WMT Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- WMT (WMT) is trading at 111.74, with a current daily move of +2.07%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 59/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 108.55 and resistance at 115.23; price is +2.86% from support and +3.12% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 111.74 | Daily move +2.07% |
| Strategy score | 59/100 | Hold, trend: bull |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 49.46 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | 0.38 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 108.55 / 115.23 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 106.79 / 118.09 | Price sits at +43.81% of the range |
| Volume check | -12.82% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.31% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 0.38, while MACD line / signal are -0.78 / -1.16.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 53.78 / 49.47 / 62.41; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (48% of band); upper / middle / lower are 115.23 / 111.89 / 108.55.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 2.61 (+2.31% of price), OBV slope is -28.81%, and CCI20 is 2.92.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 108.55 / 115.23; recent 30-session range is 106.79 / 118.09.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.94 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 9.12 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 1.27 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 22.83 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 2.27 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $54.72 / Base $75.25 / Bull $94.54 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -32.7% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $706.41B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $21.89B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $896.38B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $293.91B / Equity $98.24B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000104169; company: Walmart Inc..
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2026-01-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Dear Kroger Stock Fans, Mark Your Calendars for September 11 - Barchart.com
2. 4-ct 7.5-8-oz Lay's Potato Chips (various) + $2 Walmart Cash $10 + Store Pick Up - Slickdeals.net
3. Inflation Odds Move Toward 100% - 24/7 Wall St.
4. 2/$7.95 get $4 Walmart Cash Dawn Platinum Plus, Dish Soap, 13.6 oz. EZ-Squeeze Bottle or 16oz Spray Refills - Slickdeals.net
6. Sentiment radar
Ticker news sentiment is Neutral (0.112) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 16 positive / 28 neutral / 6 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Slickdeals.net x2, Barchart.com x1, 24/7 Wall St. x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Notes:
- Alpha Vantage sentiment covers news/feed sentiment, not full social-channel coverage.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 108.55 and 115.23 | Strategy score stays near 59/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 115.23 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 108.55 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 108.55 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.31% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 108.55 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 115.23 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 70/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=49中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.