ROKU Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- ROKU (ROKU) is trading at 142.92, with a current daily move of +0.67%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 56/100, creating a neutral research posture with bullish alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 123.29 and resistance at 149.85; price is +13.74% from support and +4.85% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 142.92 | Daily move +0.67% |
| Strategy score | 56/100 | Hold, trend: bull |
| MA structure | Bullish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 60.39 | Constructive but not extreme |
| MACD | -0.06 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 123.29 / 149.85 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 115.00 / 148.88 | Price sits at +82.41% of the range |
| Volume check | -68.94% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +1.63% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -0.06, while MACD line / signal are 3.77 / 3.84.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 70.37 / 70.30 / 70.51; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (74% of band); upper / middle / lower are 149.85 / 136.57 / 123.29.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 2.28 (+1.63% of price), OBV slope is -47.19%, and CCI20 is 56.07.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 123.29 / 149.85; recent 30-session range is 115.00 / 148.88.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 244.09 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 8.07 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.55 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 498.26 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | N/A | StockKit scenario model | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $5.38 / Base $6.45 / Bull $8.39 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -95.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $4.74B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $88.36M | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $21.57B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $4.35B / Equity $2.67B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0001428439; company: ROKU, INC.
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Muradov je šampionem polotěžké váhy Oktagonu! Szabová zdolala Pudilovou - Idnes.cz
2. Dedičia - Pravda.sk
3. "W duchu odpowiedzialności za Polskę". Ważny apel biskupa - Wiadomosci.wp.pl
4. Niezwykły gest króla Maroka. Nowa autostrada nazwana imieniem Donalda Trumpa - Bankier.pl
6. Sentiment radar
Ticker news sentiment is Neutral (-0.046) across 50 scored headlines.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| Alpha Vantage ticker news | Connected | 9 positive / 16 neutral / 25 negative scored headlines | High |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Wiadomosci.wp.pl x2, Idnes.cz x1, Pravda.sk x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local forums are not configured | Low |
Notes:
- Alpha Vantage sentiment covers news/feed sentiment, not full social-channel coverage.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 123.29 and 149.85 | Strategy score stays near 56/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 149.85 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 123.29 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 123.29 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Constructive but not extreme; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +1.63% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 123.29 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 149.85 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 90/100 | StrongBuy | MA5>MA20金叉,多头排列 |
| MACD背离 | 40/100 | Hold | MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能减弱 |
| RSI极值 | 45/100 | Hold | RSI14=60偏高 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 在通道中部 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.