StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
WMT · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 00:26 UTC

WMT

WMT · US

$117.18
-0.80%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
41 / 100
Trend
bear
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

WMT Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: WMT trades at $117.18 (-0.80% on the day), roughly -9.58% below its MA20 of 129.59 and -10.65% positioned within its 30-session range (118.91 / 135.16). The strategy score is 41/100 with a Hold signal and a bear trend, reflecting a market in a corrective phase rather than a breakdown of business fundamentals. - Confidence: Mixed. Technical and price data are complete and high confidence, fundamentals from SEC EDGAR are medium-to-high confidence, but news and sentiment feeds returned no data, so any catalyst- or sentiment-driven view is low confidence and should be treated as incomplete. - Most important condition to monitor: The lower Bollinger band / estimated support cluster at 122.74. Price has slipped below it (-41% of band position), so a daily close that recovers back above 122.74 would be the first watch level for a relief move; continued acceptance below it keeps the bearish structure intact.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price$117.18
Daily move-0.80%
Strategy score41/100 (Hold)
TrendBear
RSI14 / RSI633.87 / 20.03
MACD (line / signal / hist)-0.29 / 0.89 / -1.18
Estimated support122.74
Estimated resistance136.45
30-session range position-10.65% (range 118.91 / 135.16)
Data confidenceHigh for price/technicals; Low for news & sentiment
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead-through
MA (5/10/20/60)128.00 / 129.33 / 129.59 / 126.76Price sits below all four MAs; MA5<MA20 death cross. Context flags "mixed alignment."
RSI (14 / 6)33.87 / 20.03Soft but not fully washed out on RSI14; RSI6 at 20.03 is deeply stretched short term.
MACD (line/signal/hist)-0.29 / 0.89 / -1.18Bearish configuration, line below signal and below zero, histogram negative; momentum weakening.
KDJ (K/D/J)35.76 / 54.91 / -2.55Washed-out J line (-2.55); flagged as rebound watch.
Bollinger (U/M/L)136.45 / 129.59 / 122.74Price near/below lower band (-41% of band); short-term oversold, band widening.
ATR14 / ATR14%3.26 / +2.71%Moderate volatility; ~2.71% of price defines typical daily range for stop sizing.
OBV / 20-sess slope477,374,674.56 / -9.96%Distribution pressure visible; falling slope confirms selling into the move.
CCI20-267.57Deeply negative; signals downside pressure / oversold extreme.

Confirmed: The bearish near-term picture is corroborated across MACD (death cross, sub-zero), MA structure (price under all MAs, MA5<MA20), CCI (-267.57), and OBV slope (-9.96%) showing distribution. Volume confirms it too, running +58.14% above the 20-session average on a down day (price-down-on-volume).

Conflicted: Oversold momentum indicators argue against chasing weakness. RSI14 (33.87), RSI6 (20.03), KDJ J (-2.55), and the lower-band Bollinger position all point to a stretched, rebound-prone tape, while trend and volume indicators remain negative. This is the classic "oversold within a downtrend" tension that produces the Hold signal.

Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set, so none are folded in here. All listed indicators are present and high confidence.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE42.94SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
PB9.97SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
Price / sales1.33SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
EV/EBITDA23.95SEC EDGAR companyfactsLow
PEG proxy2.39StockKit scenario modelMedium
StockKit fair value rangeBear $54.72 / Base $75.25 / Bull $94.54StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap-35.8%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear +10.00% / Base +18.00% / Bull +24.00%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Revenue$706.41BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Net income$21.89BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Market cap$940.02BSEC shares outstanding + live quoteMedium
Balance sheet contextAssets $289.61B / Equity $94.33BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh

The reported multiples (PE 42.94, PB 9.97, EV/EBITDA 23.95) sit at premium levels, and the PEG proxy of 2.39 suggests price is not cheap relative to the modeled growth path. The StockKit DCF scenario model places base fair value at $75.25, a -35.8% gap to the current $117.18; this is an internally computed forecast from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus, and should be read as one scenario lens rather than a target. The wide bear-to-bull band ($54.72 / $94.54) reflects sensitivity to the 5Y growth assumption (+10% to +24%). Fundamentals themselves are solid: $706.41B revenue, $21.89B net income, and an equity base of $94.33B against $289.61B in assets.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatus
Configured news sourceNo current news items available

No headlines were returned from the configured source, so there are no confirmed catalysts to assess and no earnings dates, ratings, or events are inferred here. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of catalysts. Treat the catalyst picture as low confidence and revisit once the feed is populated. The most relevant non-news driver remains the technical setup: the oversold readings against a confirmed bear trend.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are presented. Sentiment is therefore an unverified input and carries low confidence; do not use it as a standalone signal until a source is connected.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BasePrice stabilizes around the 122.74 support / lower-band area after the oversold flushRSI14 (33.87) holding above 30 and KDJ J (-2.55) turning up; volume normalizing back toward the 19.18M 20-session averageSustained daily closes below 116.80 (day low) with OBV slope staying negative
UpsideOversold rebound from lower-band position toward MA cluster near 129.59Daily close reclaiming 122.74, then progress toward MA20 (129.59); MACD histogram (-1.18) compressing toward zeroFailure to close back above 122.74; MACD line staying below signal and zero
DownsideContinued distribution extends the bear trendVolume staying elevated (+58.14% over average) on down days; CCI20 (-267.57) failing to recover; price-down-on-volume persistingReclaim of 122.74 on rising OBV, with RSI6 (20.03) lifting off the extreme
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Confirmed bear trend continuesStrategy trend = bear; MACD death cross, sub-zero; MA5<MA20New lows below 116.80 on rising volumeWatch daily closes vs 122.74 and OBV slope
Distribution / heavy supplyOBV 20-sess slope -9.96%; volume +58.14% over average on a down dayFurther down days on above-average volumeTrack volume vs 19.18M average and OBV direction
Valuation premium vs modeled fair valuePE 42.94, PEG proxy 2.39, base fair-value gap -35.8%Multiple compression toward StockKit base $75.25Compare price action against the DCF scenario band
Catalyst blind spotNews feed returned no itemsAn unmodeled headline moving price sharplyRe-check news source; do not assume "no news = no risk"
Sentiment blind spotNewsAPI no headlines; social not connectedSentiment shift undetected by current feedsConnect a sentiment source before relying on it
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. Daily close vs 122.74 (lower Bollinger band / estimated support) - the primary recovery watch level. 2. Day-low defense at 116.80; a break below extends the downside scenario. 3. RSI14 (33.87) holding above 30 and RSI6 (20.03) lifting off its extreme. 4. KDJ J line (-2.55) and CCI20 (-267.57) turning up as rebound confirmation. 5. MACD histogram (-1.18) compressing toward zero; line attempting to cross back above signal. 6. Volume normalizing toward the 19.18M 20-session average versus the current +58.14% surge. 7. OBV slope (-9.96%) flattening or turning positive as a sign distribution is easing.

Information-use note

This brief is for general informational purposes and is not personalized investment advice. It contains no return promises or guarantees. Technical and fundamental figures are sourced from the supplied dataset (live quote plus SEC EDGAR companyfacts); items marked StockKit scenario model are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment feeds returned no data, so those sections carry low confidence and should be revisited once sources are connected. All price levels are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions to act.

Strategy factors
MA交叉Weak
30

MA5<MA20死叉

MACD背离Weak
20

MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能减弱

RSI极值Constructive
60

RSI14=34偏低

布林带Constructive
70

跌破下轨,短期超卖,带宽扩张中

量价关系Weak
35

价跌放量(1.6x),抛压沉重

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.