ROKU
ROKU · US
ROKU Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 138.07 |
| Daily move | +0.57% (H 139.70 / L 137.14) |
| Strategy score | 54/100 - Hold |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 60.83 / 57.50 (constructive, not extreme) |
| MACD line / signal / hist | 3.93 / 4.91 / -0.98 (bearish cross, above zero) |
| Estimated support | 113.12 (+18.07% from price) |
| Estimated resistance | 133.36 (already exceeded) |
| 30-session range | 100.11-131.39 (position +121.36%) |
| Data confidence | Technicals: Medium-High; News/Sentiment: Low; Valuation: Medium-Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 123.90 / 125.08 / 123.24 / 108.08 | Mixed alignment; MA5>MA20 golden cross noted, but MA5<MA10 is a minor conflict. Price +12.03% above MA20. |
| RSI (14/6) | 60.83 / 57.50 | Constructive, below overbought. RSI6 < RSI14 hints at near-term cooling. |
| MACD | 3.93 / 4.91 / -0.98 | Bearish configuration: line below signal, negative histogram, but both above zero line (momentum still positive overall). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 47.84 / 44.04 / 55.44 | Constructive crossover, mid-range, no extreme. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 133.36 / 123.24 / 113.12 | Price (138.07) is above the upper band - stretched condition. |
| ATR14 / % | 4.17 / +3.32% | Moderate volatility; ~3.3% daily true range. |
| OBV / 20d slope | 34,883,254.94 / +56.18% | Accumulation improving - the clearest confirming signal. |
| CCI20 | 49.71 | Inside neutral band, no extreme. |
Confirmed: Trend support above MA20/MA60, improving OBV accumulation (+56.18% slope), and a KDJ constructive crossover all point to underlying demand.
Conflicted: MACD is in a bearish cross (line below signal, negative histogram) even as price extends above the upper Bollinger band and the 30-session high. Price strength is not yet matched by MACD momentum. Volume reinforces the conflict - current volume is -40.06% versus the 20-session average, i.e. price advancing on shrinking participation (价涨量缩).
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard set above, so none are folded in.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 235.81 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 7.80 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.40 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 479.95 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range (scenario model) | Bear $5.38 / Base $6.45 / Bull $8.39 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap (scenario model) | -95.3% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast (scenario model) | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $4.74B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $88.36M | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $20.84B | SEC shares + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $4.35B / Equity $2.67B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Note: PEG proxy and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted. The StockKit fair-value rows are internally computed DCF scenario forecasts, not analyst consensus targets. The Base fair-value gap of -95.3% reflects the scenario model's negative 5Y growth assumptions (-8% to +2%); it diverges sharply from the market price and from the reported earnings multiples, so treat it as one model view rather than a price call. The high trailing multiples (PE 235.81, EV/EBITDA 479.95) carry the usual sensitivity of richly valued, low-margin profiles.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
No headlines were returned, so no event-driven view can be supported. There are no earnings dates, product, or guidance items in the dataset to interpret. This section is low confidence by absence - any catalyst-based reasoning would require facts not present in the supplied data.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, or StockTwits reading is inferred. Sentiment cannot inform the current setup; treat this section as a data gap, not a neutral signal.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What confirms it | What invalidates it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price holds the 123.24 MA20 / 113.12-133.36 band; score remains ~54 Hold | Continued OBV accumulation with price oscillating around the upper band | Volume contraction (-40.06%) resolves into a directional break either way |
| Upside | Sustained close back above the 133.36 watch level with that level flipping to support | MACD histogram turns positive and volume expands above the 20-session average | Price slips back below 131.39 (30-session high) on rising volume |
| Downside | Rejection from the stretched zone above the upper band; failure to hold 133.36 | MACD bearish cross deepens, RSI rolls below 50, OBV slope flattens | Price reclaims and holds above 133.36 with volume confirmation |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overextension | Price (138.07) above upper Bollinger band (133.36) and 30-session high (131.39) | Sharp reversal back inside the band | Watch the 133.36 level as flip support |
| Momentum divergence | MACD bearish cross, histogram -0.98 while price extends | Histogram fails to turn positive | Track MACD line vs signal daily |
| Weak participation | Volume -40.06% vs 20-session average; 价涨量缩 | Advance continues on falling volume | Compare daily volume to the 2,662,612 average |
| Valuation stretch | PE 235.81, EV/EBITDA 479.95; scenario base gap -95.3% | Multiple compression or growth disappointment | Monitor reported revenue/net income trend vs $4.74B / $88.36M base |
| Information gaps | No news, no sentiment feed | A catalyst breaks without prior coverage in-model | Re-check news/sentiment sources before acting |
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=61偏高
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
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