StockKit ResearchEQUITY RESEARCH BRIEF
FDX · US · Fresh
Generated 2026-09-07 00:00 UTC
FDX
FDX · US
$310.79
-1.32%
Technical posture
Neutral
Strategy score
55 / 100
Trend
consolidation
Data confidence
High
Research view
FDX Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- FDX (FDX) is trading at 310.79, with a current daily move of -1.32%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 55/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 304.04 and resistance at 324.05; price is +2.17% from support and +4.27% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 310.79 | Daily move -1.32% |
| Strategy score | 55/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure. |
| RSI14 | 55.04 | Constructive but not extreme |
| MACD | 2.38 histogram | Bullish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 304.04 / 324.05 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 303.00 / 328.35 | Price sits at +30.73% of the range |
| Volume check | +40.64% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +2.06% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is above the medium-term moving average, which points to a firmer near-term structure.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is 2.38, while MACD line / signal are -0.92 / -3.30.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 76.98 / 66.89 / 97.16; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Mid-band zone (34% of band); upper / middle / lower are 324.05 / 314.04 / 304.04.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 6.65 (+2.06% of price), OBV slope is -131.64%, and CCI20 is 174.99.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 304.04 / 324.05; recent 30-session range is 303.00 / 328.35.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.76 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.35 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 0.78 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.65 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 4.49 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $220.58 / Base $286.24 / Bull $367.76 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -7.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -2.27% / Base +3.73% / Bull +9.73% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $94.72B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.43B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $74.28B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $98.94B / Equity $31.65B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes: - SEC CIK: 0001048911; company: FEDEX CORP. - Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2026-05-31. - PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. FedEx Freight fires chief commercial officer following internal probe - Yahoo Entertainment
2. GlobalFoundries makes UX platform available to customers for edge AI and connectivity applications - Crypto Briefing
3. Is United Parcel Service Stock Outperforming the Dow? - Barchart.com
4. Nigeria seeks indigenous AI capacity to drive $1tn economy - The Punch
6. Sentiment radar
30-day aggregated sentiment is Positive (0.744) across 60 mentions/days.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| EODHD news/social aggregate | Connected | 20 positive days / 0 neutral / 0 negative | High |
| Latest daily sentiment | 2026-08-10 | 0.998 (Positive) | Medium |
| Sentiment momentum | Available | +0.017 vs prior point | Medium |
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Yahoo Entertainment x2, Crypto Briefing x1, Barchart.com x1 | Medium |
Notes: - EODHD symbol used: FDX.US. - This is provider-supplied aggregate sentiment, not a StockKit-invented score.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 304.04 and 324.05 | Strategy score stays near 55/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 324.05 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 304.04 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 304.04 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Constructive but not extreme; MACD state: Bullish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +2.06% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 304.04 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 324.05 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 70/100 | Buy | MA5>MA20金叉 |
| MACD背离 | 65/100 | Buy | MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=55中性 |
| 布林带 | 50/100 | Hold | 接近上轨，带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.
Strategy factors
MA交叉Constructive
70
MA5>MA20金叉
MACD背离Constructive
65
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI极值Neutral
50
RSI14=55中性
布林带Neutral
50
接近上轨，带宽扩张中
量价关系Weak
35
价跌放量(1.4x)，抛压沉重
News & catalyst inputs
FedEx Freight fires chief commercial officer following internal probe
Yahoo Entertainment · 2026-09-02
GlobalFoundries makes UX platform available to customers for edge AI and connectivity applications
Crypto Briefing · 2026-09-02
Is United Parcel Service Stock Outperforming the Dow?
Barchart.com · 2026-09-02
Nigeria seeks indigenous AI capacity to drive $1tn economy
The Punch · 2026-09-02
FedEx Corporation (FDX) is Growing Faster, but Could United Parcel (UPS) Have More Margin Upside?
Yahoo Entertainment · 2026-08-28
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.
Disclaimer.This brief is generated by StockKit AI from public market data and algorithmic models for informational research only. It is not investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation, and it does not provide buy, sell, or hold ratings, price targets, stop-loss levels, or position sizing. “Watch levels” and “scenarios” describe observable conditions in the supplied data, not instructions. Verify all information with primary sources before any investment decision.