Phillips 66
PSX · US
PSX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | $166.14 |
| Daily move | -0.62% (high 167.00 / low 164.11) |
| Strategy score | 51/100 (Hold, consolidation) |
| Trend (MA structure) | Mixed alignment, MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60 |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 51.63 / 47.04 (neutral) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 1.98 / 2.22 / -0.24 (bearish configuration) |
| Estimated support | 168.47 (-1.40% from price) |
| Estimated resistance | 182.66 (+9.94% from price) |
| 30-session range position | +40.34% (range 153.58-184.72) |
| Data confidence | Medium (price/technicals complete; news & sentiment absent) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read-through |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 175.92 / 176.13 / 175.56 / 171.40 | Mixed alignment; price below all four MAs (-5.37% vs MA20). MA5 > MA20 is a near-term golden-cross posture per the MA交叉 sub-score (60/100, Buy). |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 51.63 / 47.04 | Neutral momentum; RSI14 mid-range with no overbought/oversold extreme (RSI极值 50/100, Hold). |
| MACD | line 1.98 / signal 2.22 / hist -0.24 | Bearish configuration: line below signal (death cross) though both remain above zero, signaling fading upside momentum (MACD背离 40/100, Hold). |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 40.00 / 50.57 / 18.87 | Soft / still repairing; K below D and a low J value point to weak short-term momentum that has not yet turned up. |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 182.66 / 175.56 / 168.47 | Price near the lower band (-16% of band); the strategy 布林带 read places it mid-channel (50/100, Hold). Lower-band proximity is the more actionable observation here. |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 5.73 / +3.28% | Moderate volatility; ~3.3% of price per session, useful for sizing watch levels. |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 7,179,297.73 / +259.36% | Accumulation improving; the steep positive slope is the most constructive signal in the panel, though current volume is -5.85% vs the 20-session average. |
| CCI20 | -38.80 | Inside a neutral band; no directional extreme. |
What is confirmed: a consolidation regime below the MA cluster, neutral RSI/CCI, and improving OBV accumulation.
What is conflicted: the MA5 > MA20 golden-cross posture (constructive) sits against a MACD death cross and soft KDJ (cautious). Price near the lower Bollinger band conflicts with the strategy's mid-channel classification - treat lower-band proximity as the live read.
What is missing: no custom indicators were supplied, so this panel reflects the standard set only.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.4 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.38 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 0.51 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 19.92 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $99.13 / Base $118.82 / Bull $154.64 | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed, not consensus) | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -28.5% | StockKit DCF scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model (internally computed) | Medium |
| Revenue | $132.38B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.40B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $67.79B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $84.08B / Equity $28.53B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit DCF scenario rows are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. On those internal assumptions the Base fair value ($118.82) sits -28.5% below spot, and even the Bull case ($154.64) is below the current $166.14. That gap is driven by a negative Base 5Y growth forecast (-4.00%), so it reflects the model's growth assumptions rather than observed market pricing. EV/EBITDA (19.92) and the PEG proxy carry Low confidence; the PEG proxy is N/A and is omitted from interpretation. Reported PE (15.4), P/S (0.51), and the High-confidence revenue, net income, and balance-sheet figures are the firmer anchors here.
| Item | Status |
|---|---|
| Configured news source | No current news items available |
No headlines were returned from the configured source, so there is no confirmed news or catalyst to interpret for this brief. This is a data gap, not evidence of an absence of events. Catalyst analysis is therefore low confidence, and no earnings dates, ratings, or company developments are introduced here because none were supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Headline coverage produced no distribution, and the social feed is not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum reading is available. Sentiment is treated as unknown rather than neutral; this section is low confidence by data availability.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base (consolidation) | Price holds the 30-session mid-zone, oscillating between estimated support 168.47 and resistance 182.66 | RSI14 stays near 50, MACD histogram (-0.24) flattens, OBV slope stays positive (+259.36%) | A daily close below the 30-session low 153.58 or a decisive break above 182.66 |
| Upside (repair) | Reclaim of support 168.47 and the MA20 (175.56), backed by volume returning above the 20-session average (2,537,140) | MACD line crosses back above signal (currently 1.98 vs 2.22), KDJ K rising through D, RSI6 recovering above RSI14 | MACD death cross persists with falling histogram while price stalls under MA20 |
| Downside (breakdown) | Loss of the lower Bollinger band 168.47 region with expanding ATR (currently 5.73 / +3.28%) | OBV slope rolls over from +259.36%, price probing 30-session low 153.58, RSI dropping out of the neutral band | Quick reclaim of 168.47 and stabilization back inside the band |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum fade | MACD death cross (line 1.98 < signal 2.22, hist -0.24) and soft KDJ (K 40.00, J 18.87) | Histogram deepening below -0.24 | Track MACD line/signal gap and KDJ K vs D daily |
| Below-trend pricing | Price -5.37% under MA20 and below all MAs | Failure to reclaim MA20 (175.56) on rallies | Watch closes relative to MA20 and MA5 (175.92) |
| Weak demand confirmation | Volume -5.85% vs 20-session average; 量价关系 flags price-up/volume-down | Continued advances on declining volume | Compare session volume against 2,537,140 average |
| Valuation gap vs internal model | StockKit Base fair value $118.82 is -28.5% below spot on a -4.00% Base growth assumption | Reported growth tracking toward the model's negative path | Re-check fundamentals against the scenario assumptions on each update |
| Information blind spot | No news and no sentiment data returned | A material event landing without coverage in-feed | Re-poll news/sentiment sources before acting on technicals |
| Volatility | ATR14 at 5.73 (+3.28% of price) | ATR expansion alongside a band break | Size watch levels using ATR; widen stops in expansion |
1. Whether price reclaims and holds estimated support 168.47 (-1.40% away) - the primary repair trigger. 2. Daily closes relative to MA20 (175.56) and MA5 (175.92) to gauge trend re-entry. 3. MACD line vs signal (1.98 / 2.22) and histogram (-0.24) for a momentum cross back to positive. 4. KDJ K (40.00) crossing back above D (50.57) as a short-term turn signal. 5. Session volume against the 20-session average (2,537,140); confirm whether moves carry participation. 6. OBV 20-session slope holding its +259.36% accumulation reading versus rolling over. 7. Edges of the 30-session range - the low 153.58 and resistance 182.66 - plus any first news or sentiment data populating the currently empty feeds.
This brief uses only the supplied dataset. Technical and price inputs are complete; SEC EDGAR fundamentals are firm for revenue, net income, and balance-sheet context; valuation fair-value and growth rows are StockKit internal scenario outputs, not analyst consensus. News and sentiment feeds returned no data, so catalyst and crowd-positioning analysis is low confidence. Watch levels are observational reference points, not instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能减弱
RSI14=52中性
在通道中部
价涨量缩，上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.