StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
AON · US · Cached
Generated 2026-06-19 02:10 UTC

AON

AON · US

$317.74
-2.74%
Technical posture
Constructive
Strategy score
63 / 100
Trend
bull
Data confidence
Medium
Research view

AON Research Preview

1. Bottom line - Current setup: AON (Aon plc) trades at $317.74, down -2.74% on the session, hovering essentially on its MA20 ($317.38, price vs MA20 +0.11%) inside the mid-Bollinger zone (52% of band). The StockKit strategy score reads 63/100 with a "Buy" signal and "bull" trend, driven mainly by a constructive MACD configuration (MACD line 0.17 above signal -1.36, histogram +1.52) and an MA5>MA20 golden cross. - Confidence: Moderate. Technicals lean mildly constructive but show internal conflict (MA60 $323.32 still above price; OBV 20-session slope -30.26% flags distribution; volume -38.97% vs 20-session average). Confidence is lower on the news and sentiment side, where the configured sources returned no items, and on EV/EBITDA (marked Low). - Most important level/condition to monitor: The $317.38 MA20 / mid-Bollinger pivot. Holding above it keeps the constructive read intact; sustained trade below it would shift attention toward estimated support at $306.42.
02Key data snapshot
MetricReading
Price$317.74
Daily move-2.74%
Strategy score63/100 (Signal: Buy)
TrendBull
RSI14 / RSI654.79 / 63.37
MACD (line/signal/hist)0.17 / -1.36 / +1.52
Estimated support$306.42 (+3.56% away)
Estimated resistance$328.33 (+3.33% away)
30-session range position+35.66% (range $306.52-$337.98)
Data confidenceModerate; news and sentiment Low (no source items)
03Technical indicator panel
IndicatorReadingRead
MA (5/10/20/60)324.08 / 319.23 / 317.38 / 323.32Mixed alignment; MA5>MA10>MA20>MA60. Price sits on MA20 (+0.11%) but MA60 caps from above. Strategy MA cross 70/100, Buy.
RSI (14/6)54.79 / 63.37Neutral momentum; faster RSI6 firmer. Strategy RSI 50/100, Hold.
MACD0.17 / -1.36 / +1.52Bullish configuration: line above signal, above zero, positive histogram. Strategy MACD 85/100, StrongBuy.
KDJ (K/D/J)70.03 / 64.65 / 80.80Constructive crossover, K above D; J elevated at 80.80 signals near-term stretch.
Bollinger (U/M/L)328.33 / 317.38 / 306.42Mid-band zone, 52% of band. Strategy 45/100, Hold (room to upper band but not pinned).
ATR14 / ATR%7.48 / +2.30%Moderate volatility; daily true range ~2.3% of price frames realistic move sizing.
OBV / 20-session slope3,780,938.56 / -30.26%Distribution pressure: declining OBV slope diverges from the constructive price-based signals.
CCI2090.86Inside neutral band, near but below the conventional +100 strength threshold.

What is confirmed: Trend-following momentum is the strongest leg - MACD (above zero, rising histogram), MA5>MA20 cross, and a KDJ crossover all align constructive.

What is conflicted: MA60 ($323.32) remains above price while shorter MAs are below it, leaving the structure mixed rather than cleanly bullish. OBV slope -30.26% and volume -38.97% vs the 20-session average ($1,522,092 vs current 2,382,747 today's print) point to weak participation behind the move; the strategy volume-price read (55/100, Hold) flags "price up, volume down." RSI and CCI sit neutral, neither confirming nor denying.

What is missing: No custom indicators were supplied, so none are folded in here. No intraday or multi-timeframe RSI/MACD beyond the values listed.

04Valuation matrix
AxisReadingSourceConfidence
PE18.67SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
PB7.01SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
Price / sales4.01SEC EDGAR companyfactsMedium
EV/EBITDA18.24SEC EDGAR companyfactsLow
PEG proxy1.48StockKit scenario modelMedium
StockKit fair value rangeBear $296.35 / Base $378.98 / Bull $480.08StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
Base fair-value gap+19.3%StockKit DCF scenario modelMedium
5Y growth forecastBear +6.59% / Base +12.59% / Bull +18.59%StockKit scenario modelMedium
Revenue$17.18BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Net income$3.69BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh
Market cap$68.98BSEC shares outstanding + live quoteMedium
Balance sheet contextAssets $51.43B / Equity $9.83BSEC EDGAR companyfactsHigh

Note on internally computed rows: PEG proxy (1.48), the fair-value range (Bear $296.35 / Base $378.98 / Bull $480.08), the +19.3% base fair-value gap, and the 5Y growth forecast are StockKit DCF and scenario-model outputs derived from reported fundamentals. They are not analyst consensus targets. Reported fundamentals (Revenue $17.18B, Net income $3.69B, balance sheet) carry High confidence; EV/EBITDA is Low confidence and should be weighted accordingly.

