COIN Research Preview
1. Bottom line
- COIN (COIN) is trading at 167.49, with a current daily move of +5.81%.
- The StockKit strategy score is 46/100, creating a neutral research posture with mixed alignment (ma5 > ma10 > ma20 > ma60).
- The most important near-term watch zone is support at 138.88 and resistance at 173.31; price is +17.08% from support and +3.48% from resistance.
2. Key data snapshot
| Item | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---:|---|
| Current price | 167.49 | Daily move +5.81% |
| Strategy score | 46/100 | Hold, trend: consolidation |
| MA structure | Mixed alignment (MA5 > MA10 > MA20 > MA60) | The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair. |
| RSI14 | 44.33 | Soft but not washed out |
| MACD | -0.24 histogram | Bearish MACD configuration |
| Support / resistance | 138.88 / 173.31 | Watch these levels for confirmation or failure |
| 30-session range | 139.11 / 181.49 | Price sits at +66.97% of the range |
| Volume check | -6.80% vs 20D avg | Confirmation quality depends on volume follow-through |
| ATR14 / price | +5.82% | Proxy for short-term volatility risk |
3. Technical indicator panel
- Trend: The short-term moving average is below the medium-term moving average, so the trend still needs repair.
- Momentum: RSI14 is not giving an extreme signal, so confirmation from price structure matters more than momentum alone.
- MACD: histogram is -0.24, while MACD line / signal are -3.56 / -3.32.
- KDJ: K / D / J are 50.04 / 46.11 / 57.88; KDJ constructive crossover.
- Bollinger: Near upper band (83% of band); upper / middle / lower are 173.31 / 156.10 / 138.88.
- ATR / OBV / CCI: ATR14 is 8.64 (+5.82% of price), OBV slope is -1.12%, and CCI20 is -57.26.
- Levels: estimated support / resistance are 138.88 / 173.31; recent 30-session range is 139.11 / 181.49.
4. Valuation matrix
| Axis | Reading | Source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38.17 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| PB | 3.68 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| Price / sales | 6.70 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Medium |
| EV/EBITDA | 27.98 | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | Low |
| PEG proxy | N/A | StockKit scenario model | Low |
| StockKit fair value range | Bear $40.31 / Base $48.32 / Bull $62.89 | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| Base fair-value gap | -71.1% | StockKit DCF scenario model | Medium |
| 5Y growth forecast | Bear -8.00% / Base -4.00% / Bull +2.00% | StockKit scenario model | Medium |
| Revenue | $7.18B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Net income | $1.26B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
| Market cap | $48.10B | SEC shares outstanding + live quote | Medium |
| Balance sheet context | Assets $26.46B / Equity $13.08B | SEC EDGAR companyfacts | High |
Notes:
- SEC CIK: 0001679788; company: Coinbase Global, Inc..
- Latest annual income-statement period used where available: 2025-12-31.
- PEG and fair-value range are StockKit scenario outputs computed from reported fundamentals; they are not analyst consensus targets.
5. News and catalyst timeline
1. Player’s View: Is the Decline of Starter Innings Bad For Baseball? - Fangraphs.com
2. Ce week-end à Bruxelles, BMX, BBP et BPM: 12 sorties familiales - dh.be
3. Metaplanet cuts Series 10 stock pool by 41%, plans Hong Kong subsidiary - Crypto Briefing
4. D2 FFA| L'ancien capitaine de la Real retrouve déjà Acren-Lessines avec Mouscron: "Je ne pensais pas que cela irait si vite", sourit Vinny Mayélé - Lavenir.net
6. Sentiment radar
5 recent headlines available; no provider-level sentiment score was supplied.
| Source | Status | Reading | Confidence |
|---|
| NewsAPI headline coverage | 5 headlines | Fangraphs.com x1, dh.be x1, Crypto Briefing x1 | Medium |
| Social sentiment | Not connected | No social sentiment conclusion is drawn | Low |
Notes:
- No provider sentiment series was returned for this symbol.
7. Scenario framework
| Scenario | Trigger condition | Confirmation signal | Invalidation signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base case | Price remains between 138.88 and 173.31 | Strategy score stays near 46/100 and RSI avoids extremes | Close below support or a rapid score deterioration |
| Upside case | Price clears 173.31 | Improving MACD histogram and volume above 20D average | Failed breakout back below resistance |
| Downside case | Price breaks 138.88 | RSI weakens and MACD remains negative | Quick recovery back above support |
8. Risk matrix
| Risk | Evidence | Trigger | Monitoring action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Technical failure | Support at 138.88 anchors the current setup | Close below support | Reassess trend and reduce confidence in base case |
| Momentum exhaustion | Soft but not washed out; MACD state: Bearish MACD configuration | RSI extension or MACD rollover | Watch next 1-3 closes and histogram direction |
| Volatility expansion | ATR14 / price is +5.82% | Wide ranges without follow-through | Require confirmation before trusting a directional move |
| News/data gap | 5 current news items available | New headline or missing catalyst context | Refresh news before relying on stale views |
9. Seven-day watch checklist
- First watch: whether price respects 138.88 or starts accepting below it.
- Breakout watch: whether price can clear 173.31 with volume confirmation above the 20-session average.
- Momentum watch: whether RSI14 stays constructive without moving into an exhaustion zone.
- Risk watch: whether fresh news changes the catalyst picture.
Strategy cross-check
| Strategy | Score | Signal | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA交叉 | 40/100 | Hold | MA5<MA20死叉 |
| MACD背离 | 35/100 | Sell | MACD死叉,MACD在零轴下方,动能增强 |
| RSI极值 | 50/100 | Hold | RSI14=44中性 |
| 布林带 | 55/100 | Hold | 在通道中部,带宽扩张中 |
Information-use note
StockKit provides market research tools for informational and educational use. The output does not constitute personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.