AON Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- AON (AON) is trading at 367.17, with a current daily move of +1.51%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 49/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 346.40 and resistance at 375.27; price is +5.66% from support and +2.21% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 367.17 | Daily move +1.51% |
| Strategy score | 49/100 | Hold, trend: bear |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 49.48 | Neutral momentum |
| MACD | -2.02 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 346.40 / 375.27 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 349.33 / 382.34 | Price sits at +54.04% of the range |
| Volume check | -46.29% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.58% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -2.02, while MACD line / signal are 1.44 / 3.46.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 34.69 / 31.55 / 40.96; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (72% of band); upper / middle / lower are 375.27 / 360.84 / 346.40.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 9.17 (+2.58% of price), OBV slope is -497.78%, and CCI20 is -53.29.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 346.40 / 375.27; recent 30-session range is 349.33 / 382.34.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.57 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 8.31 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 4.64 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 20.71 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 1.71 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $296.35 / Base $378.98 / Bull $480.08 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | +3.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +6.59% / Base +12.59% / Bull +18.59% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $17.18B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $3.69B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $79.71B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $53.35B / Equity $9.60B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0000315293; company: Aon plc.
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Trump’s Pick for Surgeon General Holds Investments in Tech, Tobacco, Fast Food, and Big Pharma - Gizmodo.com
2. AON, unions disagree over Air Peace picketing - Vanguard
3. “Mi sono salvata dagli attentati alle Torri Gemelle grazie a Mariah Carey. Ero andata a comprare il suo cd e ho fatto tardi in ufficio, poi ho visto il buco e l’inferno”: la storia di Sara Botkin - Ilfattoquotidiano.it
4. … And Her Unborn Child. (On 9-11) - Freerepublic.com
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Gizmodo.com x1, Vanguard x1, Ilfattoquotidiano.it x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes:
- No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 346.40 and 375.27 | Strategy score stays near 49/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 375.27 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 346.40 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 346.40 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Neutral momentum; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.58% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 346.40 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 375.27 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 30/100 | Sell | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 55/100 | Hold | MACD死叉,MACD在零轴上方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=49中性 |
| 布林带 | 55/100 | Hold | 在通道中部,带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.