Marriott International, Inc.
MAR · US
MAR Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 396.20 |
| Daily move | +0.40% |
| Strategy score / signal | 65/100 / Buy |
| Trend | Bull (bullish MA alignment) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 71.52 / 87.60 (elevated) |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | 5.92 / 3.48 / +2.44 (bullish) |
| Estimated support | 340.05 (+14.17% below price) |
| Estimated resistance | 378.35 (-4.51%, price above it) |
| 30-session range position | +124.19% (345.38 / 386.30) |
| Data confidence | Technical: Medium-High; Valuation: Medium; News/Sentiment: Low |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| Moving averages | MA5 373.83 / MA10 364.38 / MA20 359.20 / MA60 346.73 | Bullish alignment confirmed; price +10.30% above MA20 (extended) |
| RSI | RSI14 71.52 / RSI6 87.60 | Overbought; short-term exhaustion risk |
| MACD | Line 5.92 / signal 3.48 / hist +2.44 | Bullish crossover above zero line, momentum building |
| KDJ | K 90.77 / D 79.36 / J 113.60 | Extended; J-line well above 100 signals short-term overheating |
| Bollinger Bands | Upper 378.35 / mid 359.20 / lower 340.05 | Price above upper band (~147% band position); breakout but overbought, bandwidth expanding |
| ATR14 | 8.18 (+2.12% of price) | Moderate volatility; defines realistic daily swing |
| OBV | 6,724,316.03 / 20-session slope +679.09% | Accumulation improving, volume supports the move |
| CCI20 | 252.07 | Strong upside momentum, but far above the +100 overbought threshold |
Confirmed: trend direction. The MA structure, MACD, OBV accumulation, and rising volume (current volume +18.58% vs the 20-session average of 1,364,439) all point the same way - a volume-supported uptrend.
Conflicted: the timing. RSI14/RSI6, KDJ J-line, CCI20, and the above-band Bollinger position all flag short-term overbought conditions that often precede consolidation or a pullback, even within an intact uptrend. The strategy sub-scores capture this split directly: MA交叉 90/100 (StrongBuy) and MACD背离 85/100 (StrongBuy) versus RSI极值 15/100 (StrongSell) and 布林带 40/100 (Hold).
Missing: no custom indicators beyond those listed were supplied, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41.68 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | -26.49 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.14 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 25.88 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 12.54 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Fair value range | Bear $111.05 / Base $144.20 / Bull $185.39 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed, not consensus) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -63.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -2.68% / Base +3.32% / Bull +9.32% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $26.19B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.60B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $108.40B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $27.86B / Equity -$4.09B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Context: PE 41.68 and Price/sales 4.14 reflect a premium-multiple profile against $26.19B revenue and $2.60B net income. The negative PB of -26.49 is a direct function of negative shareholders' equity (-$4.09B against $27.86B in assets), so PB is not a meaningful valuation anchor here and should be read alongside the balance-sheet context, not in isolation. The StockKit DCF scenario range (Base $144.20) sits well below the current 396.20 price - a -63.6% base fair-value gap - and is an internally computed forecast, not an analyst consensus target. EV/EBITDA confidence is Low, so weight it lightly.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Current news headlines | Missing - no current news items were available from the configured source |
| Confirmed catalysts | None supplied |
There are no confirmed headlines or scheduled catalysts in the supplied dataset, so no event-driven view is offered. The latest annual income-statement period referenced is 2025-12-31 (SEC CIK 0001048286). No additional company facts are introduced. This section is Low confidence by absence of data, not by judgment.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Reddit, X, StockTwits, and local-forum readings are not connected and are therefore not estimated. Treat sentiment as a blank input rather than a neutral or positive signal.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 359.20-378.35 zone (MA20 to upper band) and consolidates the extended move | Pullback that finds support near MA20 (359.20) with OBV holding its uptrend (slope +679.09%) | Sustained close back below MA20 (359.20) with MACD histogram (+2.44) rolling toward zero |
| Upside | Continued close above the 378.35 upper band on volume above the 1,364,439 20-session average | New highs above the 386.30 top of the 30-session range with MACD momentum intact (line 5.92 > signal 3.48) | RSI14 (71.52) and CCI20 (252.07) failing to support price; reversal back inside the band |
| Downside | Mean reversion from overbought (RSI6 87.60, KDJ J 113.60, ~147% band position) | Break below MA20 (359.20), then test of estimated support 340.05 (Bollinger lower band) | Reclaim and hold above 378.35 with rising volume and OBV |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-term overbought reversal | RSI14 71.52, RSI6 87.60, CCI20 252.07, KDJ J 113.60, price ~147% of band | Loss of the 378.35 watch level / reentry inside the band | Watch daily close vs 378.35 and the MACD histogram (+2.44) for momentum fade |
| Extension above mean | Price +10.30% above MA20, +124.19% in 30-session range | Failure to make new highs above 386.30 | Track distance to MA20 (359.20) as a mean-reversion gauge |
| Valuation gap | PE 41.68, StockKit base fair value $144.20, -63.6% gap | Any de-rating catalyst | Treat DCF scenario as model output; re-check against new fundamentals |
| Negative-equity balance sheet | Equity -$4.09B, PB -26.49 | Deterioration in leverage metrics | Read PB only with balance-sheet context, not standalone |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data returned | Sudden headline-driven move with no prior signal | Re-poll news/sentiment sources before acting on levels |
1. Daily close versus the 378.35 upper-band / resistance watch level - the single most important condition. 2. MACD histogram (+2.44) - flattening or turning down would signal momentum fade. 3. RSI6 (87.60) and RSI14 (71.52) - sustained readings or a downturn from these levels. 4. MA20 at 359.20 - the first mean-reversion support to watch on any pullback. 5. Estimated support 340.05 (Bollinger lower band) - secondary downside reference. 6. Volume versus the 1,364,439 20-session average - confirmation requires participation above average. 7. OBV slope (+679.09%) - accumulation holding or breaking down.
This brief is a public-facing research preview built only from the supplied StockKit dataset and is not personalized investment advice. Technical readings carry Medium-to-High confidence; valuation rows are Medium confidence overall with EV/EBITDA Low; the StockKit fair-value range and PEG proxy are internally computed scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment sections are Low confidence because no source data was returned. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions to act.
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=72超买，短期极度超买
突破上轨，短期超买，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.2x)，走势确认，连续放量上涨
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.