NOC
NOC · US
NOC Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 521.50 |
| Daily move | -5.21% (H 553.50 / L 515.38) |
| Strategy score | 54/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Consolidation |
| RSI | RSI14 35.06 / RSI6 50.60 |
| MACD | Line -22.11 / Signal -26.88 / Hist +4.78 |
| Support (est.) | 537.17 (price -3.00% below) |
| Resistance (est.) | 580.18 (price +11.25% below) |
| 30-session range position | -12.08% (range 539.00 / 683.87) |
| Data confidence | Medium on technicals/fundamentals; Low on news/sentiment |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| Moving averages | MA5 553.13 / MA10 551.33 / MA20 558.67 / MA60 649.68 | Below all four; MA5 sits under MA20 (death-cross condition per MA交叉 40/100). Structure is not cleanly stacked. |
| RSI | RSI14 35.06 / RSI6 50.60 | Soft but not oversold; RSI极值 scores 60/100 (Buy bias) on the low RSI14. |
| MACD | Line -22.11 / Signal -26.88 / Hist +4.78 | Histogram positive and line above signal (a cross), but both remain below the zero axis. MACD背离 65/100, Buy. |
| KDJ | K 62.96 / D 48.45 / J 91.98 | Constructive crossover with K>D; elevated J (91.98) signals near-term stretch. |
| Bollinger Bands | Upper 580.18 / Mid 558.67 / Lower 537.17 | Price below the lower band (-36% of band), an extended position. |
| ATR14 | 11.13 (+2.00% of price) | Moderate daily range; a ~2% swing is normal noise to expect. |
| OBV | -5,225,092.10; 20-session slope -80.37% | Distribution pressure visible; volume flow is trending lower. |
| CCI20 | -29.84 | Inside the neutral band, no extreme reading. |
Confirmed: price is below MA20/MA60 and below the Bollinger lower band, OBV slope is negative, and RSI14 is soft. These align on a defensive, range-bound posture.
Conflicted: oscillators disagree with structure. MACD (histogram positive, line below zero) and KDJ (K>D crossover) lean constructive, while MA alignment is bearish (MA5<MA20). The precomputed note "MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60" does not match the supplied values (MA10 551.33 < MA20 558.67 and MA5 553.13 < MA20 558.67); the MA交叉 death-cross read is the consistent interpretation. Separately, the 量价关系 note labels the tape "价涨量缩" (up on lighter volume), which conflicts with the -5.21% daily move; treat the volume-contraction observation (current volume -13.70% vs the 20-session average of 755,811) as the reliable part and the "price up" framing as suspect.
Missing: no custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel above.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 4.38 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 1.79 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.72 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $267.17 / Base $320.26 / Bull $416.79 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -38.6% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $41.95B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.18B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $74.99B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $50.01B / Equity $17.11B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The StockKit fair value range (Bear $267.17 / Base $320.26 / Bull $416.79) and the -38.6% base gap are internally computed DCF scenario outputs, not analyst consensus targets. They sit below the current price and are paired with a negative-leaning 5Y growth assumption (Base -4.00%), so the model is conservative on forward fundamentals. Reported trailing fundamentals are firmer: PE 17.93 on Net income $4.18B and Revenue $41.95B (High confidence), with PB 4.38 against Equity $17.11B. PEG proxy was N/A and is omitted; no dividend yield or 52-week range was supplied, so those rows are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts to anchor a near-term narrative; the technical and valuation reads carry the analysis. |
Confirmed: none. Missing: the configured news source returned no items. With no confirmed earnings date, contract award, or guidance event in the dataset, this section is low confidence and no catalyst dates are inferred.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are created because no such source is marked connected. Sentiment confidence is Low.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 521-537 zone and oscillates within the recent range | Stabilization near the 537.17 support / lower band with MACD histogram staying positive (+4.78) and OBV slope flattening | A decisive close back above MA20 (558.67) or sustained acceptance below 515.38 day low |
| Upside | Reclaim of 537.17, then MA10/MA20 (551-559) | MACD line crossing toward zero from -22.11, RSI14 lifting from 35.06, volume expanding above the 755,811 average toward resistance at 580.18 (+11.25%) | Failure to hold 537.17 on a retest, or OBV slope (-80.37%) staying steeply negative |
| Downside | Continued acceptance below the 30-session floor of 539.00 / support 537.17 | Lower closes beneath 515.38 with OBV distribution persisting and price extending below the Bollinger lower band | Reclaim of 537.17 and a positive MACD-line trajectory back toward the signal at -26.88 then zero |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend below key averages | Price -6.65% under MA20 and far under MA60 (649.68) | Failure to reclaim MA20 (558.67) | Watch daily closes versus 558.67 |
| Support breakdown | Price already -3.00% below 537.17 and -12.08% in the 30-session range | Acceptance below 515.38 / 539.00 floor | Track whether 537.17 acts as resistance on bounces |
| Distribution / volume flow | OBV -5,225,092 with -80.37% 20-session slope; volume -13.70% vs average | OBV slope steepening with falling price | Watch OBV direction and whether volume confirms any rally |
| Valuation gap to model | StockKit base fair value $320.26, -38.6% below price; Base 5Y growth -4.00% | Earnings or guidance that validates the soft growth path | Compare future reported results to the model's negative-growth assumption |
| Catalyst and sentiment blind spot | No news and no connected sentiment source (Low confidence) | A material headline arriving outside the dataset | Re-check news/sentiment feeds before acting on technical signals |
| Momentum whipsaw | KDJ J at 91.98 (stretched) against bearish MA structure | KDJ rolling over while MACD line stays below zero | Watch for K crossing back below D as an early fade signal |
1. Whether price reclaims and closes above the 537.17 support / Bollinger lower band, or keeps trading beneath it. 2. The 515.38 day low and 539.00 30-session floor as the next downside acceptance levels. 3. MACD line progress from -22.11 toward the signal (-26.88 already crossed) and the zero axis; confirm the histogram stays positive. 4. RSI14 direction from 35.06 - stabilizing versus sliding toward oversold. 5. OBV slope (-80.37%) - any flattening would ease the distribution concern. 6. Volume versus the 755,811 20-session average; a rally needs volume confirmation given current -13.70% participation. 7. KDJ J (91.98) for a near-term fade signal, plus any first news/sentiment item, since both feeds are currently empty.
This brief uses only the supplied StockKit dataset. Reported fundamentals (Revenue $41.95B, Net income $4.18B, balance-sheet context) come from SEC EDGAR companyfacts at High confidence; PE/PB/PS and market cap are Medium; EV/EBITDA and all StockKit scenario rows (fair value range, base gap, 5Y growth, PEG) are model-derived and carry Low-to-Medium confidence and are not analyst consensus. News and sentiment are Low confidence because the configured sources returned no data. Where the precomputed context conflicted with the raw values (MA alignment and the "price up on light volume" note), the raw indicator readings were treated as authoritative and the conflict was flagged. All levels are watch levels for observation, not instructions, and nothing here is personalized investment advice or a promise of returns.
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD金叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强
RSI14=35偏低
在通道中部
价涨量缩,上涨力度不足
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.