FDX
FDX · US
FDX Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 310.79 |
| Daily move | -1.32% |
| StockKit score / signal | 48/100, Hold |
| Trend | Bear (MA5<MA10<MA20<MA60) |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 40.27 / 45.32 |
| MACD line / signal / hist | -10.26 / -11.49 / +1.24 |
| Estimated support | 301.91 (+2.86% away) |
| Estimated resistance | 339.39 (+9.20% away) |
| 30-session range position | +6.13% (range 304.06-413.87) |
| Data confidence | Medium-low (no news, no connected sentiment) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 312.38 / 313.73 / 320.65 / 355.96 | Bearish alignment; price -3.08% below MA20 |
| RSI (14/6) | 40.27 / 45.32 | Soft but not washed out; no oversold signal |
| MACD (line/signal/hist) | -10.26 / -11.49 / +1.24 | Crossover with rising histogram, but still below zero line |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 36.88 / 31.55 / 47.54 | Constructive crossover (K above D) from lower half |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 339.39 / 320.65 / 301.91 | Mid-band zone, ~24% of band width |
| ATR14 (abs / %) | 10.38 / +3.31% | Moderate volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-session slope | 36,705,383 / -8.50% | Distribution pressure over the trailing window |
| CCI20 | -58.57 | Inside a neutral band |
Confirmed: The medium-term structure is bearish and consistent, MA alignment, price below MA20, and negative MACD absolute level all point the same way. Volatility is moderate at ATR 3.31% of price.
Conflicted: Short-term momentum diverges from the trend. MACD histogram is positive (+1.24) and KDJ has crossed up, yet both sit inside a broader downtrend and the MACD line remains well below zero. RSI14 at 40.27 is neutral-soft rather than confirming either side. Treat the momentum improvement as tentative, not a trend change.
Missing: No intraday microstructure, no order-flow, and no options-implied volatility were supplied. OBV context is present but the -8.50% slope signals accumulation is absent.
Custom indicator readings (StockKit strategy components): - MA crossover: 10/100, StrongSell, MA5 below MA20 (death cross), bearish alignment. - MACD divergence: 65/100, Buy, golden cross below the zero line with strengthening momentum. - RSI extremes: 50/100, Hold, RSI14 at 40 is neutral. - Bollinger Bands: 55/100, Hold, mid-channel with expanding band width. - Volume-price relationship: 55/100, Hold, pullback on lighter volume, possible stabilization.
The custom panel mirrors the conflict above: a StrongSell trend component (10/100) offset by a constructive MACD component (65/100), which is why the aggregate lands at a neutral 48/100 Hold.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.76 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 2.35 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 0.78 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 8.65 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 4.49 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $220.58 / Base $286.24 / Bull $367.76 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -7.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -2.27% / Base +3.73% / Bull +9.73% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $94.72B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $4.43B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $74.28B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $98.94B / Equity $31.65B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Rows marked StockKit scenario model (PEG proxy, fair-value range, base fair-value gap, and 5Y growth forecast) are internally computed forecasts, not analyst consensus. The StockKit base fair value of $286.24 sits below the current 310.79, implying a -7.9% gap on the model's own inputs; the model's bull case ($367.76) and bear case ($220.58) frame a wide dispersion. Reported multiples (PE 16.76, P/S 0.78) rest on High-confidence revenue and net income, while EV/EBITDA (8.65) is flagged Low confidence and should carry less weight. Dividend yield and 52-week range were not supplied and are omitted.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items from the configured source | Absence means no confirmed catalyst is driving the current move; the setup is technically driven only |
| Latest annual period referenced | Income-statement period 2026-05-31 (per notes) | Provides the fundamental base for the supplied multiples; not a forward catalyst |
No confirmed catalysts, earnings dates, or corporate events were supplied. This section is low confidence by data availability. Do not infer upcoming events from the absence of coverage.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for FDX. No Reddit, X, StockTwits, or local-forum readings are available because none is marked connected. Sentiment carries no weight in this brief.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price holds the 301.91-320.65 band; MACD histogram stays positive (+1.24) on light volume (-31.69% vs 20-session avg) | Repeated closes between support 301.91 and MA20 320.65; OBV slope flattening from -8.50% | Close below 301.91, or MACD histogram rolling back negative |
| Upside | Reclaim of MA20 (320.65) with momentum follow-through | MACD line closing toward the zero axis from -10.26; RSI14 pushing above ~50 from 40.27; approach to resistance 339.39 | Rejection at MA20 and lower highs; volume failing to expand |
| Downside | Break of estimated support 301.91 and the 30-session low 304.06 | Sustained closes below 301.91 with OBV distribution continuing; move toward MA60 (355.96) gap widening on the downside | Quick reclaim of 304.06-301.91 and return above MA5 (312.38) |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trend continuation lower | Bearish MA alignment; price -3.08% below MA20; MA crossover component 10/100 StrongSell | Close below support 301.91 | Track daily closes vs 301.91 and the 304.06 range low |
| Momentum head-fake | MACD/KDJ improvement occurs inside a bear trend; MACD line still -10.26 below zero | Histogram (+1.24) turns negative again | Watch histogram and KDJ K/D for a reversal cross |
| Distribution pressure | OBV 20-session slope -8.50% | OBV continues falling on down days | Compare OBV direction with price on each session |
| Valuation gap to model base | StockKit base fair value $286.24 vs price 310.79 (-7.9% gap) | Price extends above bull-model levels without fundamental support | Revisit multiples (PE 16.76) against any new reported data |
| Data-coverage risk | No news, no connected sentiment | A catalyst emerges outside the feed | Re-check the news/sentiment source before acting on levels |
| Volatility | ATR14 at 3.31% of price | ATR expansion beyond current range | Size any watch-level around the ~10.38-point ATR |
1. Daily close relative to estimated support 301.91 (loss of this level is the primary downside trigger). 2. MA20 reclaim test at 320.65 (the key overhead condition for the upside case). 3. MACD histogram sign, currently +1.24; a flip negative removes the momentum support. 4. KDJ K/D relationship, currently 36.88/31.55; watch for the crossover holding or failing. 5. OBV slope, currently -8.50%; look for flattening as a sign distribution is easing. 6. Volume versus the 20-session average (-31.69% today); a volume expansion would clarify direction. 7. Reappearance of any news or connected sentiment feed, currently empty, before relying on technical levels alone.
This brief is a public-facing research preview generated by StockKit for informational purposes only. It is not personalized investment advice and makes no promise or guarantee of returns. All views cite supplied data points; levels are framed as watch levels, not instructions. Fundamental multiples derive from SEC EDGAR companyfacts, while PEG proxy, fair-value range, and growth forecasts are internally computed StockKit scenario model outputs, not analyst consensus. Confidence is reduced for the news and sentiment sections because no headline coverage or connected sentiment feed was available, and EV/EBITDA is flagged low confidence. No financial statements, earnings dates, analyst ratings, or company facts beyond the supplied dataset were added.
MA5<MA20死叉，空头排列
MACD金叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能增强
RSI14=40中性
在通道中部，带宽扩张中
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
StockKit organizes market data and model output for research workflows. It does not provide personalized advice or trade instructions. Verify important information with primary sources before any investment decision.