SOFI
SOFI · US
SOFI Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $17.91 |
| Daily move | +2.81% (high 17.99 / low 17.27) |
| Strategy score | 39/100 - Sell |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 42.74 / 44.39 (soft, not washed out) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -0.50 / -0.49 / -0.01 (bearish config) |
| Estimated support | 14.38 |
| Estimated resistance | 17.87 (-0.23% away) |
| 30-session range position | +57.39% (range 14.92 / 20.13) |
| Data confidence | Medium overall; low for news and sentiment |
| Indicator | Reading | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 15.58 / 15.70 / 16.12 / 17.05 | Short MAs stacked below long MAs (bearish alignment); price now +11.09% above MA20 and above all four MAs |
| RSI (14 / 6) | 42.74 / 44.39 | Neutral-to-soft; no overbought or oversold extreme |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -0.50 / -0.49 / -0.01 | Below zero line, bearish configuration; histogram near flat (-0.01) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 44.77 / 38.67 / 56.97 | K above D - constructive crossover, mildly positive |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 17.87 / 16.12 / 14.38 | Price at upper band (~101% of band); stretched to the top |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 0.64 / +4.12% | Elevated volatility relative to price |
| OBV (level / 20-sess slope) | -1,610,991,239.27 / -24.33% | Distribution pressure visible; volume flow trending down |
| CCI20 | -59.43 | Inside a neutral band |
Custom strategy sub-scores (folded in and cited explicitly):
| Sub-factor | Score | Label | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA cross | 10/100 | StrongSell | MA5 below MA20 (death cross), bearish stack |
| MACD divergence | 35/100 | Sell | MACD death cross, below zero, momentum building to the downside |
| RSI extremes | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14 = 43, neutral |
| Bollinger | 50/100 | Hold | Mid-channel read in the model |
| Volume-price | 55/100 | Hold | Volume contraction on the pullback, possible stabilization |
What is confirmed: a bearish trend-following backdrop (MA alignment, MACD below zero, OBV distribution) alongside a short-term bounce (today's +2.81%, KDJ K>D crossover, price reclaiming MA20).
What is conflicted: trend indicators (MA stack, MACD, OBV) point bearish, while price action and KDJ point to a near-term push into resistance. The Bollinger read is also internally split - price is at the upper band on the live tape, yet the strategy engine scores Bollinger as mid-channel (50/100, Hold). Treat the live upper-band touch as the operative read.
What is missing: no divergence, RSI-extreme, or volume-spike signal is triggered, so there is no high-conviction reversal or breakout confirmation in the supplied set.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46.58 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.07 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 36.2 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 104.95 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair-value range (scenario model) | Bear $3.53 / Base $4.33 / Bull $5.64 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap (scenario model) | -75.8% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast (scenario model) | Bear -8.00% / Base -3.48% / Bull +2.52% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $619.35M | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $481.32M | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $22.42B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $53.70B / Equity $10.81B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit DCF fair-value range ($3.53-$5.64) and the -75.8% base gap are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets, and they rest on a flat-to-negative 5-year growth assumption (Base -3.48%). That assumption is the swing variable: the model's deep discount to the $17.91 market price is driven by it, so the gap should be read as a model artifact rather than a price prediction. Reported multiples are rich on their face (PE 46.58, P/S 36.2, EV/EBITDA 104.95), with EV/EBITDA flagged Low confidence. PEG proxy was N/A in the supplied data and is omitted. The high-confidence anchors are the SEC-sourced fundamentals: revenue $619.35M, net income $481.32M, and a balance sheet of $53.70B assets against $10.81B equity.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items were available from the configured source |
Confirmed news: none supplied. There are no headlines, earnings dates, or corporate events in the dataset, so no catalyst can be cited. This is a meaningful gap - the technical bounce into resistance has no attributable driver in the supplied data, which lowers confidence in interpreting today's move. No catalysts have been invented to fill the space.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned. Social channels (Reddit, X, StockTwits, and similar) are not marked connected, so no readings are reported for them. Sentiment is effectively a blank panel and should not factor into the read until a source is connected.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price stalls in the 17.87-17.99 resistance / upper-band zone and trades back toward MA20 (16.12) | Rejection at resistance with bearish trend intact (MACD below zero, OBV slope -24.33%) and price holding the 16.12-17.05 MA cluster | Decisive close and acceptance above 17.99 on expanding volume |
| Upside | Acceptance above 17.87-17.99 resistance, extending toward the 30-session high at 20.13 | Break and hold above resistance with KDJ crossover (K 44.77 > D 38.67) sustained and OBV slope turning up | Failure to clear 17.99; price falling back below MA20 (16.12) |
| Downside | Rejection at resistance feeding the bearish MA stack and OBV distribution pressure | Loss of MA20 (16.12) and MA60 (17.05), MACD histogram turning more negative from -0.01, move toward estimated support 14.38 | Reclaim and hold of the 17.05-17.87 zone with improving volume flow |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance rejection | Price at 17.87 estimated resistance (-0.23%) and upper Bollinger band (101% of band) | Failure to close above 17.99 | Watch the 17.87-17.99 zone for acceptance vs rejection |
| Bearish trend continuation | MA bearish alignment, MACD below zero (-0.50), OBV slope -24.33% | Loss of MA20 (16.12) | Track MA20/MA60 as the trend pivot |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14 at +4.12% of price | Range expansion beyond ATR on either side | Size expectations to the ~0.64 ATR band |
| Distribution / weak flow | OBV slope -24.33%; current volume -15.55% vs 20-session average (68.88M) | OBV continuing lower on up-days | Watch whether volume confirms or fades rallies |
| Valuation disconnect | Rich multiples (PE 46.58, EV/EBITDA 104.95); StockKit base fair-value gap -75.8% | Negative re-rating toward growth assumptions | Note the scenario-model gap is assumption-driven, not consensus |
| Information gaps | No news, no connected sentiment | New headline or sentiment source appears | Re-assess once a catalyst or sentiment feed connects |
1. The 17.87-17.99 zone (resistance, upper Bollinger band, today's high): acceptance above versus rejection. 2. MA20 at 16.12 as the near-term trend pivot if price rolls over. 3. MACD histogram (-0.01): whether it crosses positive or deepens negative. 4. KDJ crossover (K 44.77 > D 38.67): whether the constructive read holds or fades. 5. OBV 20-session slope (-24.33%): any flattening or upturn that would ease distribution pressure. 6. Volume versus the 20-session average (68.88M; currently -15.55%): does participation confirm the bounce. 7. Appearance of any news headline or connected sentiment source to fill the current catalyst gap.
This brief is a public-facing research preview for general information only and is not personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All levels are watch levels, not instructions. Technical and valuation inputs are Medium confidence; news and sentiment are low confidence due to no supplied coverage or connected social feeds. The StockKit fair-value range, base fair-value gap, growth forecast, and PEG proxy are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets. No returns are promised.
MA5<MA20死叉,空头排列
MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强
RSI14=43中性
在通道中部
缩量回调,可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.