MAR
MAR · US
MAR Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 383.06 |
| Daily move | +2.30% |
| Day high / low | 384.20 / 377.53 |
| Overall score | 44/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 38.73 / 29.36 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -2.33 / -0.18 / -2.15 |
| Estimated support | 359.11 |
| Estimated resistance | 404.26 |
| 30-session range position | +43.31% (range 361.73-410.98) |
| Data confidence | Technicals medium; fundamentals mixed; news/sentiment low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 372.67 / 372.99 / 381.69 / 372.81 | Compressed and interlaced; MA20 is the highest line, and the strategy engine flags MA5<MA20 as a death cross (30/100, Sell) |
| RSI (14/6) | 38.73 / 29.36 | Soft but not washed out; RSI14 near 39 scored as a mild Buy (60/100) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -2.33 / -0.18 / -2.15 | Bearish: below zero with a negative histogram, momentum weakening (20/100, Sell) |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 29.91 / 32.78 / 24.16 | Low and still repairing; K below D keeps the near-term posture soft |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 404.26 / 381.69 / 359.11 | Price at ~53% of the band (mid-band zone); band widening, proximity to lower band scored Buy (65/100) |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 8.88 / +2.45% | Moderate volatility; a ~2.45% daily true range frames realistic watch-level spacing |
| OBV (value / 20d slope) | -2,672,162.47 / -161.13% | Distribution pressure visible; the falling slope is the main bearish tell under a rising price |
| CCI20 | -103.64 | Below -100, indicating downside pressure or oversold conditions |
Confirmed: the bearish momentum cluster is coherent. MACD below zero, KDJ still low, CCI under -100, and a negative OBV slope all describe a pressured, distribution-tinged tape.
Conflicted: mean-reversion signals push the other way. RSI14 near 39 and price near the lower Bollinger band both score as Buy, and today's +2.30% move lifts price fractionally above MA20 (+0.36%). Note a data inconsistency: the supplied context labels the MA structure "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60," but the supplied values show MA5 (372.67) < MA10 (372.99) < MA20 (381.69), with MA60 (372.81) between them. The strategy score's MA5<MA20 death-cross reading is consistent with the numeric values, so treat the alignment label with lower confidence.
Missing: no custom or proprietary indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 40.29 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | -23.16 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.00 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 25.04 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 12.12 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $111.05 / Base $144.20 / Bull $185.39 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -62.4% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -2.68% / Base +3.32% / Bull +9.32% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $26.19B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.60B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $104.81B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $28.09B / Equity $-4.53B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The negative PB (-23.16) traces to negative shareholder equity (-$4.53B on $28.09B assets), a structural feature that makes book-value multiples uninformative here; PE (40.29) and P/S (4.00) are the more usable reported multiples. The StockKit DCF rows are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus: the base fair value of $144.20 sits well below the 383.06 price (a -62.4% base gap), driven by a modest base 5Y growth assumption (+3.32%) against the current multiple. Treat this scenario output as a model view to test, not a target, and note EV/EBITDA carries Low confidence.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available | No confirmed headlines to anchor near-term catalysts |
Confirmed news: none was returned from the configured source. Because there is no supplied headline flow, the near-term narrative is unresolved and the price action must be read on technicals and reported fundamentals alone. This is a lower-confidence part of the brief. No earnings dates, ratings, or events are asserted, as none were supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for MAR. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are inferred. Sentiment is effectively a blind spot in this brief and should not be weighted.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the mid-band zone (~53% of band) and oscillates around MA20 (381.69) | RSI14 stabilizing near 39, KDJ turning up from low levels, volume staying near the 20-session average | A sustained close below support 359.11, or MACD histogram deepening further below -2.15 |
| Upside | Reclaim and hold above the MA cluster (~372-382) with momentum repair | MACD histogram narrowing toward zero, RSI6 recovering from 29.36, a push toward resistance 404.26 (upper band) | Failure at 404.26, or OBV slope staying negative on rallies (no accumulation confirmation) |
| Downside | Loss of support 359.11 amid continued distribution | OBV slope remaining sharply negative (-161.13%), CCI staying below -100, break of the 30-session low 361.73 | A firm recovery back above MA20 (381.69) with an OBV slope inflection |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum still bearish | MACD -2.33/-0.18/-2.15, trend bear, score 44/100 | Histogram deepening below -2.15 | Track daily MACD histogram and the MA5/MA20 gap |
| Distribution under price | OBV -2.67M, 20-session slope -161.13% | OBV making new lows while price is flat/up | Watch OBV direction on up days for divergence |
| Support failure | Estimated support 359.11; 30-session low 361.73 | Daily close below 359.11 | Set an alert at 359.11 and confirm on close |
| Valuation gap vs model | StockKit base fair value $144.20, gap -62.4%, PE 40.29 | Growth disappointment vs +3.32% base assumption | Re-check PE and growth inputs as fundamentals update |
| Negative equity structure | Equity -$4.53B, PB -23.16 | Further erosion in reported equity | Monitor balance-sheet updates from SEC filings |
| Information gaps | No news, no sentiment series | New headlines that reset the narrative | Refresh news/sentiment feeds before acting on levels |
1. Estimated support 359.11 - watch for a daily close below it as the key downside line. 2. MA20 at 381.69 - whether price holds above (+0.36% now) or slips back under. 3. MACD histogram - look for narrowing toward zero (repair) versus deepening below -2.15. 4. OBV 20-session slope - any inflection off the -161.13% distribution reading, especially on up days. 5. RSI14/RSI6 (38.73 / 29.36) - stabilization or a turn up from low levels. 6. Resistance 404.26 (upper Bollinger band) - reaction if a rally approaches it. 7. News and sentiment feeds - currently empty; refresh for any headline that changes the setup.
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated from the supplied StockKit dataset and is not personalized investment advice. It makes no promises or guarantees about returns. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act. Fundamental rows marked "StockKit scenario model" (PEG proxy, fair-value range, growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment sections are low confidence because no source data was returned, and one MA-alignment label conflicts with the supplied numeric values as noted in Section 3. No financial statements, dates, ratings, or company facts beyond the supplied data were added.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=39偏低
接近下轨，可能反弹，带宽扩张中
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.