05News and catalyst timeline
ItemStatusWhy it matters
Headline coverageNo current news items available from the configured sourceAbsence of catalysts means price action is currently driven by technicals and positioning rather than fresh fundamental news. This is a data gap, not evidence of "no news."

Confirmed news: None supplied.

Missing data: The configured news source returned no items, so no earnings date, no analyst action, and no corporate event can be cited. No catalyst timeline can be constructed from the supplied dataset; treat this section as low confidence.

06Sentiment radar
SourceStatusReadingConfidence
NewsAPI headline coverageNo headlinesNo source distribution availableLow
Social sentimentNot connectedNo social sentiment conclusion is drawnLow

No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are presented because none is marked connected in the supplied data. Sentiment confidence is Low across the board.

07Scenario framework
ScenarioTrigger conditionsWhat would confirm itWhat would invalidate it
BasePrice holds the MA20 / mid-Bollinger pivot ($317.38) with MACD staying above zero (0.17 line, +1.52 histogram)Stabilization in the $317-$324 band with histogram holding positive; range position near current +35.66%Sustained close below $306.42 support, or MACD histogram rolling negative
UpsideVolume reasserts (current -38.97% vs 20-session average $1,522,092) and price clears resistance $328.33 / upper BollingerBreak and hold above $328.33 with rising OBV reversing the -30.26% slope; toward StockKit base fair value $378.98 (+19.3% gap)Failure at $328.33 on weak volume, or OBV distribution continuing
DownsideLoss of MA20 ($317.38) with OBV distribution (-30.26% slope) persistingBreak below estimated support $306.42 toward lower 30-session range $306.52; tests StockKit bear fair value $296.35Reclaim of $317.38 and a return of MACD/KDJ constructive signals
08Risk matrix
RiskEvidenceTriggerMonitoring action
Thin-volume advanceCurrent volume -38.97% vs 20-session average; strategy volume-price 55/100, "price up, volume down"Continued up moves on below-average volumeWatch daily volume vs $1,522,092 average for confirmation/divergence
Distribution under the surfaceOBV 3,780,938.56 with -30.26% 20-session slope despite constructive price signalsOBV slope failing to turn up while price risesTrack OBV slope direction alongside price
Overhead MA60 resistanceMA60 $323.32 sits above price; structure only "mixed"Rejection near $323-$328 zoneWatch reaction at MA60 and resistance $328.33
Near-term stretchKDJ J at 80.80; RSI6 63.37 firmer than RSI14J rolling over from elevated levelMonitor KDJ crossover for a bearish turn
News/sentiment blind spotNo items from configured news or sentiment sourcesUnmodeled headline emergesRe-check sources before acting on technical signals
Volatility sizingATR14 7.48 (+2.30% of price)Range expansion beyond ATRFrame watch levels using ATR-scaled moves
9. Seven-day watch checklist 1. MA20 / mid-Bollinger pivot $317.38 - does price hold above or lose it. 2. Estimated support $306.42 (and 30-session low $306.52) - defended or breached. 3. Estimated resistance $328.33 / upper Bollinger - tested, and on what volume. 4. Daily volume vs 20-session average $1,522,092 - confirmation or continued -38.97% shortfall. 5. OBV slope (currently -30.26%) - does distribution pressure ease or deepen. 6. MACD histogram (+1.52) - stays positive or fades back toward zero. 7. KDJ J (80.80) - watch for a downside crossover signaling near-term stretch unwinding.
Information-use note This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit from the supplied dataset; it is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise of returns. Views are tied to observable technical and supplied-fundamental data points. Levels cited are watch levels for monitoring, not instructions. Confidence is lower for the news, sentiment, and EV/EBITDA components, where source data was absent or marked Low; StockKit scenario and DCF outputs are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
70

MA5>MA20金叉

MACD背离Strong momentum
85

MACD金叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强

RSI极值Neutral
50

RSI14=55中性

布林带Neutral
45

接近上轨

量价关系Neutral
55

价涨量缩,上涨力度不足

Research boundary

StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.

Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.