FedEx Corporation
FDX · US
FDX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 326.20 |
| Daily move | +0.08% |
| Strategy score / signal | 67/100 / Buy |
| Trend label | Bull (per supplied context) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 66.61 / 81.72 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | 5.76 / 2.76 / 3.00 |
| Estimated support | 355.69 (price 9.04% below) |
| Estimated resistance | 408.81 (price 25.32% below) |
| 30-session range position | -46.91% (range 354.14 / 413.70) |
| Data confidence | Low-Medium (indicator/price divergence; no news; sentiment not connected) |
| Indicator | Reading | Supplied state |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 396.35 / 385.19 / 382.25 / 372.36 | Bullish alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) |
| RSI (14/6) | 66.61 / 81.72 | Constructive but not extreme (RSI6 elevated) |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | 5.76 / 2.76 / 3.00 | Bullish configuration, above zero |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 87.57 / 77.70 / 107.31 | Extended / short-term overheating risk |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 408.81 / 382.25 / 355.69 | Price near/below lower band (-56% of band) |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 10.32 / +2.51% | Moderate volatility |
| OBV (level / 20-sess slope) | 58,474,261.66 / +7.73% | Accumulation improving |
| CCI20 | 182.32 | Strong upside momentum (>100) |
Confirmed: The MA, MACD, OBV, and CCI inputs are internally consistent with one another and describe a bullish momentum regime. The MA cross input (90/100, StrongBuy: "MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列") and MACD input (85/100, StrongBuy: above zero, strengthening momentum) reinforce that view.
Conflicted: The single largest conflict is between the indicator panel and the live price. MA20 sits at 382.25 while price is 326.20 (-14.66%), and price is below the Bollinger lower band of 355.69. Momentum oscillators reading as bullish/overbought (RSI6 81.72, KDJ J 107.31, CCI20 182.32) are difficult to reconcile with a price below all four moving averages and below support. The supplied RSI/Bollinger sub-scores acknowledge part of this tension (RSI极值 35/100, Sell, "短期极度超买"; 布林带 40/100, Hold, "突破上轨，短期超买"), but those overbought notes still describe the higher-price regime, not the current 326.20 print. This divergence is the reason overall confidence is reduced.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond the standard panel, so none are folded in here.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.37 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.66 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 0.90 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 7.72 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 8.55 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $187.66 / Base $244.11 / Bull $314.38 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -25.2% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -3.73% / Base +2.27% / Bull +8.27% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $87.93B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.09B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $79.27B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $94.73B / Equity $29.80B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The PEG proxy (8.55) and the fair-value range are StockKit scenario-model outputs computed from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets. On the model's own basis, the current price of 326.20 sits above the Base fair value of $244.11 (a -25.2% base fair-value gap) and near the top of the Bull case ($314.38), while PE (19.37) and Price/Sales (0.90) are reported from SEC EDGAR companyfacts (latest annual period 2025-05-31). EV/EBITDA confidence is flagged Low by the source.
| Status | Detail |
|---|---|
| Confirmed news | None. No current news items were available from the configured source. |
| Missing data | Headline coverage is absent, so no scheduled catalysts, earnings dates, or events can be cited. |
With no headlines supplied, this section adds no unsupported facts. The practical implication is that the price/indicator divergence noted in Section 3 cannot be attributed to any confirmed event in this dataset. Treat the news axis as a data gap rather than a clean tape.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social platforms (Reddit, X, StockTwits, forums) are not connected, so no sentiment reading is inferred. This axis is uninformative for the current brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price stabilizes between current 326.20 and support 355.69; OBV slope stays positive (+7.73%) | Volume-backed reclaim attempt of 355.69 with RSI14 holding the 50-67 band | Sustained close below the 30-session low (354.14 reference) with OBV slope rolling over |
| Upside | Reclaim and hold above 355.69, then progress toward MA20 (382.25) | MACD histogram stays positive (3.00) and price closes back above the Bollinger lower band, realigning with the bullish MA stack | Failure at 355.69 / rejection back under the lower band; momentum oscillators rolling from overbought |
| Downside | Continued trade below support 355.69, the current setup | Lower-volume drift or distribution that pulls price toward the StockKit Base fair value zone ($244.11) | Strong volume reclaim above 355.69 that flips the support/price relationship |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator/price divergence | Price 326.20 vs MA20 382.25 (-14.66%); below Bollinger lower band 355.69 | Indicators remain bullish while price stays below all MAs | Watch for either price reclaiming 355.69 or indicators resetting lower |
| Short-term overheating in oscillators | RSI6 81.72, KDJ J 107.31, CCI20 182.32; RSI sub-score 35/100 "Sell" | Oscillators turn down from extended levels | Track RSI14 (66.61) for a break below 50 |
| Valuation above model base | Base fair-value gap -25.2%; price above Base $244.11 | Price drifts toward Base scenario | Compare price against $244.11 / $314.38 model bands |
| Thin information set | No news; sentiment not connected (both Low confidence) | A catalyst emerges that the dataset did not capture | Re-check news and sentiment sources before acting on signals |
| Volatility | ATR14 10.32 (+2.51% of price) | ATR expansion alongside Bollinger band widening | Size positions to the ~2.5% daily range, monitor band width |
MA5>MA20金叉，多头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴上方，动能增强
RSI14=67偏高，短期极度超买
突破上轨，短期超买，带宽扩张中
价涨量增(1.1x)，走势确认
Research boundary
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