non-news driver remains the technical setup: the oversold readings against a confirmed bear trend.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are presented. Sentiment is therefore an unverified input and carries low confidence; do not use it as a standalone signal until a source is connected.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price stabilizes around the 122.74 support / lower-band area after the oversold flush | RSI14 (33.87) holding above 30 and KDJ J (-2.55) turning up; volume normalizing back toward the 19.18M 20-session average | Sustained daily closes below 116.80 (day low) with OBV slope staying negative |
| Upside | Oversold rebound from lower-band position toward MA cluster near 129.59 | Daily close reclaiming 122.74, then progress toward MA20 (129.59); MACD histogram (-1.18) compressing toward zero | Failure to close back above 122.74; MACD line staying below signal and zero |
| Downside | Continued distribution extends the bear trend | Volume staying elevated (+58.14% over average) on down days; CCI20 (-267.57) failing to recover; price-down-on-volume persisting | Reclaim of 122.74 on rising OBV, with RSI6 (20.03) lifting off the extreme |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Confirmed bear trend continues | Strategy trend = bear; MACD death cross, sub-zero; MA5<MA20 | New lows below 116.80 on rising volume | Watch daily closes vs 122.74 and OBV slope |
| Distribution / heavy supply | OBV 20-sess slope -9.96%; volume +58.14% over average on a down day | Further down days on above-average volume | Track volume vs 19.18M average and OBV direction |
| Valuation premium vs modeled fair value | PE 42.94, PEG proxy 2.39, base fair-value gap -35.8% | Multiple compression toward StockKit base $75.25 | Compare price action against the DCF scenario band |
| Catalyst blind spot | News feed returned no items | An unmodeled headline moving price sharply | Re-check news source; do not assume "no news = no risk" |
| Sentiment blind spot | NewsAPI no headlines; social not connected | Sentiment shift undetected by current feeds | Connect a sentiment source before relying on it |
1. Daily close vs 122.74 (lower Bollinger band / estimated support) - the primary recovery watch level. 2. Day-low defense at 116.80; a break below extends the downside scenario. 3. RSI14 (33.87) holding above 30 and RSI6 (20.03) lifting off its extreme. 4. KDJ J line (-2.55) and CCI20 (-267.57) turning up as rebound confirmation. 5. MACD histogram (-1.18) compressing toward zero; line attempting to cross back above signal. 6. Volume normalizing toward the 19.18M 20-session average versus the current +58.14% surge. 7. OBV slope (-9.96%) flattening or turning positive as a sign distribution is easing.
This brief is for general informational purposes and is not personalized investment advice. It contains no return promises or guarantees. Technical and fundamental figures are sourced from the supplied dataset (live quote plus SEC EDGAR companyfacts); items marked StockKit scenario model are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment feeds returned no data, so those sections carry low confidence and should be revisited once sources are connected. All price levels are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions to act.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能减弱
RSI14=34偏低
跌破下轨,短期超卖,带宽扩张中
价跌放量(1.6x),抛压沉重
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.