StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
UNH · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 00:23 UTC

UNH

UNH · US

$400.96
+0.36%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
50 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

UNH Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: UNH is trading at $400.96, up 0.36% on the day, pressed against the upper Bollinger band (91% of band width) and sitting at the top of its 30-session range (+96.85%). The moving-average stack is positively ordered (MA5 386.92 > MA10 390.96 is mixed, but MA20 379.63 > MA60 323.45), yet momentum is cooling: the MACD histogram is negative (-2.77) and price is +5.62% above MA20. This is a strong-trend-meeting-resistance profile, not a fresh breakout. - Confidence: Moderate on technicals (full indicator set supplied). Lower on valuation context, because the StockKit DCF fair-value range is an internally computed model output, not consensus, and EV/EBITDA carries a Low confidence tag. News and sentiment confidence is Low - neither source returned data. - Most important level to monitor: the estimated resistance at $405.39 (also the Bollinger upper band), only +1.11% above current price. A decisive close above it versus a rejection back toward MA20 ($379.63) is the binary that defines the next move.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price$400.96
Daily move+0.36%
Strategy score50/100 (Hold)
TrendConsolidation
RSI14 / RSI667.85 / 57.87
MACD (line / signal / hist)16.01 / 18.78 / -2.77
Estimated support$353.87 (+11.74% below price)
Estimated resistance$405.39 (+1.11% above price)
30-session range position+96.85% (range $302.92-$404.15)
Data confidenceTechnicals: moderate; Valuation: medium/low mix; News & sentiment: low
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead
MA (5/10/20/60)386.92 / 390.96 / 379.63 / 323.45Mixed near term (MA5 < MA10) but MA20 > MA60 confirms the broader uptrend; price +5.62% above MA20
RSI14 / RSI667.85 / 57.87Constructive but elevated; RSI14 near the 70 zone, RSI6 cooler - momentum fading at the short end
MACD16.01 / 18.78 / -2.77Bearish configuration: line below signal (death cross), histogram negative, though still above the zero line - weakening momentum within an intact trend
KDJ (K/D/J)43.82 / 59.36 / 12.74Soft / still repairing; J at 12.74 is deeply depressed relative to K and D, signalling a near-term pullback or reset
Bollinger (U/M/L)405.39 / 379.63 / 353.87Price at 91% of band, hugging the upper boundary - stretched
ATR14 / ATR14%9.38 / +2.41%Moderate volatility; roughly $9 of daily range to plan watch levels around
OBV / 20-session slope-37,314,793 / +14.96%OBV level negative but the 20-session slope is rising - accumulation improving
CCI2046.94Inside a neutral band; no overbought/oversold extreme

Confirmed: the medium-term uptrend (MA20 > MA60, OBV slope improving) and a non-extreme momentum backdrop (CCI neutral, RSI constructive). Conflicted: trend strength versus momentum - bullish MA structure and rising OBV slope against a bearish MACD cross and a weak KDJ J-line. Volume is the tell here: current volume is -19.90% versus the 20-session average ($6.99M), so the push toward resistance is happening on lighter participation. Missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so this section is limited to the standard panel above.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE30.3SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
PB11.06SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
Price / sales0.82SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
EV/EBITDA17.68SEC EDGAR companyfactsLow
StockKit fair value range (scenario model)Bear $121.57 / Base $145.73 / Bull $189.66StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap (scenario model)-63.7%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecast (scenario model)Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Revenue$447.57BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Net income$12.06BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Market cap$365.27BSEC shares outstanding + live quoteMedium
Balance sheet contextAssets $312.64B / Equity $33.02BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh

Note: the StockKit fair-value range and 5Y growth rows are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. They imply a base-case gap of -63.7% versus the current $400.96, driven by negative modelled 5Y growth assumptions (Base -4.00%). That gap is large and warrants caution about over-reliance on the DCF: it sits in tension with reported fundamentals (Revenue $447.57B, Net income $12.06B, P/S 0.82). PEG proxy was N/A and is omitted. The 52-week range was not supplied and is omitted.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatus
Headline coverageNo current news items were available from the configured source
Confirmed catalystsNone supplied

No headlines were returned, so there is nothing to interpret and no catalyst dates to flag. This is a confirmed data gap, not an absence of activity - treat the news dimension of this brief as low confidence. In the absence of news, price action around the $405.39 resistance and the supplied fundamentals are the only evidence available.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum reading is presented. The sentiment dimension is low confidence and should not be weighted in any view.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BaseConsolidation between MA20 ($379.63) and resistance ($405.39); score 50/100, trend "consolidation"Continued range-bound trade, RSI14 holding near 60s, KDJ J-line repairing higher off 12.74A decisive close beyond either boundary
UpsideClose above resistance $405.39 / upper Bollinger band, ideally with volume returning above the 20-session average ($6.99M)MACD histogram turning positive again and OBV slope (currently +14.96%) staying upwardFailure to hold $405.39 on a closing basis; volume staying below average (currently -19.90%)
DownsideRejection at the upper band and loss of MA20 ($379.63)MACD death cross widening, KDJ staying weak, move toward support $353.87 (+11.74% below price)Reclaim of MA20 and a higher low above it
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Stretched into resistancePrice at 91% of Bollinger band, +96.85% of 30-session range, only +1.11% from resistanceRejection candle at $405.39Watch the daily close versus $405.39
Fading momentumMACD histogram -2.77 (death cross), KDJ J=12.74Histogram failing to recover toward zeroTrack MACD line vs signal and KDJ J recovery
Weak participationVolume -19.90% vs 20-session average on the push higherAdvance continuing without volume confirmationCompare daily volume to the 6.99M average
Valuation gapStockKit DCF base fair value $145.73 vs price $400.96 (-63.7% gap), negative modelled 5Y growthReset toward modelled ranges if fundamentals deteriorateTreat DCF as model context; watch reported fundamentals
Information blind spotNo news and no sentiment data returnedAny future headline arriving against an under-informed setupRe-check news/sentiment sources before acting
09Seven-day watch checklist

1. Daily close versus resistance $405.39 / upper Bollinger band - the single most important level. 2. Volume versus the 20-session average ($6.99M); confirm whether a move is backed by participation (currently -19.90%). 3. MACD histogram (-2.77) - watch for a turn back toward and above zero. 4. KDJ J-line (12.74) - look for repair higher as a momentum reset signal. 5. RSI14 (67.85) - note any push into the 70+ zone or cooling back toward the 60s. 6. MA20 ($379.63) as first downside support if the upper band rejects. 7. News and sentiment feeds - both returned empty; re-check for any incoming coverage that changes the setup.

Information-use note

This brief uses only the supplied dataset. Technicals are moderate confidence; valuation is a mix of medium and low confidence with the fair-value range and growth forecast flagged as StockKit scenario-model outputs rather than analyst consensus; news and sentiment are low confidence because both sources returned no data. Watch levels are observation points, not instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.

Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
60

MA5>MA20金叉

MACD背离Neutral
40

MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱

RSI极值Neutral
45

RSI14=68偏高

布林带Neutral
50

在通道中部

量价关系Neutral
55

价涨量缩,上涨力度不足

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.