MRVL
MRVL · US
MRVL Research Preview
| Metric | Reading |
|---|---|
| Price | 189.17 |
| Daily move | -2.61% |
| Strategy score | 43/100 (Hold) |
| Trend | Bear |
| RSI14 / RSI6 | 41.13 / 28.23 |
| MACD (line / signal / hist) | -3.20 / 6.41 / -9.61 |
| Estimated support | 214.39 |
| Estimated resistance | 323.63 |
| 30-session range position | -4.42% (range 195.12 / 329.88) |
| Data confidence | Technicals complete; news/sentiment absent (lower) |
| Indicator | Reading | Read |
|---|---|---|
| MA (5/10/20/60) | 231.80 / 250.13 / 269.01 / 219.36 | Price below all MAs; MA5<MA20 death cross cited in score |
| RSI (14/6) | 41.13 / 28.23 | RSI14 neutral-soft; RSI6 depressed near washout |
| MACD | -3.20 / 6.41 / -9.61 | Bearish: line below signal, below zero, negative histogram |
| KDJ (K/D/J) | 13.55 / 18.85 / 2.94 | Deeply low, soft or still repairing |
| Bollinger (U/M/L) | 323.63 / 269.01 / 214.39 | Near lower band (-23% of band); band widening |
| ATR14 / ATR14% | 22.83 / +10.49% | Elevated volatility relative to price |
| OBV / 20-sess slope | 1,034,493,241 / +12.34% | Accumulation improving despite price weakness |
| CCI20 | -147.23 | Downside pressure / oversold territory |
Confirmed: Multiple oscillators agree on a stretched-to-the-downside condition (RSI6 28.23, KDJ K 13.55, CCI20-147.23) while price hugs the lower Bollinger band (214.39), a consistent oversold cluster.
Conflicted: The OBV 20-session slope (+12.34%) points to improving accumulation, which sits against the bearish MACD configuration (-9.61 histogram) and the MA5<MA20 death cross. Momentum and volume-flow are telling different stories.
Missing: No custom indicators were supplied beyond those above, so none are folded in here. Note also that current volume is -46.72% versus the 20-session average (48.08M), so recent moves are occurring on lighter participation.
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 61.62 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 9.03 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 20.08 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 101.76 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | 4.42 | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $56.54 / Base $72.15 / Bull $91.21 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -61.9% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear +7.94% / Base +13.94% / Bull +19.94% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $8.19B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $2.67B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $164.52B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $26.94B / Equity $18.22B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
The reported multiples are rich on every axis (PE 61.62, P/S 20.08, EV/EBITDA 101.76, PEG proxy 4.42). The StockKit DCF scenario range and the -61.9% base fair-value gap are internally computed forecasts derived from reported fundamentals, not analyst consensus targets; their EV/EBITDA input carries Low confidence, so the wide discount to price should be read as a model signal to investigate rather than a settled conclusion.
| Item | Status | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Headline coverage | No current news items available from the configured source | No confirmed catalysts, earnings dates, or events can be cited; catalyst read is on lower confidence |
Confirmed news: none available. Missing data: the entire news feed returned empty, so no event-driven view is offered. No earnings dates, ratings, or company events are inferred, as none were supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | No headlines | No source distribution available | Low |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol. Social channels are not connected, so no Reddit, X, StockTwits, or forum readings are presented. Sentiment confidence is Low across the board.
| Scenario | Trigger condition | What would confirm it | What would invalidate it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Price continues basing below support 214.39 on light volume (-46.72% vs 20-sess avg) | Score holds near 43/100 Hold; RSI14 stays ~41; range position stays near -4.42% | Sustained reclaim of 214.39, or MACD histogram (-9.61) turning positive |
| Upside | Oversold cluster (RSI6 28.23, KDJ J 2.94, CCI20-147.23) resolves into a bounce off the lower band 214.39 | Reclaim of 214.39 with expanding volume; OBV slope (+12.34%) continues higher; MACD histogram compresses toward zero | Failure to hold above 214.39; RSI6 rolling back to fresh lows |
| Downside | Bearish MA structure (MA5<MA20 death cross) and MACD below zero persist | New lows beneath 30-session low (195.12); price extends further below MA20 (currently -29.68%) | A close back above MA5 (231.80) or a MACD line cross above signal (6.41) |
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Downtrend continuation | Bear trend; MA5<MA20 death cross; MACD -3.20 below signal 6.41 | New low under 195.12 | Watch daily close vs 195.12 and MACD histogram |
| Elevated volatility | ATR14% +10.49% of price | ATR expanding further | Size positions to ATR; watch band width |
| Valuation compression | PE 61.62, EV/EBITDA 101.76, base fair-value gap -61.9% (model) | Multiple de-rating | Track multiples vs reported Revenue $8.19B / Net income $2.67B |
| Information gap | No news and no sentiment data returned | An unannounced catalyst moves price | Re-check news/sentiment feeds daily |
| False-bounce risk | Near lower band but RSI14 only 41.13 (not washed out) | Bounce fails at 214.39 | Confirm reclaim of 214.39 before treating as support |
MA5<MA20死叉
MACD死叉，MACD在零轴下方，动能减弱
RSI14=41中性
接近下轨，可能反弹，带宽扩张中
缩量回调，可能企稳
Research boundary
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